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-   -   Malaysian 777 missing (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/safety/80284-malaysian-777-missing.html)

savall 03-09-2014 08:57 PM


Originally Posted by satpak77 (Post 1599016)

BBC is reporting that the stolen passport dudes had planned to continue to Europe. Instead, they went swimming.

BBC News - Missing Malaysia Airlines plane: How were stolen passports used?

Which would also make them probably not very bright, but explain why they had been using EU passports. :confused:

MrDK 03-09-2014 08:59 PM


Originally Posted by JustAMushroom (Post 1598924)
Malaysian authorities just announced the tickets purchased using the stolen passports were bought at the same time and are numbers sequentially.

This is giving me a bad feeling.

Yes both passports were stolen in Phuket and both tickets purchased in Pattaya.
A lot of passports are stolen in Thailand and there is an "underground" business selling them. Tourists gladly hand over their passports for renting something or even a guided tour ... and oops, lost.
While the two passports have been reported stolen at different times, they could very well have been purchased at the same time.

My guess is that your bad feeling is not going to get any better

FlugzeugVW 03-10-2014 06:11 AM

The latest is that some airliner spotted a debris field SE of HCM City just off shore...

CBreezy 03-10-2014 08:03 AM

Al Jeezera was reporting that reports of debris off the Vietnam coast were false. Where did you get your information?

RetiredFTS 03-10-2014 08:28 AM

Anyone else a little concerned how this will impact our profession if it turns out to be terrorism? Even a catastrophic mechanical on the 777 could impact public's travel decisions.

gdube94 03-10-2014 08:31 AM

MSNBC reporting that the search area has widened to included mainland Malaysia. Anyone else reporting that?

CBreezy 03-10-2014 08:37 AM


Originally Posted by RetiredFTS (Post 1599290)
Anyone else a little concerned how this will impact our profession if it turns out to be terrorism? Even a catastrophic mechanical on the 777 could impact public's travel decisions.

I'm not worried about it at all. American's are incredibly myopic. In fact, I'd argue that even though it's all over the news feeds, most Americans probably couldn't care less. It happened in a part of the world most don't even realize exists on an airline they've never heard of.

CBreezy 03-10-2014 09:11 AM

I don't know if it was brought up earlier, but the US Government said our satellites did not pick up any explosions in the region. So, unless terrorists managed to unscrew every bolt on the wings, it is highly unlikely it was a bomb. What else could cause a mid-air disintegration? If there was a catastrophic powerplant and electrical failure and trimmed in cruise flight, how likely is a 180 degree turn before completely losing control?

rickair7777 03-10-2014 09:28 AM


Originally Posted by CBreezy (Post 1599331)
I don't know if it was brought up earlier, but the US Government said our satellites did not pick up any explosions in the region. So, unless terrorists managed to unscrew every bolt on the wings, it is highly unlikely it was a bomb. What else could cause a mid-air disintegration? If there was a catastrophic powerplant and electrical failure and trimmed in cruise flight, how likely is a 180 degree turn before completely losing control?

That just means they didn't see anything. It doesn't mean they would have for certain seen something if it had happened.

A high-resolution satellite would be able to see exactly what happened...if it was looking right at the airplane. Those satellites are in high-demand and probably focused on the middle east or somebody's military facilities, not open ocean.

The satellites best suited to that sort of thing would be the ones designed to detect strategic missile launches...they constantly cover large areas and look for thermal blooms (ballistic missiles but out a lot of heat on launch). I would think if the airplanes' fuel atomized and ignited in the air then such a satellite could have spotted it. But a small HE charge causing structural failure would not be enough to show up unless a lot fuel burned all at once.

blastoff 03-10-2014 09:39 AM


Originally Posted by CBreezy (Post 1599331)
I don't know if it was brought up earlier, but the US Government said our satellites did not pick up any explosions in the region. So, unless terrorists managed to unscrew every bolt on the wings, it is highly unlikely it was a bomb. What else could cause a mid-air disintegration? If there was a catastrophic powerplant and electrical failure and trimmed in cruise flight, how likely is a 180 degree turn before completely losing control?

