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Originally Posted by stlmikey
(Post 2539623)
I got extremely lucky and recently got a CJO with Delta & American, one week apart. I never thought I'd be in this position to have the option but need to make a decision soon. I will likely be commuting from STL, which neither airline has a crew base, so that's not much of a factor at the moment. Main deciding factors are QOL / days off, commutability, and employee morale. Any advice or opinions are very much appreciated.
One thing I learned is that when you consider communting, try to get very specific intel. For example, I thought that communting PHX to LAX would be easier than TUS-LAX. However, there are so many people trying to do it, that it offsets the greater number of flights and broader time ranges. Everyone I have talked to doing that commute hate it, but TUS-LAX was easy. It wasn't all rosy, though. I had to spend the night in LAX once or twice a month (including the crew room twice when there were no close hotels available), and the last flight left around 7pm. In contrast, the last LAX-PHX flight was after 10pm. I also recommend getting specific data on the seniority in the bases you want to end up at. They vary a lot, and that will make a big QoL difference. Investigate things like how easy is it to pick up, trade and/or drop trips, how much premium available in a base, how many redeyes, how many commutable trips, etc. All that said, we don't know what bases will close, how contracts will evolve, etc. Both jobs will be great, and I won't second guess my decision. (Although it does sting a little when profit sharing time hits). FWIW, while there are plenty of things that need attention in our contract, the pilots I fly with don't let it impact our trips. Same thing goes for the different tribes at AA. The crews have been great! |
Originally Posted by Andy
(Post 2539704)
I'd opt for AA. The reason is that you're going to gain seniority a lot quicker at AA than DAL due to retirements. Everything else can change over time.
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Great problem to have.. but honestly most the arguments people will make don’t mean much unless you have less than 10 years till retirement..... culture, pay, contacts, bases, economy, fleet sizes, routes ( maybe not as much but to a certain degree), management, will all be different come 7-8 years from now. It’s a forever changing industry.
The way I see it, the best choice is the one you think will be around for your entire career. If you think they both will make it the distance, then go with the one that gives you the best QOL. usually that means whichever one has a base or even bases (just in case one of them closes) that you wouldn’t mind living in or commuting to. Good luck! My ignorant/biased decision...... AA, they have a cool paint job :D |
Originally Posted by mainlineAF
(Post 2541301)
Minimum days off for reserves is 12/13 at AA. Think that’s the same at DL. For lineholders it’s not a factor bc you get 5:15 a day once ACD kicks in.
Premium flying is available at AA. Apparently a lot less premium at dL now re the poster above. Edge to DL. Did you not read the sentence after I wrote more regional flying could be a plus at AA? A lot of it has come back in house at dl already so the hiring for that has already happened. If AA is forced to do the same they’d have to hire more than they’re planning. That’s a plus for the guys hired before that happens. If is a 31 day month = 1 extra day Average Line Value below 75:30 = 1 extra day 20% extra staffing in category = 1 extra day. It can go up to 15 days in a 31day month. Usually is between 13 and 14 days off on RSV. |
I listed advantages in my previous reply but forgot to add one point which would be my deciding factor. If one of the companies has a domicile in a place where I'd love to live, that would be my choice hands down. On average, working for any major airline is going to pay (significantly) more and you'll work less than any full time flying gig you've previously held.
If you're a commuter you are likely giving back anything from 4-8 days/month depending on your commute and tolerance for risk. If you're in base you will have the chance to make the job even more financially lucrative by being available for short notice premium trips or bidding up a category where you wouldn't mind sitting reserve from your couch. Without a crystal ball, living in a place I like would be my #1 priority if I had calls from multiple legacy airlines. |
I’ve commuted. It’s an additional 6-7 hrs time lost before the trip and 4 hrs after the trip for commutable trips.
Living in a junior base that has w/b flying to Europe and Asia is the best deal. But ‘junior’ and ‘Asia’ are oxymorons. So pick Europe trips as the next best option. |
Originally Posted by Sliceback
(Post 2542041)
I’ve commuted. It’s an additional 6-7 hrs time lost before the trip and 4 hrs after the trip for commutable trips.
Living in a junior base that has w/b flying to Europe and Asia is the best deal. But ‘junior’ and ‘Asia’ are oxymorons. So pick Europe trips as the next best option. |
At AA we throw stones at living in DFW but there are lots of nice areas to live very near to the airport (10,15,20 minutes). It’s a completely different life than living 1,2,3 hrs away by car and light years away commuting.
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Look at the financials of the two carriers. Look at innovation or lack thereof. Seniority may move faster at AA, but it won’t mean much if the company ceases to exist. Delta has historically been conservative and it has served them well. AA has been up big, but also down big, with morale to show.
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DL’s fleet age was 17.0 yrs last summer. AA’s was 10.8 yrs.
