The crazy thing is I think chunks of these things legitimately happen. The crazier is that it’s all more likely than the debbie downer brigade that started chiming in about the imminent collapse of the US and thus world economy that would destroy known life and set the stage for a Hollywood dystopian future.

Protip: Fidelity HSA has no minimum to invest

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Protip: The world's ecomony is dependent on energy. He who has the Gold makes the rules. Guess who has the gold(energy)? Russia. Ukraine and the rest of Europe will freeze before Ukraine recaptures all their territory. Once Winter comes and Russia shuts off the gas, there will be political unrest as the European people won't put up with high inflation and freezing their tail off to save Ukraine.

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Highlights

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Won't happen. Full employment leads to a chicken in every pot, a car in every garage and people will zone out to DGAF mode. With the reduction of external threats and the stabilization of the energy situation, the political extremes get tempered because "life is good". There have always been fringe on both sides, but in good times, they're left to fume & fuss in the comfort of their own home. Fusion takes the winds out of the rabid environmentalist movement. You have to cut down some trees to move up the tech tree ladder, and once that's done, the old arguments fade away. Those attached to those movements don't like that, because the money is in the treatment, not the cure.

With fusion comes cheap fresh water generation. You can apply a lot of power to power intensive solutions like reverse osmosis or plain ole' flash distillation. Or maybe something cute comes down the pike like superconductive magnetic separation (pull the salt ions right out of the water).

I figured this was a thread for random speculation, so I randomly speculated. Just a collection of bits and pieces I picked up on the internet.

I would not want to be in the energy market when there is a technological turn. So much of the price is supported only by commodity speculation. Remove that, and it's a LONG way down. There will always be a need for base petroleum, like oils and lubricant as well as base stock for plastic synthesis, but remove the energy portion, and yea, they almost have to pay you to truck it away.

Why is China going to revolt?

The cracks in the single-party system are growing into fissures.

China’s revolt will be a slow and drawn out process, but there is no way Xi’s system of governance is sustainable.

“ The empire, long divided, must unite; long united, must divide. Thus it has ever been”


(Tricky to bet on the timing though. That famous Chinese quote is at the very least a nod to the eternal nature of China. Pretty bullish on China for the rest of my lifetime myself)

What about Putin deciding to nuke Ukraine? Seems like he’s setting the stage for this to happen and we’re all walking blindly into a very real chance of this escalating into WW3. I am having a hard time believing he’s bluffing, but then again, that’s what he could want.

Low key turned high key banking/loan crisis in China. You can tell its bad because there was a slow trickle of dire news that created protests, and that ended with tanks in the streets. Now you dont here anything.

You can only push that button so many times.