Is that so? :rolleyes:

rickair7777 03-10-2014 09:49 AM


Originally Posted by RetiredFTS (Post 1599290)
Anyone else a little concerned how this will impact our profession if it turns out to be terrorism? Even a catastrophic mechanical on the 777 could impact public's travel decisions.

Not worried at all. Being a non-western airline, the public will assume it was a beater airplane maintained by dudes wearing loinclothes using junkyard parts, and flown by incompetents who had been fired from every previous pilot job they had.

If it was terrorism, they'll just write it off to poor security in the third world.

blastoff 03-10-2014 09:57 AM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 1599356)
If it was terrorism, they'll just write it off to poor security in the third world.

Moreover, if terrorism, they will rest assured that they are attacking easier targets in the 3rd world rather than the western security apparatus.

JoeyMeatballs 03-10-2014 10:33 AM

Looks like it may have been a terrorist attack. It was an Iranian who purchased a ticket with a stolen passport.

CBreezy 03-10-2014 10:46 AM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 1599345)
That just means they didn't see anything. It doesn't mean they would have for certain seen something if it had happened.

A high-resolution satellite would be able to see exactly what happened...if it was looking right at the airplane. Those satellites are in high-demand and probably focused on the middle east or somebody's military facilities, not open ocean.

The satellites best suited to that sort of thing would be the ones designed to detect strategic missile launches...they constantly cover large areas and look for thermal blooms (ballistic missiles but out a lot of heat on launch). I would think if the airplanes' fuel atomized and ignited in the air then such a satellite could have spotted it. But a small HE charge causing structural failure would not be enough to show up unless a lot fuel burned all at once.

Don't ask how I know, but if "they" said there was no evidence, there was no explosion. I know I give people a hard time for saying that but in this case it's not worth jail.

rickair7777 03-10-2014 10:49 AM


Originally Posted by JoeyMeatballs (Post 1599389)
Looks like it may have been a terrorist attack. It was an Iranian who purchased a ticket with a stolen passport.


Iran is the last group that would do something like this to China. China and (and Russia) have always been somewhat reluctant to apply sanctions against Iran...they have dragged down the west's efforts to contain the Iranian nuclear program. Iran wouldn't bite that hand...I can't even think of why they would want to.

CBreezy 03-10-2014 10:51 AM


Originally Posted by JoeyMeatballs (Post 1599389)
Looks like it may have been a terrorist attack. It was an Iranian who purchased a ticket with a stolen passport.

That's quite a leap. How would it be any different if an Iranian had a stolen or real passport? You don't get to carry on bombs in either case. Also, what's the motivation of an Iranian hijacking or blowing up a Malaysia Airline flying from China to the South Pacific?

blastoff 03-10-2014 11:24 AM


Originally Posted by CBreezy (Post 1599406)
That's quite a leap. How would it be any different if an Iranian had a stolen or real passport? You don't get to carry on bombs in either case. Also, what's the motivation of an Iranian hijacking or blowing up a Malaysia Airline flying from China to the South Pacific?

The only "leap" is your assertion that lack of satellite info means there wasn't an explosion.

You sound more and more like a "truther" with every post.

savall 03-10-2014 11:48 AM

How long before this thread gets locked ? It's not like any sign of the plane has even been found; those government satellites may also not be looking for the size of a jet blowing up. I'm no expert, but I believe the kind of weapons those monitor are much larger.

Wild wild wild speculation here.

CBreezy 03-10-2014 11:57 AM


Originally Posted by blastoff (Post 1599420)
The"leap" is your assertion that lack of satellite info means there wasn't an explosion.

You sound more and more like a "truther" with every post.