That gap doesn’t come for free. What will DL’s balance sheet look like when they start updating their fleet and reduce it from its industry lagging position? It’s all a trade off in choosing one path over another from a corporate management decision. |
Thank you, Slice. Few have pointed out these buisiness decisions. Newer fleet comes with additional purchasing costs. Older fleets come with more maintenance and fuel consumption. Eventually, older fleets have to be replaced.
Two major airlines have different strategies at the moment. (Things can change over time.) Which is better will be played out over the next few years. |
Originally Posted by Sliceback
(Post 2544605)
DL’s fleet age was 17.0 yrs last summer. AA’s was 10.8 yrs.
That gap doesn’t come for free. What will DL’s balance sheet look like when they start updating their fleet and reduce it from its industry lagging position? It’s all a trade off in choosing one path over another from a corporate management decision. No disputing those facts, however, I’ve heard the 88s are paid for by the 9th or 10th of each month and the rest of the month is pure profit. The one department of ours that is consistently forgotten about and underestimated is our TechOps. There’s a reason they were selected by Pratt to overhaul over 5000 engines as a part of our NB Airbus deal in December. Also, because of our lower debt we have a better credit rating than similar airlines which in turn helps with lower interest rates on new jets. No doubt our debt may increase in the next 5-10 years but it won’t be dramatic, if things stay the course like it seems to be. |
Originally Posted by WhiskeyDelta
(Post 2544730)
No disputing those facts, however, I’ve heard the 88s are paid for by the 9th or 10th of each month and the rest of the month is pure profit. The one department of ours that is consistently forgotten about and underestimated is our TechOps. There’s a reason they were selected by Pratt to overhaul over 5000 engines as a part of our NB Airbus deal in December.
Also, because of our lower debt we have a better credit rating than similar airlines which in turn helps with lower interest rates on new jets. No doubt our debt may increase in the next 5-10 years but it won’t be dramatic, if things stay the course like it seems to be. |
Our CEO(AA) addressed the debt situation and basically said “ why take $ that is invested at 8% and pay cash for airplanes , when you can leave it alone and finance them for 3%” I suppose we will see if that is a sound biz decision !
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Originally Posted by Marlin
(Post 2545783)
Our CEO(AA) addressed the debt situation and basically said “ why take $ that is invested at 8% and pay cash for airplanes , when you can leave it alone and finance them for 3%” I suppose we will see if that is a sound biz decision !
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Originally Posted by Han Solo
(Post 2545818)
How much cash does AA have invested at 8%?
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AA has been around a loooong time. They ain’t going anywhere. DAL could pay cash for airplanes with all the stock buybacks they have done.
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Originally Posted by qball
(Post 2546272)
AA has been around a loooong time. They ain’t going anywhere. DAL could pay cash for airplanes with all the stock buybacks they have done.
There are plenty of reasons to say a company isn't going anywhere... they've "been around a long time" is not one of them. |
Originally Posted by qball
(Post 2546272)
AA has been around a loooong time. They ain’t going anywhere. DAL could pay cash for airplanes with all the stock buybacks they have done.
As could AA with the $9B buyback program they started in 2014. |
Originally Posted by Baradium
(Post 2546275)
Not to say anything about AA's future, but that line smacks of a lack of knowledge of the history of this industry.
There are plenty of reasons to say a company isn't going anywhere... they've "been around a long time" is not one of them. |
In the ‘right now snapshot’ when in the past has the industry ever looked like it does right now?
That’s not predicting any airline’s future is guaranteed but an evaluation of the relative, and probable risk, has to include how much the industry has changed from 5-10 yrs ago. The industry, and life, require risk assessment and prudence. But a number at a Big 3 airline right now is probably the safest bet in the history of the airline business. |
Originally Posted by Sliceback
(Post 2546302)
In the ‘right now snapshot’ when in the past has the industry ever looked like it does right now?
That’s not predicting any airline’s future is guaranteed but an evaluation of the relative, and probable risk, has to include how much the industry has changed from 5-10 yrs ago. The industry, and life, require risk assessment and prudence. But a number at a Big 3 airline right now is probably the safest bet in the history of the airline business. Having said that. I would take the earliest class date offered unless a home base option is available at one over the other. Even then I would still grab the first brass ring and jump ship if the home base airline offered. Just my opinion. Given the current climate, I still think AA is a long term player as they have been. DAL as well. |
Originally Posted by qball
(Post 2546291)
UAL has had some of the most inept management in the last 30 years. They are still here. Many airlines have had equally inept management. They are still here. I don’t know how long you you’ve been in the business but in the right now snapshot, AA is probably as good a bet as any. But that’s just my 30+ years in this business. What do I know.
