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Originally Posted by at6d
(Post 4024148)
Lots of good info in old movies. Like never go full flaps when you are in a race with Knotcher.
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Originally Posted by PNWFlyer
(Post 4024224)
that’s what happened to the Branson kid alright. Sure couldn’t tell him that, after they pealed him off that cliff.
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Originally Posted by havoste
(Post 4023839)
Again, nothing to do with this news from 'sources'. The source is CNBC….. and Bloomberg …… and Wall Street Journal. I hope it doesn’t happen, but it is looking more likely. . |
Originally Posted by FNGFO
(Post 4024242)
I learned you could adjust the mixture of a 152 through the oil service access door and then secure it with chewing gum. Came in very handy later in life.
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Originally Posted by PNWFlyer
(Post 4024279)
We’ll talk about that later, if you come back.
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Originally Posted by Profane Kahuna
(Post 4024271)
The source is CNBC….. and Bloomberg …… and Wall Street Journal.
I hope it doesn’t happen, but it is looking more likely. . I don't see anything on WSJ, Reuters, etc (no Bloomberg subs). |
All those articles are a result of the original Bloomberg article's 'insider source familiar with the matter'.
I wonder if that insider source also pitched a United and American merger earlier this week? Seems like speculative articles like this come out right when Spirit's facing crunch time. Last time was when continued DIP funding was in doubt, articles came out saying other airlines were expecting a shutdown and getting ready to increase capacity. |
Originally Posted by rickair7777
(Post 4024289)
I don't see anything on WSJ, Reuters, etc (no Bloomberg subs).
https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/sto...TCnRVOUpkZShQ3 https://www.reuters.com/business/aut...sk-2026-04-16/ |
Originally Posted by havoste
(Post 4024296)
All those articles are a result of the original Bloomberg article's 'insider source familiar with the matter'.
I wonder if that insider source also pitched a United and American merger earlier this week? Seems like speculative articles like this come out right when Spirit's facing crunch time. Last time was when continued DIP funding was in doubt, articles came out saying other airlines were expecting a shutdown and getting ready to increase capacity. Spirit executives didn’t even deny it though.. they just said no comment. If it wasn’t true and I hope it’s not, then you’d think they would have said so. |
Originally Posted by flyer138
(Post 4024163)
Q- "Have you seen the new PBS program?"
A- "Have you seen my Baseball?" Blank stare. Heaven forbid we have a little fun, even if the younger guys/gals don't get the movie references. F138- |
Originally Posted by havoste
(Post 4024296)
All those articles are a result of the original Bloomberg article's 'insider source familiar with the matter'.
I wonder if that insider source also pitched a United and American merger earlier this week? Seems like speculative articles like this come out right when Spirit's facing crunch time. Last time was when continued DIP funding was in doubt, articles came out saying other airlines were expecting a shutdown and getting ready to increase capacity. Citibank also said Spirit is already in default under parts of its credit agreement and may need to repay more than $35 million or pledge additional collateral. It warned that confirming the current plan could lead to almost immediate liquidation, in part because lenders would have the right to repossess aircraft engines and spare parts pledged as collateral. |
I read the Citibank filing. The situation is dire and they are out of compliance with the revolver. The plan calls for further shafting of the revolver lenders, which due to the structure of the revolver supersedes bankruptcy proceedings. They can call the entirety of the revolver and seize the collateral (engines parts and slots) at any time, which may be the death knell.
The deadline to object to Spirits plan has been extended, which is also alarming. And several filings, including by the US Govt. trustee, have pointed out substantial deficiencies in the reorganization plan, disclosure statement, and the circumspect timing of Spirits filings |
Originally Posted by jdt30
(Post 4024089)
"That's what I hate about new hires, man. I get older, they stay the same age"
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Originally Posted by Jdub2
(Post 4024356)
I read the Citibank filing. The situation is dire and they are out of compliance with the revolver. The plan calls for further shafting of the revolver lenders, which due to the structure of the revolver supersedes bankruptcy proceedings. They can call the entirety of the revolver and seize the collateral (engines parts and slots) at any time, which may be the death knell.
