What are the odds???
03-25-2009 | 06:35 AM
#1
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From: B6
What are the odds???
- Odds of being struck by lightning: 1 in 576,000
- Odds of dating a supermodel: 1 in 88,000
- Odds of an American home having at least one container of ice cream in the freezer: 9 in 10
- Odds of dying from contact with hot tap water: 1 in 5,005,564
- Odds of writing a New York Times best seller: 1 in 220
- Odds of finding a four-leaf clover on the first try: 1 in 10,000
- Odds of being killed by lightning: 1 in 2,320,000
- Odds of being murdered: 1 in 18,000
- Odds of getting away with murder: 1 in 2
- Odds of being attacked by a dog: 1 in 131,890
- Odds of dying from a dog bite: 1 in 700,000
- Odds of being bitten by a snake, bee or other venomous creature: 1 in 83,930
- Odds of dying from contact with a venomous animal or plant: 1 in 3,441,325
- Odds of dying from any kind of injury during the next year: 1 in 1,820
- Odds of dying from being bitten or struck by mammals (other than dogs or humans): 1 in 4,235,477
- Odds of dying from a shark attack: 1 in 300,000,000
- Odds of having fraternal twins: 3 in 1,000 (for a woman younger than 20)
- Odds of having fraternal twins: 14 in 1,000 (for women ages 35-40)
- Odds that a person between the age of 18 and 29 does not read a newspaper regularly: 1 in 3
- Odds that an adult does not want to live to age 120 under any circumstances: 2 in 3
- Odds of being considered possessed by Satan: 1 in 7,000
- Odds that a first marriage will survive without separation or divorce for 15 years: 1 in 1.3
- Odds that a celebrity marriage will last a lifetime: 1 in 3
- Odds of getting hemorrhoids: 1 in 25
- Odds of being born a twin in North America: 1 in 90
- Odds of being on plane with a drunken pilot: 1 in 117
- Odds of being audited by the IRS: 1 in 175
- Odds of having your identity stolen: 1 in 200
- Odds of dating a millionaire: 1 in 215
- Odds of finding out your child is a genius: 1 in 250
- Odds of catching a ball at a major league ballgame: 1 in 563
- Odds of becoming a pro athlete: 1 in 22,000
- Odds of a person in the military winning the Medal of Honor: 1 in 11,000
- Odds of winning an Academy Award: 1 in 11,500
- Odds of striking it rich on Antiques Roadshow: 1 in 60,000
- Odds of getting a royal flush in poker on first five cards dealt: 1 in 649,740
- Odds of becoming a saint: 1 in 20,000,000
- Odds of becoming president: 1 in 10,000,000
- Odds of a meteor landing on your house: 1 in 182,138,880,000,000
- Odds of dying from intentional self-harm: 1 in 9,380
- Odds that Earth will experience a catastrophic collision with an asteroid in the next 100 years: 1 in 5,560
- Odds of dying in such a collision: 1 in 20,000
- Odds of experiencing an earthquake: 1 in 100,000
- Odds of dying from exposure to forces of nature (heat, cold, lightning, earthquake, flood): 1 in 225,107
- Odds of dying in an airplane accident: 1 in 354,319
- Odds of dying from choking on food: 1 in 370,035
- Odds of dying in a terrorist attack while visiting a foreign country: 1 in 650,000
- Odds of dying in a fireworks accident: 1 in 1,000,000
- Odds of dying from overexertion, travel or privation: 1 in 1,428,377
- Odds of dying from food poisoning: 1 in 3,000,000
- Odds of dying from legal execution: 1 in 3,441,325
- Odds of dying from parts falling off an airplane: 1 in 10,000,000
- Odds of dying from ignition or melting of nightwear: 1 in 30,589,556
- Odds of spotting a UFO today: 1 in 3,000,000
- Odds of contracting the human version of mad cow disease: 1 in 40,000,000
- Odds of injury from fireworks: 1 in 19,556
- Odds of injury from shaving: 1 in 6,585
- Odds of injury from using a chain saw: 1 in 4,464
- Odds of injury from mowing the lawn: 1 in 3,623
- Odds of fatally slipping in bath or shower: 1 in 2,232
- Odds of drowning in a bathtub: 1 in 685,000
- Odds of being the victim of serious crime in your lifetime: 1 in 20
- Odds of dying from a car accident: 1 in 18,585
- Odds of dying from any kind of fall: 1 in 20,666
- Odds of dying from accidental drowning: 1 in 79,065
03-25-2009 | 07:45 AM
#4
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From: Right Seat, PIC
03-25-2009 | 09:11 AM
#5
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From: Engines Turn or People Swim
Not sure where they get this stuff, #38 is pretty far off...
There are 300,000,000 Americans.
Realistic age range for election 35-75 = 40 year window of opportunity.
40 years / One election every 4 years = 10 opportunities.
At each opportunity, your odds are one in 300,000,000.
300,000,000 / ten opportunities = One in 30,000,000.
There are 300,000,000 Americans.
Realistic age range for election 35-75 = 40 year window of opportunity.
40 years / One election every 4 years = 10 opportunities.
At each opportunity, your odds are one in 300,000,000.
300,000,000 / ten opportunities = One in 30,000,000.
03-25-2009 | 09:33 AM
#6
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From: C172 Left
Not sure where they get this stuff, #38 is pretty far off...
There are 300,000,000 Americans.
Realistic age range for election 35-75 = 40 year window of opportunity.
40 years / One election every 4 years = 10 opportunities.
At each opportunity, your odds are one in 300,000,000.
300,000,000 / ten opportunities = One in 30,000,000.
There are 300,000,000 Americans.
Realistic age range for election 35-75 = 40 year window of opportunity.
40 years / One election every 4 years = 10 opportunities.
At each opportunity, your odds are one in 300,000,000.
300,000,000 / ten opportunities = One in 30,000,000.
)? If I had to guess I would say maybe 250 million are actually eligible to run.
03-25-2009 | 12:02 PM
#7
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From: Legacy FO
Not sure where they get this stuff, #38 is pretty far off...
There are 300,000,000 Americans.
Realistic age range for election 35-75 = 40 year window of opportunity.
40 years / One election every 4 years = 10 opportunities.
At each opportunity, your odds are one in 300,000,000.
300,000,000 / ten opportunities = One in 30,000,000.
There are 300,000,000 Americans.
Realistic age range for election 35-75 = 40 year window of opportunity.
40 years / One election every 4 years = 10 opportunities.
At each opportunity, your odds are one in 300,000,000.
300,000,000 / ten opportunities = One in 30,000,000.
03-25-2009 | 12:31 PM
#8
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From: Engines Turn or People Swim
Actually they might not be that far off, I assumed that you would be competing with all 300,000,000 residents at each election....but a large part of the populace would be under the age of 35 and ineligible. It might be closer to 1 in 15-20M, depending on demographics.
03-25-2009 | 05:04 PM
#9
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From: Legacy FO
I certainly hope 2/3 of the population is not made up of excons and immigrants!
Actually they might not be that far off, I assumed that you would be competing with all 300,000,000 residents at each election....but a large part of the populace would be under the age of 35 and ineligible. It might be closer to 1 in 15-20M, depending on demographics.
Actually they might not be that far off, I assumed that you would be competing with all 300,000,000 residents at each election....but a large part of the populace would be under the age of 35 and ineligible. It might be closer to 1 in 15-20M, depending on demographics.
Also, maybe the figures were based on lowered populations back when we won our independence.
But I agree with you, many of those odds seem way off. But that is the power of statistics. We have no idea what they based their data on and so, they can say just about anything.
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