Report from Wall Street
#1
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Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 39
Report from Wall Street
Sloppy journalism or is this author using a different source of numbers than our NC?
"At the start of 2015, the stock traded in the $70s. Since then, the company has built in another $700 million in annual revenue turnover and booked over $1 billion in net profit. With a market cap of $2.74 billion, as long as the earnings continue to come in, the company is worth at least double. As for the pilot union negotiation, Spirit has reached a tentative deal which could mean an increase of $120 million in pay over the next five years. It’s a far better and more reasonable deal than what was on the table last summer, and voting is set to conclude at the end of this month. In the meantime, Spirit is a bargain."
https://www.gurufocus.com/news/64597...pirit-airlines
"At the start of 2015, the stock traded in the $70s. Since then, the company has built in another $700 million in annual revenue turnover and booked over $1 billion in net profit. With a market cap of $2.74 billion, as long as the earnings continue to come in, the company is worth at least double. As for the pilot union negotiation, Spirit has reached a tentative deal which could mean an increase of $120 million in pay over the next five years. It’s a far better and more reasonable deal than what was on the table last summer, and voting is set to conclude at the end of this month. In the meantime, Spirit is a bargain."
https://www.gurufocus.com/news/64597...pirit-airlines
#2
Sloppy journalism or is this author using a different source of numbers than our NC?
"At the start of 2015, the stock traded in the $70s. Since then, the company has built in another $700 million in annual revenue turnover and booked over $1 billion in net profit. With a market cap of $2.74 billion, as long as the earnings continue to come in, the company is worth at least double. As for the pilot union negotiation, Spirit has reached a tentative deal which could mean an increase of $120 million in pay over the next five years. It’s a far better and more reasonable deal than what was on the table last summer, and voting is set to conclude at the end of this month. In the meantime, Spirit is a bargain."
https://www.gurufocus.com/news/64597...pirit-airlines
"At the start of 2015, the stock traded in the $70s. Since then, the company has built in another $700 million in annual revenue turnover and booked over $1 billion in net profit. With a market cap of $2.74 billion, as long as the earnings continue to come in, the company is worth at least double. As for the pilot union negotiation, Spirit has reached a tentative deal which could mean an increase of $120 million in pay over the next five years. It’s a far better and more reasonable deal than what was on the table last summer, and voting is set to conclude at the end of this month. In the meantime, Spirit is a bargain."
https://www.gurufocus.com/news/64597...pirit-airlines
#3
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2008
Position: 319/320/321...whatever it takes.
Posts: 492
Sloppy journalism or is this author using a different source of numbers than our NC?
"At the start of 2015, the stock traded in the $70s. Since then, the company has built in another $700 million in annual revenue turnover and booked over $1 billion in net profit. With a market cap of $2.74 billion, as long as the earnings continue to come in, the company is worth at least double. As for the pilot union negotiation, Spirit has reached a tentative deal which could mean an increase of $120 million in pay over the next five years. It’s a far better and more reasonable deal than what was on the table last summer, and voting is set to conclude at the end of this month. In the meantime, Spirit is a bargain."
https://www.gurufocus.com/news/64597...pirit-airlines
"At the start of 2015, the stock traded in the $70s. Since then, the company has built in another $700 million in annual revenue turnover and booked over $1 billion in net profit. With a market cap of $2.74 billion, as long as the earnings continue to come in, the company is worth at least double. As for the pilot union negotiation, Spirit has reached a tentative deal which could mean an increase of $120 million in pay over the next five years. It’s a far better and more reasonable deal than what was on the table last summer, and voting is set to conclude at the end of this month. In the meantime, Spirit is a bargain."
https://www.gurufocus.com/news/64597...pirit-airlines
#4
Line Holder
Thread Starter
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 39
I think he’s off just a little bit. Assuming a $50,000 a year raise (average, but I think it’s more) times 1800 pilots, that equals $90 million per year. So around $500M Just in pay over 5 years. Plus harder to quantify QOL stuff like trip rigs etc. he was probably told those numbers by our management who is trying to downplay it to make themselves look better.
