Why there will never be a pilot shortage!!
10-21-2016, 03:40 PM
#41
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2012
Posts: 128
Originally Posted by gringo
I think driverless cars will be the predictor of our fate. Once 51% of the population gets to the point where they don't think twice about entering a car with nobody sitting at the wheel, it'll all be downhill from there.
And driverless Ubers are already plying the streets even as I type this right now.
You and I might not like it, but by the time he hits my age my 5 year old boy won't know any other reality...
Remember the elevator operator? Of course not. Our kids will be marveling at the fact that way way back there were actually human beings piloting aircraft...
And driverless Ubers are already plying the streets even as I type this right now.
You and I might not like it, but by the time he hits my age my 5 year old boy won't know any other reality...
Remember the elevator operator? Of course not. Our kids will be marveling at the fact that way way back there were actually human beings piloting aircraft...
Computers and robotics get smarter and faster. At a faster rate(not linear). It may reach a point called The Singularity. And not only this, but they are connected to the Internet.
Saw an article called 'The End of Work.' I've heard of serious debates about Universal Basic Income.
Saying the past shows that technology creates new jobs therefore that must always be the case is a bad assumption. Technology is a game changer and I believe that historical paradigm has run its course. Especially now that computers are getting smarter than people.
That's why it's not just pilots.
10-21-2016, 05:50 PM
#42
Banned
Joined APC: Dec 2009
Position: Narrow/Left Wide/Right
Posts: 3,655
Originally Posted by Bigapplepilot
Yes but you need to watch the video 'Humans need not apply.'(posted a couple pages back). I believe future kids will see the day come when the concept of a 'career' went away just like the Elevator Operator. The Economist and Newsweek recently had articles about robotic surgeons. Look up IBMs Watson and medical diagnostics. Computers look up case precedent faster than a human lawyer.
Computers and robotics get smarter and faster. At a faster rate(not linear). It may reach a point called The Singularity. And not only this, but they are connected to the Internet.
Saw an article called 'The End of Work.' I've heard of serious debates about Universal Basic Income.
Saying the past shows that technology creates new jobs therefore that must always be the case is a bad assumption. Technology is a game changer and I believe that historical paradigm has run its course. Especially now that computers are getting smarter than people.
That's why it's not just pilots.
Computers and robotics get smarter and faster. At a faster rate(not linear). It may reach a point called The Singularity. And not only this, but they are connected to the Internet.
Saw an article called 'The End of Work.' I've heard of serious debates about Universal Basic Income.
Saying the past shows that technology creates new jobs therefore that must always be the case is a bad assumption. Technology is a game changer and I believe that historical paradigm has run its course. Especially now that computers are getting smarter than people.
That's why it's not just pilots.
10-22-2016, 08:18 AM
#43
Prime Minister/Moderator
Joined APC: Jan 2006
Position: Engines Turn Or People Swim
Posts: 39,293
Originally Posted by Std Deviation
The last human fighter pilot has likely already been born.
The Navy's unmanned strike/recon test aircraft has been demoted to carrier-based airborne tanker. After all the testing they are confident it can land, take off, and execute a holding pattern.
For combat or ops in a contested environment, you can't anticipate and pre-program responses for anything the enemy might think of to do so, so you really need a general AI, which doesn't exist yet (whole nother can of worms there).
10-22-2016, 08:25 AM
#44
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Joined APC: Sep 2011
Position: Hates Commuting
Posts: 888
Originally Posted by horrido27
No they are not!
Please read actually news articles and not the headlines. There are no Uber driveless vehicles on the roads. Be it Pittsburgh or anywhere else. All these "driveless" vehicles have two drivers in them!
Uber launches driverless car service in landmark US trial - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)
We are decades away from pilotless air carriers.
Please read actually news articles and not the headlines. There are no Uber driveless vehicles on the roads. Be it Pittsburgh or anywhere else. All these "driveless" vehicles have two drivers in them!
Uber launches driverless car service in landmark US trial - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)
We are decades away from pilotless air carriers.
Airbus offers a peek at its flying taxi - Oct. 20, 2016
10-22-2016, 11:51 AM
#46
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2015
Posts: 147
Originally Posted by Bucknut
Sioux City Accident: No procedure for what happened, AI can not reason like humans and that is what saved the day and why a human will always be in the flightdeck.
10-22-2016, 12:40 PM
#47
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Joined APC: May 2009
Position: Square root of the variance and average of the variation
Posts: 1,602
Originally Posted by hvydvr
The first robot that is three miles in trail of landing traffic at LGA and gets told to start S turns in order to get a departure out is going to sh!t itself.
Or get "nervous" that it only has 3 miles, further dorking it up. Under the new RECAT 2.5 is not uncommon- except that pilots not used to it get spooked. Robots in ATC as well soon?
10-22-2016, 12:42 PM
#48
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Joined APC: May 2009
Position: Square root of the variance and average of the variation
Posts: 1,602
Originally Posted by rickair7777
No. Despite the pronouncement of a previous SECDEF that the F-35 would be the last manned fighter, the navy and air force have started development on the next-gen strike fighter and it will be manned (perhaps optionally for some missions).
The Navy's unmanned strike/recon test aircraft has been demoted to carrier-based airborne tanker. After all the testing they are confident it can land, take off, and execute a holding pattern.
For combat or ops in a contested environment, you can't anticipate and pre-program responses for anything the enemy might think of to do so, so you really need a general AI, which doesn't exist yet (whole nother can of worms there).
The Navy's unmanned strike/recon test aircraft has been demoted to carrier-based airborne tanker. After all the testing they are confident it can land, take off, and execute a holding pattern.
For combat or ops in a contested environment, you can't anticipate and pre-program responses for anything the enemy might think of to do so, so you really need a general AI, which doesn't exist yet (whole nother can of worms there).
10-22-2016, 02:16 PM
#49
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2015
Posts: 147
People- the advancement of technology is exponential. The new technology we see 10 years from now will be orders of magnitude more advanced than the technology we have now.
Technology will advance at a faster rate over the next 10 years than it has over the past 20, and then even faster than that over the following 5 years.
It's not a question of how fast it will take to make it technologically possible. It's a question of how slow companies and the FAA will be at facilitating it.
Technology will advance at a faster rate over the next 10 years than it has over the past 20, and then even faster than that over the following 5 years.
It's not a question of how fast it will take to make it technologically possible. It's a question of how slow companies and the FAA will be at facilitating it.
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