CAL says NO to merger
#31
I Missed a Chapter or Two
I personally think the new DAL/NWA will eat UAL and CAL alive. Hopefully UAL will find another merger partner (American or US Air). Otherwise, good luck to everyone at UAL. I think there is a major chance of furloughs this fall now that the merger has not gone through. As for CAL, there is much more danger in being independent than being the world's largest (and strongest) airline.
Secondly, where does the thought process that "mergers will help both carriers survive" come from ? How does putting two route structures together compensate for record crude oil futures and projections of continued increases for months to come. Yes, reducing some of the route duplication can account for small savings and some economy of scale is realized but in the long run, there has to be more downside risk. Read Bob Crandall's recent speech. There is a man who hit the nail on the head in talking about "mergers".
As for United, I think the music is slowing down. Forget AMR as a dance partner. NEVER happen. American is way to smart to crawl into bed with that dog. I believe United and U.S. Air tried to dance once before and the results were a disaster! I hope that I'm wrong but United just realized the music stopped and there are no chairs left.
If I had an extra $2.00 in my pocket, I'd go to the window and bet on CAL as an independent carrier. I'd rather be a healthy smaller dog than a big one struggling to contain costs, obtain labor peace (that's going to be fun!) and mesh two different carriers, cultures and philosophies.
Good luck to all !!
G'Day Mates
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04-28-2008 07:08 PM