I'm not a truther. I just happened to have a security clearance with a need to know when I was an Air Force officer.

Also, most strategic weapons are smaller than regional jets. How big of a signature do you think they look for?

blastoff 03-10-2014 12:02 PM


Originally Posted by CBreezy (Post 1599431)
I'm not a truther. I just happened to have a security clearance with a need to know when I was an Air Force officer.

Me too. My TS/SCI doesn't mean jack, or that you can eliminate an explosion due to "no evidence found." Haven't found the aircraft yet either.

Also doesn't mean that we think there was an explosion, but you can't eliminate it at this point...I've known many "experts" in that realm going back to the OKC bombing who ended up wrong despite honest evidence supporting their argument. Lots of ways this can go.

PolarBear 03-10-2014 12:14 PM

To Wannabees
 
For those who fly the C-172s as flight instructors to build hours, to those who fly a regional jet at minimal wages, to those that aspire to fly a big jet internationally, this is the real world that you will enter and the responsibilites you will undertake.

savall 03-10-2014 12:14 PM


Originally Posted by CBreezy (Post 1599431)
I'm not a truther. I just happened to have a security clearance with a need to know when I was an Air Force officer.

Also, most strategic weapons are smaller than regional jets. How big of a signature do you think they look for?

I meant the size of the explosion, not the weapon itself. Either way, I don't know much about it and was making a guess. I have zero familiarity with military ops aside from two guys I drink with and an uncle.

CBreezy 03-10-2014 12:18 PM

I'm not saying it wasn't brought down by nefarious forces just that it didn't go the way of TWA 800 or anything similar.

blastoff 03-10-2014 12:26 PM


Originally Posted by CBreezy (Post 1599447)
I'm not saying it wasn't brought down by nefarious forces just that it didn't go the way of TWA 800 or anything similar.

Fair enough. I'm inclined to agree at this point.

Mesabah 03-10-2014 12:28 PM


Originally Posted by PolarBear (Post 1599445)
For those who fly the C-172s as flight instructors to build hours, to those who fly a regional jet at minimal wages, to those that aspire to fly a big jet internationally, this is the real world that you will enter and the responsibilites you will undertake.

The 747 Captain rates at Polar are less than the 737 FO rates at Delta.

FDXLAG 03-10-2014 12:30 PM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 1599403)
Iran is the last group that would do something like this to China. China and (and Russia) have always been somewhat reluctant to apply sanctions against Iran...they have dragged down the west's efforts to contain the Iranian nuclear program. Iran wouldn't bite that hand...I can't even think of why they would want to.

Not to mention Malaysia is an Islamic country.

web500sjc 03-10-2014 12:44 PM


Originally Posted by CBreezy (Post 1599447)
I'm not saying it wasn't brought down by nefarious forces just that it didn't go the way of TWA 800 or anything similar.

if it fell apart up high, there would be a large debris field, like TWA, comet or Lockerbie...

Mesabah 03-10-2014 01:02 PM


Originally Posted by web500sjc (Post 1599471)
if it fell apart up high, there would be a large debris field, like TWA, comet or Lockerbie...

That's what is most odd about it, it's almost like they had a complete electrical blackout, and then may have flown several hundred miles blind to a crash site.

savall 03-10-2014 01:16 PM


Originally Posted by web500sjc (Post 1599471)
if it fell apart up high, there would be a large debris field, like TWA, comet or Lockerbie...

That was my thoughts as well. In regards to the other post though, what're the chances of a complete electrical blackout and flying totally blind ?! That seems REALLY far fetched.

MrDK 03-10-2014 01:51 PM


Originally Posted by FDXLAG (Post 1599459)
Not to mention Malaysia is an Islamic country.

IF there was ill intend there may be some doubt as to whether the holders of the stolen passports even knew that it was a codeshare before they actually checked in (or maybe even before they boarded).

