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Old 04-16-2020, 12:19 AM
  #11  
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Originally Posted by Ratm0820 View Post
With the new planes/flying coming, (if it still is). That would help lighten the risk of furlough. correct?
Yep, of course. you are going to have 112 credit hour lines with 3 days off a month for the forseeable future. Go ahead and buy that new Corvette, that new house. Lots of open time in the premium add folder.
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Old 04-16-2020, 12:27 AM
  #12  
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Originally Posted by amcnd View Post
the XJT 175’s keep coming. One is flying 2 more in BOI. Sapa said will still take the AA 175’s but delayed a few months do to factory shut down fro covid... but proboly still a net loss. As CRJ’s go back to the leaser... Just depends how many. How fast...
Wow, they said the UA and AA 175s are still coming? Was this in a recent update?
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Old 04-16-2020, 04:40 AM
  #13  
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Originally Posted by TheOtherGuy25 View Post
Wow, they said the UA and AA 175s are still coming? Was this in a recent update?
Update your EFB and look at the opp spec changes. Adding CZ and XJT aircraft every 3 days or so.. And on the sapa call they confirmed this. And the new AA 175’s have already been half built way and money deposited last fall ... (they may be delayed do to the factory shut down)
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Old 04-16-2020, 05:39 AM
  #14  
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Originally Posted by domino View Post
yes. All of the ones we service. they shrink 30%, ..guess what. We shrink 30%.

simple math people. Simple math.

as you were with your wishful thinking. I’m betting a lot of you haven’t seen this before. The signs are there.
Its simple math based on an imperfect guess. All of this is contingent on therapies for COVID-19 and a vaccine. Unless your doom and gloom crystal ball can tell us when that happens, all of your forecasts don’t mean jack. They are pure guessing based on nothing other than your apparent desire to watch everything crumble.
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Old 04-16-2020, 06:00 AM
  #15  
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Until they announce the airframes are cancelled they will keep coming. Implementing them into operations has been slowed.
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Old 04-16-2020, 06:53 AM
  #16  
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The elephant in the room is major partner BK...

That could either way for regionals.

They could ditch scope in BK and keep or even actually expand regional flying as NB replacements (don't caught by mainline pilots late at night in the parking lot).

Or they could ditch their regional contracts. If Social D (I remember when that was a punk band) dictates pax spacing, that might be only way.

The former is more likely IMO. But without BK, any big reductions in mainline flying will require reductions in RJ's.
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Old 04-16-2020, 07:00 AM
  #17  
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Originally Posted by HairyCannonball View Post
Yep, of course. you are going to have 112 credit hour lines with 3 days off a month for the forseeable future. Go ahead and buy that new Corvette, that new house. Lots of open time in the premium add folder.
LOL. Exactly. As Hc says, its business as usual.
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Old 04-16-2020, 07:02 AM
  #18  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777 View Post
The elephant in the room is major partner BK...

That could either way for regionals.

They could ditch scope in BK and keep or even actually expand regional flying as NB replacements (don't caught by mainline pilots late at night in the parking lot).

Or they could ditch their regional contracts. If Social D (I remember when that was a punk band) dictates pax spacing, that might be only way.

The former is more likely IMO. But without BK, any big reductions in mainline flying will require reductions in RJ's.
What rickair says. He is generally spot on with assessments. The other variable in all this also is the fail/merger ratio. Will AS keep Skywest. Who will merge and what will they do. Will Alaska even survive. Will spirit survive. Etc etc. so many variables,
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Old 04-25-2020, 03:53 AM
  #19  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777 View Post
The elephant in the room is major partner BK...

That could either way for regionals.

They could ditch scope in BK and keep or even actually expand regional flying as NB replacements (don't caught by mainline pilots late at night in the parking lot).

Or they could ditch their regional contracts. If Social D (I remember when that was a punk band) dictates pax spacing, that might be only way.

The former is more likely IMO. But without BK, any big reductions in mainline flying will require reductions in RJ's.
Legacies depend on higher load factors than other majors in order to be profitable. They can’t make money leaving the middle seat open on an A321.

I think AA is at a severely high risk of Ch 11. If any one legacy declares it will greatly increase the chances that the others declare also.
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Old 04-25-2020, 05:31 AM
  #20  
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Originally Posted by chrisreedrules View Post
Legacies depend on higher load factors than other majors in order to be profitable. They can’t make money leaving the middle seat open on an A321.

I think AA is at a severely high risk of Ch 11. If any one legacy declares it will greatly increase the chances that the others declare also.
Airlines are offering social distancing on aircraft right now because they can do it for free. When not even 1/3 of the seats sell, keeping the middle seat open is easy. When demand returns, those seats will be sold and occupied. If some sort of government mandate required leaving seats open, the cost of a ticket would go through the roof and air travel would be priced out of most people’s budget. If a company blocks 1/3 of the seats, they have to increase the ticket price on the remaining seats by 50% to generate the same revenue. The LCC’s who specialize in leisure travel would really be hit hard if this happened.
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