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Originally Posted by BMEP100
Do ETOPS much? We're good for 3 hours on a single engine over the ocean or the Amazon...at night that's longer than the average state length for domestic ops.
And how long will a single engine plane fly if it loses its engine? You're making the point, not refuting it.
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CRM has taught us that most accidents are the result of human error, not the technology, hence the old joke about the single pilot and the dog.
Except that joke is about automation.. not CRM. CRM actually is about working as a crew and is one of the reasons there are fewer accidents now than in the era of the all powerful captain.
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Drones oh gawd, the fighter pilots in the 70's just howled at the idea of a drone strike.. there would be missles going everywhere, airframes crashing into schools, "It will never happen" Know what percentage of AF pilots graduating get assigned to drones? HA
Big difference between a fighter, where the man is the weak link (ECS, ejection seat, G tolerance, fatigue, SAR considerations, to name a few) when a crash means merely "giving it back to the tax payers," and a transport where none of those problems with men in fighters apply and a crash kills hundreds. The only thing to be gained by pulling a pilot out of a transport is a economics and even that's negligible. BTW, your assessment of military pilots not understanding the impact of drones is way off. I remember 15-20 years ago hanging out in my reserve unit and we were all in agreement the F-35 would probably be the last manned fighter.
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All of your example imply NO onboard pilot complement. This discussion is about single pilot ops. Try to keep up.
Which goes back to the single engine analogy. If one pilot traps 99% of the errors, you still have a 1% error rate. Throw another pilot in there and you now trap 99% of that 1% taking your error rate down to 0.01%. And would you seriously want some of our problem children up there alone without a babysitter?
I'm not saying never, but when you consider that a consistent VNAV arrival seems to be beyond our present technology, we're likely all going to be on the wrong side of the grass before single pilot widebodies launch out of Newark for Sydney.