Interesting letter from Roger Cohen I found
#11
Prime Minister/Moderator

Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 45,127
Likes: 796
From: Engines Turn or People Swim
I laughed so hard at that I think I may have woken up my wife who is sleeping upstairs!
But more seriously, as good as this article is, the flying public is not being held accountable for their own actions in my opinion.
If the public continues to base purchasing decisions based on dirt cheap prices and not based on safety and quality, the results are predictable. I think a lot of these articles and TV specials need to emphasize that the consumers themselves are driving the industry.
But more seriously, as good as this article is, the flying public is not being held accountable for their own actions in my opinion.
If the public continues to base purchasing decisions based on dirt cheap prices and not based on safety and quality, the results are predictable. I think a lot of these articles and TV specials need to emphasize that the consumers themselves are driving the industry.
Airline tickets should be labeled like food for safety risk, relative to the airline industry as a whole with special warnings for certain categories...
Bottom-feeder Airlines Flight 3707:
Flight Crew Pay: 9% percentile
Flight Crew Experience level: 6% percentile
Flight Crew Saturated Experience Level: 3% percentile (operational experience acquired outside of formal training programs)
Flight Crew Rest Rules: 4% percentile
Cabin Crew Pay: 8% Percentile
Maintenance Budget (pro rata): 2% percentile
Ten Year Incident/Accident Rate (industry normalized): 1,790%
WARNING: This airline employs flight crew members with no prior commercial pilot experience.
WARNING: This airline employs fight crew members who do not hold an Airline Transport Pilot License.
WARNING: This airline utilizes Flight Crew rest rules which do not meet the NTSB recommended minimum daily rest allowance.
WARNING: This airline has been found in violation of FAA maintenance requirements within the previous five years.
WARNING: This airline's historical accident is significantly higher than industry average. This historical travel risk corresponds approximately to:
[ ] Staying home in your basement bomb shelter
[ ] Normal Airline Travel
[ ] Taking the Train
[ ] Cross country travel in a large automobile
[ ] Cross country travel in a small private airplane
[ ] Landing a Fighter Jet on an Aircraft Carrier, at night, in storm conditions.
[X] Cross country travel on a motorcycle, in winter storm conditions
[ ] Travel to the International Space Station
#12
Bracing for Fallacies
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 3,543
Likes: 0
From: In favor of good things, not in favor of bad things
Not entirely their fault, there are not any product labels or warnings required.
Airline tickets should be labeled like food for safety risk, relative to the airline industry as a whole with special warnings for certain categories...
Bottom-feeder Airlines Flight 3707:
Flight Crew Pay: 9% percentile
Flight Crew Experience level: 6% percentile
Flight Crew Saturated Experience Level: 3% percentile (operational experience acquired outside of formal training programs)
Flight Crew Rest Rules: 4% percentile
Cabin Crew Pay: 8% Percentile
Maintenance Budget (pro rata): 2% percentile
Ten Year Incident/Accident Rate (industry normalized): 1,790%
WARNING: This airline employs flight crew members with no prior commercial pilot experience.
WARNING: This airline employs fight crew members who do not hold an Airline Transport Pilot License.
WARNING: This airline utilizes Flight Crew rest rules which do not meet the NTSB recommended minimum daily rest allowance.
WARNING: This airline has been found in violation of FAA maintenance requirements within the previous five years.
WARNING: This airline's historical accident is significantly higher than industry average. This historical travel risk corresponds approximately to:
[ ] Staying home in your basement bomb shelter
[ ] Normal Airline Travel
[ ] Taking the Train
[ ] Cross country travel in a large automobile
[ ] Cross country travel in a small private airplane
[ ] Landing a Fighter Jet on an Aircraft Carrier, at night, in storm conditions.
[X] Cross country travel on a motorcycle, in winter storm conditions
[ ] Travel to the International Space Station
Airline tickets should be labeled like food for safety risk, relative to the airline industry as a whole with special warnings for certain categories...
Bottom-feeder Airlines Flight 3707:
Flight Crew Pay: 9% percentile
Flight Crew Experience level: 6% percentile
Flight Crew Saturated Experience Level: 3% percentile (operational experience acquired outside of formal training programs)
Flight Crew Rest Rules: 4% percentile
Cabin Crew Pay: 8% Percentile
Maintenance Budget (pro rata): 2% percentile
Ten Year Incident/Accident Rate (industry normalized): 1,790%
WARNING: This airline employs flight crew members with no prior commercial pilot experience.
WARNING: This airline employs fight crew members who do not hold an Airline Transport Pilot License.
WARNING: This airline utilizes Flight Crew rest rules which do not meet the NTSB recommended minimum daily rest allowance.
WARNING: This airline has been found in violation of FAA maintenance requirements within the previous five years.
WARNING: This airline's historical accident is significantly higher than industry average. This historical travel risk corresponds approximately to:
[ ] Staying home in your basement bomb shelter
[ ] Normal Airline Travel
[ ] Taking the Train
[ ] Cross country travel in a large automobile
[ ] Cross country travel in a small private airplane
[ ] Landing a Fighter Jet on an Aircraft Carrier, at night, in storm conditions.
[X] Cross country travel on a motorcycle, in winter storm conditions
[ ] Travel to the International Space Station
#13
Remember when the last Levi Strauss closed it's last U.S. based factory and outsourced overseas? The same thing is happening to us. It's not just the airlines either, it's every job of value which can be done by someone else more cheaply in a Third World Country. Next up; cabotage.
BTW, telling the pilots of a start-up "bottom-feeder" airline to hold the line against corporate greed while the legacies are back-pedaling to the 1960s is worse than hypocritical. It is useless finger-pointing which puts the blame on the wrong party. I don't fault the Colgan pilots for the actions of their company. Although those pilots in the industry who have more experience in both flying and unionism could have helped mitigate these issues if they'd chosen to work together on the problem, the main problem is much larger than the airline industry. The power money has on almost everything in our nation overtakes many of our traditional values as America citizens and it has overtaken certain aspects of airline safety.
The many statements by Mr. Cohen poo-pooing safety concerns voiced by ALPA such as fatigue, low pay, scheduling and so forth are the perfect example of what I am writing about.
#14
But more seriously, as good as this article is, the flying public is not being held accountable for their own actions in my opinion.
If the public continues to base purchasing decisions based on dirt cheap prices and not based on safety and quality, the results are predictable. I think a lot of these articles and TV specials need to emphasize that the consumers themselves are driving the industry.
Excellent point, and very true.
If the public continues to base purchasing decisions based on dirt cheap prices and not based on safety and quality, the results are predictable. I think a lot of these articles and TV specials need to emphasize that the consumers themselves are driving the industry.
Excellent point, and very true.
#15
Prime Minister/Moderator

Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 45,127
Likes: 796
From: Engines Turn or People Swim
1. Labor and their associated politicians will not sit still for this. It simply could not happen in the current political environment.
2. Public Perception. This is weak but #1 will play up #3 and #4, and probably get the general public to oppose cabotage.
3. National Security.
4. Safety. This could be a real concern...if they are cheap enough to undercut us in our own domain, they might not have exemplary safety standards.
I suspect that we will not see true domestic cabotage, but eventually all international flying will done under code-share by the lowest-cost airlines...this will be bad for US and European crews.
BTW, telling the pilots of a start-up "bottom-feeder" airline to hold the line against corporate greed while the legacies are back-pedaling to the 1960s is worse than hypocritical. It is useless finger-pointing which puts the blame on the wrong party. I don't fault the Colgan pilots for the actions of their company.
Entry-level pilots need to realize that regionals are no longer a place to pay dues...dues paid at a regional will not get you anything anymore! Maybe a job at a major, commuting to reserve making what an average accountant can pull down. But not everyone will even get that far....
#16
Can't be ruled out entirely but there are some significant hurdles which will not be overcome anytime soon...
1. Labor and their associated politicians will not sit still for this. It simply could not happen in the current political environment.
2. Public Perception. This is weak but #1 will play up #3 and #4, and probably get the general public to oppose cabotage.
3. National Security.
4. Safety. This could be a real concern...if they are cheap enough to undercut us in our own domain, they might not have exemplary safety standards.
1. Labor and their associated politicians will not sit still for this. It simply could not happen in the current political environment.
2. Public Perception. This is weak but #1 will play up #3 and #4, and probably get the general public to oppose cabotage.
3. National Security.
4. Safety. This could be a real concern...if they are cheap enough to undercut us in our own domain, they might not have exemplary safety standards.
While you make many good points, a few comments on them:
1. The pro-labor politicians are not as strong nor as prevalent as needed in order to stop a move by global corporations towards cabotage.
2. The Public wants to fly First Class in a 777 from Tupelo to Peoria direct for $99 and a free hotel night coupon. What they want and what they will settle for on Orbitz are two different things.
3. If it came down to it, I could see the US government subsidizing a national airline (singular) for national security reasons but that day is a long way away, if ever arriving. There are plenty of airlines in the USA for government contracting. It would take more than a couple of them going Tango Uniform before any government officials would bat an eye about national security concerns.
4. Americans want price first. Sure, safety standards will be applied just like they are to Mexican 18-wheelers northbound on I-35 under NAFTA.

