Boeing CEO says air travel 2-3 yr recovery

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04-29-2020 | 01:48 PM

#11

ExperimentalAB

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Quote:

Originally Posted by CAirBear

My point is, even if not everyone comes back for 2,3,5,10,20 years, all we need is 60-80% of them back which will result in lots of travelers.

Lots of travelers, but maybe not lots of airplane drivers. The point is when will everybody currently employed be re-employed, I think.

04-29-2020 | 05:19 PM

#12

kingairfun

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By next Spring we'll be saying " hey, remember last Spring? Yeah that sucked!"

04-30-2020 | 07:31 AM

#13

FLYBOYMATTHEW

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From: Office Chair

Quote:

Originally Posted by Humbleavi8t0r

Airplane order bookings will definitely be hurt as airlines reshuffle/extend their order books. Airline passengers demand will most likely return sooner after a vaccine is available. Airlines may keep their current airplanes flying longer until profits return.

The mumps vaccine is considered to be the fastest ever approved. It took 4 years.

04-30-2020 | 09:16 AM

#14

Grumpyaviator

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Quote:

Originally Posted by FLYBOYMATTHEW

The mumps vaccine is considered to be the fastest ever approved. It took 4 years.

mumps is not as deadly and the use of technology for approval has improved since 1967, I’m sure.

04-30-2020 | 09:43 AM

#15

rickair7777

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From: Engines Turn or People Swim

Quote:

Originally Posted by FLYBOYMATTHEW

The mumps vaccine is considered to be the fastest ever approved. It took 4 years.

Different era, different urgency. mumps never abruptly collapsed the global economy.

Here's some technology backstory:

https://www.scientificamerican.com/a...r-than-years1/

Current events: multiple vaccines in development with some in trails, and hopes of rushed deployment (precedent for that was an ebola vaccine used in 2018):

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/29/europ...ntl/index.html

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020...iotech-reports

The counterpoint is here, although this media outlet seems to be extremely agenda driven towards negativity on any hope of recovery (may be hoping for a new world order):

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...d-vaccine.html

04-30-2020 | 09:48 AM

#16

senecacaptain

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I don't read NY Times, watch MSNBC or Fox News anymore

04-30-2020 | 09:51 AM

#17

rickair7777

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From: Engines Turn or People Swim

Quote:

Originally Posted by senecacaptain

I don't read NY Times, watch MSNBC or Fox News anymore

In this case, as always NYT has cherry picked some facts that keep them on the agenda script. But they are facts nonetheless, and probably accurately describe the worst case, for anyone interested in what the left and right lateral limits are.

04-30-2020 | 06:03 PM

#18

FLYBOYMATTHEW

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From: Office Chair

Who here is interested in having a vaccine injected into them that has been rushed to market? How long after it hits the market will it become mandatory?

04-30-2020 | 10:20 PM

#19

rickair7777

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From: Engines Turn or People Swim

Quote:

Originally Posted by FLYBOYMATTHEW

Who here is interested in having a vaccine injected into them that has been rushed to market? How long after it hits the market will it become mandatory?

I'll volunteer if it's based on previous vaccine technology.

It won't be mandatory but for some period of time you might have to show your vaccine card (or proof of prior infection) to do some discretionary activities like concerts, movies, ball games, and maybe flying.

05-02-2020 | 08:24 PM

#20

APCsucks

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2-3 years? We'll be lucky if by 2030 were back to pre-corona hiring levels. I say two decades atleast. Theres no way the majors are going to leave thousands of furloughed pilots on the streets.