The deadline to object to Spirits plan has been extended, which is also alarming. And several filings, including by the US Govt. trustee, have pointed out substantial deficiencies in the reorganization plan, disclosure statement, and the circumspect timing of Spirits filings Guessing the P&W thing really is what killed them, and then combined with the jetBlue merger getting called off. Then throw in the post-Covid inflation adjustment for wages where the bottom tiered workers handling bags etc at Spirit were making wages much closer to mainline wages. Terrible sequence of events. Had you told me 10 years ago Spirit would be on the verge of liquidating I would've laughed. |
Originally Posted by Name User
(Post 4024360)
Guessing the P&W thing really is what killed them.
That formula also sets rules for valuing collateral. For instance, engines which are “stored . . . with a low expectation of a return to service within the one year following commencement of such storage” must be valued at zero. Id. § 1.01 (definitions of “Stored,” “Appraisal”). The Defaults are serious: the Borrower failed to deliver conforming appraisals as required by Section 5.07 of the Credit Agreement—among other things, the March 2026 Appraisals improperly reflect the post-shop visit value of an in-shop engine, rather than its maintenance condition as of the measurement date, and fail to assign a value of zero to three Stored engines as the Credit Agreement requires. |
Originally Posted by Jdub2
(Post 4024362)
Incidentally that specter is still haunting them. Part of the collateral non compliance is how they value engines:
Three engines must be valued at zero but are currently being represented at market rate for an operating engine. |
Originally Posted by Name User
(Post 4024360)
In the 2010's I sat in on every earnings call they had. Every quarter, YOY growth, and CASM-ex decreasing. 10%-15% margins. Every new market they entered, they generated new traffic, upwards of 30%, from a completely new customer base that the airlines at that time didn't serve (ie Greyhound riders). Doug Parker referred to them as "our Spirit problem". They were coming for AA and I assume factored into his directives in cheapening the airline in an attempt to lower costs to better compete with what he saw as their next competitor.
Guessing the P&W thing really is what killed them, and then combined with the jetBlue merger getting called off. Then throw in the post-Covid inflation adjustment for wages where the bottom tiered workers handling bags etc at Spirit were making wages much closer to mainline wages. Terrible sequence of events. Had you told me 10 years ago Spirit would be on the verge of liquidating I would've laughed. |
Originally Posted by Name User
(Post 4024360)
Doug Parker referred to them as "our Spirit problem". They were coming for AA and I assume factored into his directives in cheapening the airline in an attempt to lower costs to better compete with what he saw as their next competitor.
Doug Parker has a great recent discussion on Airlines Confidential about how transformative Basic Economy (and cabin segmentation in general) has been. The airlines found a way to serve price sensitive customers and simultaneously take care of their high margin customers on the same flight. When the majors can price compete with a ULCC but only for ULCC passengers ... the ULCC loses. |
Originally Posted by VacancyBid
(Post 4024411)
Basic Economy is what killed spirit
Doug Parker has a great recent discussion on Airlines Confidential about how transformative Basic Economy (and cabin segmentation in general) has been. The airlines found a way to serve price sensitive customers and simultaneously take care of their high margin customers on the same flight. When the majors can price compete with a ULCC but only for ULCC passengers ... the ULCC loses. |
Originally Posted by eglplt
(Post 4024420)
This is exactly what happened! The legacy carriers, through basic economy, took away the ULCC pricing elasticity forcing the price the ULCC could charge. Why on earth would you fly Spirit when you could buy a BE ticket on any legacy carrier and receive first and foremost, a semblance of customer service along with many other perks! I guess if you are willing to forego the fight in the back you may be exposed to other more enjoyable experiences!
AA was a huge innovator in data crunching, and had one of the very first computerized reservation systems, and was able to very effectively parse that data to manage inventory of very low fares in response. Their methods drove the low cost carriers to the brink of extinction. Not quite all the way, as People Express was bought by Continental, and UALs EWR operation is the direct descendant. The question as to why this lesson had to be re-learned by the majors is the big mystery. |
Looks like they are meeting with Government next week looking for a lil help.
https://theaircurrent.com/airlines/s...lout-dot-fuel/ |
Originally Posted by Valar Morghulis
(Post 4024574)
Thats not even a new thing. Robert Crandall invented “yield management” in the 80s when the legacies faced the exact same set of circumstances from the likes of New York Air, People Express, Air Florida and the like.
