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why is SKYW interested in XJT at all?

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Old 05-23-2008 | 07:27 AM
  #11  
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Originally Posted by tpersuit
Couldn't be happier that we have one fleet of 50-seaters. They cost less per hour to operate than any 70-seater out there. Also as fuel rises, you need to increase your ticket prices a ton. Any 70-seat market those 50-seaters were turning into are reverting back to a 50-seat market. Until you invent a 70-seater that burns the same gas per hour the 50-seater will NEVER DIE.
Cost Per Seat, bigger is better in most cases...a 70-seat CRJ costs about 12% more to operate, but carries 40% more pax. If the market supports a few more pax, the 70 is better.
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Old 05-23-2008 | 08:08 AM
  #12  
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I keep hearing the same solutions form everyone:
1. Raise ticket prices
2. Drop 50 seaters in favor of 70 seaters

However, I think tpersuit's point is that if you RAISE prices, you lose some passengers, which would make the 50 seater more economical.

Example: On a certain route, there is enough demand (55-65 pax per flight) to put a 70 seater on it instead of a 50 seater. Then the airline raises ticket prices and now there are only roughly 40-45 passenger per flight. With the raise in ticket prices, the airline is making the same revenue, but is operating cheaper using the 50 seater.

These are only for some, not all routes before all you -700 pilots jump on me..
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Old 05-23-2008 | 08:37 AM
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Originally Posted by doug_or
SkyWest will no necessarily get CO flying if the can't buy XJT. I believe all XJT has to do is match SKW's bid to keep the flying. SKW doesn't want to just buy the stock because they would be bound by the XJT pilot's scope clause.
CAL had all of its eggs in one basket with the regional flying. If something big happened at X-jet ie: work group strike or some other sort of job action CAL would have been hosed! They are one of the few with so little diversity in the regional market. They were going to give flying to someone be it CHQ or MESA or SKYW regardless of what Xjet may of purposed.
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Old 05-23-2008 | 08:39 AM
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Originally Posted by Roper92
I keep hearing the same solutions form everyone:
1. Raise ticket prices
2. Drop 50 seaters in favor of 70 seaters

However, I think tpersuit's point is that if you RAISE prices, you lose some passengers, which would make the 50 seater more economical.

Example: On a certain route, there is enough demand (55-65 pax per flight) to put a 70 seater on it instead of a 50 seater. Then the airline raises ticket prices and now there are only roughly 40-45 passenger per flight. With the raise in ticket prices, the airline is making the same revenue, but is operating cheaper using the 50 seater.

These are only for some, not all routes before all you -700 pilots jump on me..
While I agree that a ticket price increase in certainly overdue, I suspect that the airlines are of the opinion that the majority of their revenue comes from families, and other budget concious people. A small increase in price would likely result in a large decrease in demand, meaning that the example above doesn't work well. If they can fill the larger plane, it's almost always a better idea.
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Old 05-23-2008 | 08:40 AM
  #15  
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Originally Posted by Roper92
I keep hearing the same solutions form everyone:
1. Raise ticket prices
2. Drop 50 seaters in favor of 70 seaters

However, I think tpersuit's point is that if you RAISE prices, you lose some passengers, which would make the 50 seater more economical.

Example: On a certain route, there is enough demand (55-65 pax per flight) to put a 70 seater on it instead of a 50 seater. Then the airline raises ticket prices and now there are only roughly 40-45 passenger per flight. With the raise in ticket prices, the airline is making the same revenue, but is operating cheaper using the 50 seater.

These are only for some, not all routes before all you -700 pilots jump on me..
The our lift customers start reducing capacity there will be more than enough people to fill 70-100 seat aircraft. Which will also raise fares and be mucho less expensive to operate.
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Old 05-23-2008 | 08:46 AM
  #16  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777
Diversity is always a good thing.

Historically, skywest CPA's have ALWAYS been reaffirmed very early in the BK process. Both DAL and UAL appeared to want to retain SKW rather them than leave them nervous and looking for other uses for the airplanes. If a BK company does not reaffirm a contract, the OTHER party can leave anytime they like.

There's no indication that UAL wants to get rid of SKW. Actually I would be more worried about a UAL liquidation than anything else.
Make no mistake, we're all just as vulnerable as the next guy. SKW is no different.
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Old 05-23-2008 | 08:55 AM
  #17  
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Originally Posted by reelbigchair
While I agree that a ticket price increase in certainly overdue, I suspect that the airlines are of the opinion that the majority of their revenue comes from families, and other budget concious people. A small increase in price would likely result in a large decrease in demand, meaning that the example above doesn't work well. If they can fill the larger plane, it's almost always a better idea.
Absolutely, if you can fill the bigger plane, throw it on the route because it WILL make more money. I was talking about the result of a combination of raising fares with placing larger aircraft on certain routes. It wouldn't work. With current ticket prices, it is very hard to make money off of 50 seat RJs. I haven't seen any hard facts, but someone pointed out that an ERJ-145 has to fill 45 seats (or 90% load) to break even and I believe it. If you look at the difference in fuel burn vs. the extra 20 seats you could potentially fill, the 70 seater is more economical.

I personally think the airlines need to play the supply/demand game. Cut capacity and raise fares. The people who can afford to fly will fly. Those who can't can either drive or just stay home.
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Old 05-23-2008 | 09:07 AM
  #18  
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Originally Posted by SAABaroowski
they can hack up their CPA with SKywest, then where where will that leave their precious pilot group???????????????

It seems odd that you actually have an issue with our pilot group. Not sure what any one of us ever did to anybody in your house, but at least you're consistent.
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Old 05-23-2008 | 12:11 PM
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Originally Posted by TonyWilliams
It seems odd that you actually have an issue with our pilot group. Not sure what any one of us ever did to anybody in your house, but at least you're consistent.
I think it may just be frustration that the SKW pilot group, in not being unionized, has indirectly allowed your management to put this whipsaw deal on all of us.
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Old 05-23-2008 | 12:44 PM
  #20  
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I love the term "whipsaw." Is that a real term used in business?

Hey all, SkyWest pilots, being non-union, have little to do with our total cost structure. We do, though, have a lot to offer in regard to our top notch product we give our major contractors. It's just business. We can do it for less, so contracts get sent our way.

Also, I'd actually like to compare W-2s at the end of the year and see how well other regional pilots compare to SkyWest pilots. I'd bet not as well if you were to compare apples to apples, JMHO.
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