Quote:
Originally Posted by Caelum Deus
It sounds like you're right but not completely. What you still haven't considered is that with your so called "every pilot becoming a slave" idea is that if this is true then why would the masses of people still walk into the doors of a flight school to spend thousands of dollars for a career with very low pay, horrible scheduling, and a poor QOL? Yes you're probably thinking that's how it is now and people are still training. Yes, but I've seen significantly less people starting in the last few years.
Overall from this post it seems that a lot of people have just gotten burnt out with flying since they have possibly gotten the wrong hand of cards, and can't image pilots actually living a good life. Sorry but this time it's changing for the better. I really wish that .And yes, no one really can prove what will happen, so well just have to wait and see.
Happy flying :-)
First of all, I am not at all burnt out with flying. I am always very positive, forward thinking individual, who also likes to take into account the realities of life....
I may be completely wrong in my theories and trust me, I really want to be proven wrong & with all my heart, I wish & pray to the GOD, almighty that in the time to come, I should be proven wrong in my theory.....
I will be the happiest person, if my theory regarding the secondary effects of the ATP rule aftermath is proven wrong with time....
The number of students staring training is less due to multiple reasons,
1) Cost &
2) The inflow of foriegn students is down considerably.
Foriegn students were always a huge contributor in US economy. TSA policies is the single bggest contributor for decline of foriegn students. Rising costs & un-available financing is probably the reason for lesser number of local americans starting & completing training.
If the payment was right, people will buy a condo on the moon.....
The only silver lining on the horizon is the very factor that caused this slowdown. The effect of DEC 2007, which saw the age increase from 60 to 65, is almost over & with Dec 2012 approaching, it may trigger enough movement to make an impact.
REST of the world, definitely and infact, it already has started to make a difference in a lot of parts of the world.
In the US, May be.....
The airline managements & their Harward educated MBAs also know this, must have been about thinking about this & definitely preparing for this.
I am getting a feeling that for a couple of years, they will continue to move people around, move their flying from one regional to another, delay the inevitable to as later date as possible.......
Like you said, time will tell & we will wait & see.....