Well there's a big difference between colgan and the majors...the majors at least still pay a living wage that you can support a family on, maybe not in style, but at least vital needs and basic amenities. Also their regular workdays are not as abuse-filled as bottom-feeder regional pilots.
The days of major airline pilots looking down their noses at FLAPs has resulted in what we see presently in our industry.
The real culprit here is the Airline Deregulation Act. If pilots don't hang together, then, like Ben Franklin said, "we shall most assuredly hang separately."
Pilots blaming pilots have done nothing except waste time and making a few pilots feel better about themselves. Meanwhile, it's management raking in the bonuses and its pilots who are taking the hits in pay, benefits and quality of life.
#17
Prime Minister/Moderator

Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 45,127
Likes: 796
From: Engines Turn or People Swim
Oh, yeah I forgot the CRAF (Civil Reserve Air Fleet). A large percentage of US airliners are actually "Military Reservists"...they can be activated by the DoD to carry personnel and supplies in support of major contingency operations. When that happens they are operated normally by their company and it's pilots, but the schedules, destinations, and manifests are dictated by the DoD (which pays for it of course).
I think 1300-1400 airliners are part of this program, mostly heavies...probably ALL of the heavies in US airline service. If those went away due to cabotage the USAF would have to buy something like 800 C-5's and 500 C-17's

Deregulation is long gone, under the bridge, down the river, and out to sea...that water is halfway to antartica by now! Why waste your breath on that?
I am not trying to bash or make anyone feel bad for the sake of feeling bad. We all have to wake up to the new reality...career regional pilots (most of them) need to make their companies a comfortable, if not lucrative, place to hang out. Some folks may benefit from a little enlightenment...if other companies can avoid abusing their employees, why can't they all?
I think 1300-1400 airliners are part of this program, mostly heavies...probably ALL of the heavies in US airline service. If those went away due to cabotage the USAF would have to buy something like 800 C-5's and 500 C-17's

Deregulation is long gone, under the bridge, down the river, and out to sea...that water is halfway to antartica by now! Why waste your breath on that?
I am not trying to bash or make anyone feel bad for the sake of feeling bad. We all have to wake up to the new reality...career regional pilots (most of them) need to make their companies a comfortable, if not lucrative, place to hang out. Some folks may benefit from a little enlightenment...if other companies can avoid abusing their employees, why can't they all?
#18
They need to realize that they are in competition with some outdated ideas by legacy pilots about the future of domestic airlines in the USA and where they are most likely to spend the rest of their careers.
As for those same legacy pilots, they have a choice; continue seeing and treating the regional pilots as the enemy or seek to forge a strong and fair bond with them in order to exert as much control over their own careers as possible.
#19
Prime Minister/Moderator

Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 45,127
Likes: 796
From: Engines Turn or People Swim
If you seriously think the effects of deregulation are over and done with, then what do you attribute to the continued rise of low cost airlines and, what you term, "bottom feeders"? How could they even have existed prior to 1978? Air Transportation: Deregulation and Its Consequences
No doubt, they are sowing the seeds of their own destruction. Unfortunately, the senior leaders who only need to milk another ten or fewer years out of the system have no incentive to take a long term view. TODAY the RJ pilots subsidize a higher hourly rate for them. Tomorrow...who even cares about tomorrow, they'll be over the age of 65.
#20
The modern airline industry will consist of large, low cost midsized airliners flown by the former regionals and severely downsized major airlines reinventing themselves as primarily international and major hub-to-major hub airlines.
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