AA was a huge innovator in data crunching, and had one of the very first computerized reservation systems, and was able to very effectively parse that data to manage inventory of very low fares in response. Their methods drove the low cost carriers to the brink of extinction. Not quite all the way, as People Express was bought by Continental, and UALs EWR operation is the direct descendant. The question as to why this lesson had to be re-learned by the majors is the big mystery. |
Originally Posted by Profane Kahuna
(Post 4023816)
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Originally Posted by Judge Smails
(Post 4023845)
Look, as someone that left 12 years of NK seniority behind, I want to believe that it will turn around for them. It was a great place to work. I'll never have an aviation job that good again.
The truth of the matter is the airline hasn't turned a profit in 7 years. At some point something is gonna give, and that give is an unnecessary war in Iran that's driving Jet A prices to an unsustainable level for an airline going through bankruptcy for the second time in as many years. This airline has now been screwed by back to back administrations. |
Originally Posted by hockeypilot44
(Post 4024658)
Fake news as usual. Not liquidating this week.
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Originally Posted by Chimpy
(Post 4024649)
Looks like they are meeting with Government next week looking for a lil help.
https://theaircurrent.com/airlines/s...lout-dot-fuel/ |
Originally Posted by Traffic Alert
(Post 4024723)
and they won’t get a direct bailout, not should they.. A facilitated merger of a few of them maybe..
F9,JBU,NK? 🤔 idk. They’re all heading to DC next week. the low cost sector is fundamentally broken. Something pretty big is getting set up. So much news and rumblings coming out that more consolidation is coming down the pike. |
Originally Posted by westcoastj
(Post 4024740)
F9,JBU,NK? 🤔 idk. They’re all heading to DC next week.
the low cost sector is fundamentally broken. Something pretty big is getting set up. So much news and rumblings coming out that more consolidation is coming down the pike. |
Originally Posted by Chimpy
(Post 4024649)
Looks like they are meeting with Government next week looking for a lil help.
https://theaircurrent.com/airlines/s...lout-dot-fuel/ |
Originally Posted by hockeypilot44
(Post 4024658)
Fake news as usual. Not liquidating this week.
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Originally Posted by westcoastj
(Post 4024740)
F9,JBU,NK? 🤔 idk. They’re all heading to DC next week.
the low cost sector is fundamentally broken. Something pretty big is getting set up. So much news and rumblings coming out that more consolidation is coming down the pike. |
Originally Posted by Lincoln Osiris
(Post 4024771)
I don't see anything about Jetblue going, only Spirit, Frontier, Allegiant, and Avelo.
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Originally Posted by westcoastj
(Post 4024740)
F9,JBU,NK? 🤔 idk. They’re all heading to DC next week.
the low cost sector is fundamentally broken. Something pretty big is getting set up. So much news and rumblings coming out that more consolidation is coming down the pike. |
Originally Posted by RStrawberry
(Post 4024820)
It is broken. It’s being actively exposed. That’s where the consolidating will be. Not United. But someone is merging and getting acquired.
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Originally Posted by AF OneWire
(Post 4024837)
So we’re going to take several unprofitable companies with an unprofitable business model and merge them into a larger company with the same unprofitable business model and expect different results?
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Originally Posted by AF OneWire
(Post 4024837)
So we’re going to take several unprofitable companies with an unprofitable business model and merge them into a larger company with the same unprofitable business model and expect different results?
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Originally Posted by AF OneWire
(Post 4024837)
So we’re going to take several unprofitable companies with an unprofitable business model and merge them into a larger company with the same unprofitable business model and expect different results?
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Originally Posted by Lincoln Osiris
(Post 4024771)
I don't see anything about Jetblue going, only Spirit, Frontier, Allegiant, and Avelo.
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Originally Posted by AF OneWire
(Post 4024837)
So we’re going to take several unprofitable companies with an unprofitable business model and merge them into a larger company with the same unprofitable business model and expect different results?
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These articles read like another attempt at getting some clicks and it managed to get some traction this time so we're talking about it again. When Spirit goes, it'll be like Silver. One day we'll walk past their counter/gate, and they just wont be there. Damn shame for their people but hopefully everyone has their apps out and logbooks updated.
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