KC10 FATboy 03-10-2014 02:01 PM

They are now searching west of the planned route of flight in the Andaman Sea. Plot thickens.

Also, the 777 has fuel tank nitrogen inerting so those tanks might not have exploded as it broke up.

80ktsClamp 03-10-2014 02:11 PM

As it broke up, there would be oxygen reintroduced to the tanks.

For those of you that fly down there, that area is non radar, right?

Thedude 03-10-2014 02:15 PM


Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp (Post 1599528)

For those of you that fly down there, that area is non radar, right?

No, they have pretty good radar coverage in that area until you hit the Bay of Bengal.
The 777 has ADS-B so they should still be receiving info from the a/c.

(I have flown out of KL quite abit)

Thedude 03-10-2014 02:23 PM


Originally Posted by FDXLAG (Post 1599459)
Not to mention Malaysia is an Islamic country.

A secular Islamic country. Big difference.

80ktsClamp 03-10-2014 02:30 PM


Originally Posted by Thedude (Post 1599534)
No, they have pretty good radar coverage in that area until you hit the Bay of Bengal.
The 777 has ADS-B so they should still be receiving info from the a/c.

(I have flown out of KL quite abit)

Interesting. I know they were receiving ADS-B up to a point. If it exploded right there, they would have found it by now.

Does anyone know if their planes have international wifi available to the passengers?

Thanks!

edit: It makes me wonder if it went vertical into the vietnamese jungle a la UA 93. That would create a much smaller and more difficult hold to find.

LightAttack 03-10-2014 03:24 PM

For god's sake, if you get a call to give an interview on TV, and the idiot interviewer asks you "do these new planes fly themselves"? DON'T SAY YES!!!

The 777 does not fly itself - WE fly the aircraft. We control and manage the crew and the plane's automation. We understand what automation means. The public doesn't. Telling the public, who has no real idea what our job is about (with the exception of watching the movie "Airplane"), that the planes fly themselves is ridiculous.

I just watched some ex-777 captain agree with Greta Van Susteren that, yes, many pilots let the plane fly itself and turn on the autopilot at 400 feet. Sheesh. Take some pride and talk about how automation augments our natural god-like aviating abilities. We don't need to let the public think a monkey could do our job as long as he's fed bananas. If we keep this up, they'll be able to replace us with drones and chimps.

Have some pride in the job.

PolarBear 03-10-2014 03:27 PM

To Mesabah

Check this forum for rates at Polar (now Atlas). Don't think a Delta 737 FO earns $203 an hour. My goodness, ignorance abounds.

PolarBear 03-10-2014 03:30 PM


Originally Posted by Mesabah (Post 1599456)
The 747 Captain rates at Polar are less than the 737 FO rates at Delta.

:confused:

The Hoss 03-10-2014 03:53 PM

It seems that since there has been no debris found that the aircraft was likely intact upon impact. This does not exclude a bomb as a possible cause of the crash, just leaves other possibilities on the table. As most of you know we won't know much of anything until the boxes and wreckage are analyzed.

slinger 03-10-2014 03:57 PM

[QUOTE]For god's sake, if you get a call to give an interview on TV, and the idiot interviewer asks you "do these new planes fly themselves"? DON'T SAY YES!!!

The 777 does not fly itself - WE fly the aircraft. We control and manage the crew and the plane's automation. We understand what automation means. The public doesn't. Telling the public, who has no real idea what our job is about (with the exception of watching the movie "Airplane"), that the planes fly themselves is ridiculous.

I just watched some ex-777 captain agree with Greta Van Susteren that, yes, many pilots let the plane fly itself and turn on the autopilot at 400 feet. Sheesh. Take some pride and talk about how automation augments our natural god-like aviating abilities. We don't need to let the public think a monkey could do our job as long as he's fed bananas. If we keep this up, they'll be able to replace us with drones and chimps.
Hithe job.[/QUOTE
God like? Lol. Bit of a God complex, mate?


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