Now let's estimate if each of our pilots, rather than flying an average of 550 hours per year, does 850 hours per year under the T/A. If that ratio is anywhere close to correct, we'd need 1300 pilots to accomplish the same amount of work as 2,000 pilots today... or 2600 pilots to fly the same schedule it would currently require 4,000 pilots. This would be a much more standard ratio of pilots per plane than we currently have- i.e., that's where were headed with this T/A.
Multiply the number of pilots (that we won't need under the T/A) by the average cost per pilot (salary, benefits, payroll tax, etc). That's where the savings are going to roll in for the airline. Even before the savings from substandard hourly rates, which are much more meaningless to the airline than we're giving them credit for.
Now the 120M increase sounds more realistic- and the quoted 12M/year savings for the airline is clearly bull*******
#5
A $50k-80k pay raise per pilot, average?
Now let's estimate if each of our pilots, rather than flying an average of 550 hours per year, does 850 hours per year under the T/A. If that ratio is anywhere close to correct, we'd need 1300 pilots to accomplish the same amount of work as 2,000 pilots today... or 2600 pilots to fly the same schedule it would currently require 4,000 pilots. This would be a much more standard ratio of pilots per plane than we currently have- i.e., that's where were headed with this T/A.
Multiply the number of pilots (that we won't need under the T/A) by the average cost per pilot (salary, benefits, payroll tax, etc). That's where the savings are going to roll in for the airline. Even before the savings from substandard hourly rates, which are much more meaningless to the airline than we're giving them credit for.
Now the 120M increase sounds more realistic- and the quoted 12M/year savings for the airline is clearly bull*******
Now let's estimate if each of our pilots, rather than flying an average of 550 hours per year, does 850 hours per year under the T/A. If that ratio is anywhere close to correct, we'd need 1300 pilots to accomplish the same amount of work as 2,000 pilots today... or 2600 pilots to fly the same schedule it would currently require 4,000 pilots. This would be a much more standard ratio of pilots per plane than we currently have- i.e., that's where were headed with this T/A.
Multiply the number of pilots (that we won't need under the T/A) by the average cost per pilot (salary, benefits, payroll tax, etc). That's where the savings are going to roll in for the airline. Even before the savings from substandard hourly rates, which are much more meaningless to the airline than we're giving them credit for.
Now the 120M increase sounds more realistic- and the quoted 12M/year savings for the airline is clearly bull*******
Math is haaarrddddd
#6
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#7
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2013
Posts: 456
#8
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Joined APC: Jul 2015
Posts: 775
You're not valuing the give backs from the pilots correctly. We've been paid NOT to fly with our current deal. With the new TA you've got to fly to get paid. Just like SWA. How have so many missed this fact? Clearly no one at ALPA can do math accurately. The guys on Wall Street do this for a living and bet real money. Over the next couple of years it will become clear the Pilots screwed up by voting for this POS! Buy the stock!
#9
Line Holder
Joined APC: Feb 2018
Posts: 49
You're not valuing the give backs from the pilots correctly. We've been paid NOT to fly with our current deal. With the new TA you've got to fly to get paid. Just like SWA. How have so many missed this fact? Clearly no one at ALPA can do math accurately. The guys on Wall Street do this for a living and bet real money. Over the next couple of years it will become clear the Pilots screwed up by voting for this POS! Buy the stock!
#10
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,423
You're not valuing the give backs from the pilots correctly. We've been paid NOT to fly with our current deal. With the new TA you've got to fly to get paid. Just like SWA. How have so many missed this fact? Clearly no one at ALPA can do math accurately. The guys on Wall Street do this for a living and bet real money. Over the next couple of years it will become clear the Pilots screwed up by voting for this POS! Buy the stock!
We'll fly no where near what SWA pilots fly. Those who will fly an extra 200 a year will most likely be the 10% living the transition. It does suck, but the other 90% think living with no LTD, scope or retirement sucks more than a few having to fly. Let's see what tomorrow brings.
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