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Old 03-31-2023, 08:10 AM
  #151  
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Originally Posted by bonvoyage View Post
Finally! My pool-noodle-rental business is bound to take off!
How much does it cost to rent your noodle? And does it come with protection?
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Old 04-01-2023, 12:30 AM
  #152  
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Early to bed early to rise makes a the/they/she/shim/zoom/zam healthy wealthy and wise.
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Old 04-01-2023, 06:09 AM
  #153  
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Originally Posted by sourdough44 View Post
For most of us, picking up an extra trip is likely the best ‘side hustle’, to make $$ anyway.

You have all read ‘Rich Dad, Poor Dad’, right? I’m getting at the ‘offense’ & ‘defense’ with $$. It can get to the point, that an extra $8000 doesn’t matter, when it just goes into that higher dollar car, or whatever.

Then we can get to life expectancy, one needs to prorate the savings. No need to either save everything for the future that may never come, or blow it all today. BWTHDIK.
Chinese savings rate in the 45% range. (They're probably screwed though, because their real estate market is insane)

Japanese in the 25% range.

US savings rate in the 4% range.

Scott Galloway is a great source on this: "It's not what you earn, it's what you burn."
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Old 04-02-2023, 08:13 AM
  #154  
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Originally Posted by DeltaboundRedux View Post
Chinese savings rate in the 45% range. (They're probably screwed though, because their real estate market is insane)

Japanese in the 25% range.
There's such a thing as too much of a good thing.

In the event of a big downturn, all of that savings can readily be converted to smoke by the circumstance, or the powers that be if it's in their interest.

If everybody thinks they can live off their savings while nobody works, you have another thing coming. Guess you could burn piles of cash to stay warm in the winter.

Savings (investments, etc) is best considered to be markers in a game, and the markers only have utility if enough folks are playing the game (ie participating in the economy).
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Old 04-02-2023, 12:36 PM
  #155  
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Hyperinflation (which albeit unlikely is a possibility if China does something dumb with Taiwan) will take care of that 45% pretty dang fast.
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Old 04-02-2023, 01:51 PM
  #156  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777 View Post
There's such a thing as too much of a good thing.

In the event of a big downturn, all of that savings can readily be converted to smoke by the circumstance, or the powers that be if it's in their interest.

If everybody thinks they can live off their savings while nobody works, you have another thing coming. Guess you could burn piles of cash to stay warm in the winter.

Savings (investments, etc) is best considered to be markers in a game, and the markers only have utility if enough folks are playing the game (ie participating in the economy).
If everyone in the US suddenly put away 10% of every paycheck, the economy would probably collapse overnight.

You're certainly right about the "live off savings" prediction. A huge, underappreciated looming problems for countries with aging populations. Someone has to do the heavy lifting.
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Old 04-11-2023, 03:35 AM
  #157  
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Originally Posted by Big E 757 View Post
I have been involved at some level with stock, options, currency, and futures trading for years, and have had some good runs, but would always have something go sideways, and get out too late, and then I’d take a break, or slow down for a while. When Covid hit, I used that time to get more into automated systems for futures trading. I even learned how to write the computer code so I didn’t have to rely on a programmer. Not because I’m too cheap, but often my ideas evolve, or I want to try to add a function ( like I recently added a trend bias filter to keep my mean reversion system out of the way in a trending market, until the price advance or decline slowed down again).

I launched my newest strategy August 1st with real money and as of January 31st, I was up 500% without taking any big risk. I’ve since given back a bit, I’m only up 250ish% with the current market volatility but I’ve reduced position size and trade smaller until things stabilize. It’s been incredibly rewarding learning something like writing computer code, even though it’s not a difficult language (I use TradeStation and their Easylanguage has a lot of built in function and all the indicators are already coded in so easy to reference.) It’s not something I ever would have tried to learn had Covid not happened.

I really enjoy it and running an automated system on 8 different commodities, while it requires more time than I expected, fits me perfectly. I’m not in front of the screen all day, it’s something I can check on once or twice a day, and I run it on a VPS so if things seize up, which does happen if an order doesn’t get filled in 3 minutes, or the VPS just loses its connection, I get a text and email alert so I know to go on and reboot the program. It requires little time, but I do spend time backtesting every couple weeks, and I’m always testing different commodities to find the ones that would trade really well with my system. Other than the last month and a half, the profitability and stability where better than anything I achieved manually trading.

There have been a ton of posts about real estate investing, but only the one about trading, so I thought I’d share my experience. I do love these types of threads too. I’m always interested in what everyone does in their non flying time and how they manage it.
Great posts so far.
Teach me please. 🙏🙏🙏
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Old 04-11-2023, 10:30 AM
  #158  
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Originally Posted by DeltaboundRedux View Post
If everyone in the US suddenly put away 10% of every paycheck, the economy would probably collapse overnight.

You're certainly right about the "live off savings" prediction. A huge, underappreciated looming problems for countries with aging populations. Someone has to do the heavy lifting.
What would happen to the stock market if people were not forced to put untold billions of dollars into the stock and other markets?
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Old 04-12-2023, 06:50 PM
  #159  
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Originally Posted by NuGuy View Post
What would happen to the stock market if people were not forced to put untold billions of dollars into the stock and other markets?
Not sure where else they can put it? Cash devalues daily in an inflationary environment (+/- 5 % now). Major airline pilots are swimming in cash compared to the average US worker. Have to put it somewhere (or just spend it on consumption... gets old, real fast).

Charlie Munger (Buffet's right hand man and pessimist par excellence) isn't optimistic on what all those billions have done to underlying economic fundamentals.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3fF6DXc8fHo "What's Coming Is WORSE Than A Recession" - Charlie Munger's Last WARNING. Excellent production/interview. Particularly his comments on the passing of voting power to new blocs of passive index funds (he takes a dim view). He is positive on the US having a very strong economy and an advancing technological base; doomsayers need to remember this before they put it all in the 3 B's (Bullets, Bullion, Bourbon)

Saving isn't bad. It's "necessary condition, but not sufficient" for building wealth.

Real assets that produce wealth (real estate, maybe agricultural products or those who'll rent your land to do it, lord knows what else) probably better...but time consuming.

Airline pilots at the moment are in the enviable position of being able to "f around and find out" - then learn from their mistakes (without going bankrupt). There's no better teacher.
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Old 04-13-2023, 08:43 PM
  #160  
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Originally Posted by NuGuy View Post
What would happen to the stock market if people were not forced to put untold billions of dollars into the stock and other markets?

Yes, market fundamentals are quite different now in the 401k era than it was prior to the 1990's.
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