I get it, you're touchy about AA... but I only talked about using that phrase lightly like that, not AA's prospects in and of itself. You should have seen enough of that in 30+ years. |
Originally Posted by Baradium
(Post 2546337)
I said I wasn't saying anything about AA's prospects, just that the phrase "they've been around a really long time" is meaningless when it comes to an airline's success. Plenty of "really long time" airlines aren't around anymore.
I get it, you're touchy about AA... but I only talked about using that phrase lightly like that, not AA's prospects in and of itself. You should have seen enough of that in 30+ years. |
Originally Posted by qball
(Post 2546291)
UAL has had some of the most inept management in the last 30 years. They are still here. Many airlines have had equally inept management. They are still here. I don’t know how long you you’ve been in the business but in the right now snapshot, AA is probably as good a bet as any. But that’s just my 30+ years in this business. What do I know.
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Originally Posted by Han Solo
(Post 2546800)
Probably about as much as 30+ year TWA, Pan Am, and Eastern pilots before their worlds came to a screeching halt. Not flinging mud, just my interpretation of what is likely a fact most of us don't want to acknowledge.
If the ban is ever lifted on cabotage, you will see a similar seismic shift in the pilot world that happened in the early 80's. The only thing that is completely predictable is unpredictability. Good luck to us all, and support ALPA PAC. |
Originally Posted by Han Solo
(Post 2546800)
Probably about as much as 30+ year TWA, Pan Am, and Eastern pilots before their worlds came to a screeching halt. Not flinging mud, just my interpretation of what is likely a fact most of us don't want to acknowledge.
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Originally Posted by qball
(Post 2547241)
Pan Am, Twa, Eastern and others were victims of deregulation (and the introduction of LCCs) At the time they were dying AA was going to a 500 plane fleet (heavily domestic) and hiring 120 pilots/month. AA was there then...they adapted and survived where some didn’t. I suspect they have as good a chance of being around in the future as UAL, DAL.
So much for adapting! |
Originally Posted by qball
(Post 2547241)
Pan Am, Twa, Eastern and others were victims of deregulation (and the introduction of LCCs) At the time they were dying AA was going to a 500 plane fleet (heavily domestic) and hiring 120 pilots/month. AA was there then...they adapted and survived where some didn’t. I suspect they have as good a chance of being around in the future as UAL, DAL.
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Originally Posted by Han Solo
(Post 2551302)
You're making my point for me. None of those guys saw deregulation and the following carnage coming. Maybe the next 50 years will be nothing but roses but more than likely something will happen to make all the know-it-alls scratch their heads and say WTF was THAT?
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Originally Posted by Han Solo
(Post 2551302)
You're making my point for me. None of those guys saw deregulation and the following carnage coming. Maybe the next 50 years will be nothing but roses but more than likely something will happen to make all the know-it-alls scratch their heads and say WTF was THAT?
People need to fly from LA to Boston for $99 each way! |
Originally Posted by full of luv
(Post 2552331)
50 years is a long time.... Amazon could invent a transporter machine next year and everything would change...... or age 75 for retirement, or cabotage allowed, or martian attack. Capitalism ensures that companies are continuously looking at ways to do things cheaper/better/with less labor so this job (at the major level at least) will always have potential wolves nipping at your heels.
People need to fly from LA to Boston for $99 each way! |
Originally Posted by Han Solo
(Post 2553292)
Wait until the public accepts a single pilot up front. I'd bet a beer it won't take 50 years.
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Originally Posted by WHACKMASTER
(Post 2553406)
The status quo of two pilots upfront is safe for another 20-30 years especially on the PAX front. I’d bet a case of beer on that.
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Originally Posted by Han Solo
(Post 2553292)
Wait until the public accepts a single pilot up front. I'd bet a beer it won't take 50 years.
The economic incentive really only exists when going from 2 pilots up front to none. Or so I’ve been told. |
Originally Posted by mainlineAF
(Post 2553681)
The economic incentive really only exists when going from 2 pilots up front to none. Or so I’ve been told.
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Originally Posted by stlmikey
(Post 2539623)
I got extremely lucky and recently got a CJO with Delta & American, one week apart. I never thought I'd be in this position to have the option but need to make a decision soon. I will likely be commuting from STL, which neither airline has a crew base, so that's not much of a factor at the moment. Main deciding factors are QOL / days off, commutability, and employee morale. Any advice or opinions are very much appreciated.
Delta for sure |
Have you taken a real look at Great Lakes?
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Originally Posted by Han Solo
(Post 2553292)
Wait until the public accepts a single pilot up front. I'd bet a beer it won't take 50 years.
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Originally Posted by stlmikey
(Post 2539623)
I got extremely lucky and recently got a CJO with Delta & American, one week apart. I never thought I'd be in this position to have the option but need to make a decision soon. I will likely be commuting from STL, which neither airline has a crew base, so that's not much of a factor at the moment. Main deciding factors are QOL / days off, commutability, and employee morale. Any advice or opinions are very much appreciated.
Delta hands down |
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