If I remember correctly, that survey DID NOT include CHI. It did have ONT/SFO.

And yet here we are now with CHI.

So factor that into your above equations.

You're not counting for attrition. Which, in my worthless opinion, is about to start getting worse.

So, the growth plans are a problem in 3 facets - aircraft, personnel and gates. The aircraft problem is handled somewhat - as long as the P&W debacle escapes us (which I've heard it won't). Personnel will trickle in and out and slow growth should continue. The REAL issue is gates. The FO is realizing they've been stonewalled at the places they really wanna be (Den, DFW, ATL) and are having to open bases all over - mostly at airports abandoned by Big 3 in the past - to grow. I can imagine we might start looking at St Louis, New Orleans, Portland or even Albq or retry an Austin push.

I'm not sure if this thinking is smart (and will be successful) or just desperate.

Actually I am. 30%

That’s why I said it, because there’s more bases coming. We already know that there’s at least one more. SJU?

Great points

Survey = Emotion

Emotion = Barry does not care

*fixed it

As of the latest Whatif junior captain will be 7/22 hire. 43% down the FO list. That’s a lot of bypassing. I can only imagine how low it goes with San Juan.

We don't have a seat lock, right? I could totally see CAs that just upgraded, turn around and go back to FO instead of being sent to SJU.

how low do you think CA upgrade falls in a place like SJU?

Not sure I'm going to be racing to upgrade but def still leaning on going to SJU if I can hold it out of training. There or MIA.

I'll look it up tomorrow but I think we do have a 2 year seat lock with the exception that if they displace you out of your domicile you can downgrade to FO in order to not get displaced.