Unfilled vacancies and activation timeline
12-09-2018 | 09:35 AM
#1
Thread Starter
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Oct 2006
Posts: 1,183
Likes: 0
From: 777, sofa
Unfilled vacancies and activation timeline
So it looks like EWR 756 FO is going to have an awful lot of turnover. Including maybe 70-80 new hires getting awards in the category before summer.
If I were to bid the seat today, the vacancy bidding page says I'd be around 85%. Not very attractive as I'm bidding around 55% in EWR 737. But add in those 70 new hires, and that percentage shoots up to around 70%. Which sounds far more comfortable. But what is the timeline for ALL that training to happen? I know it could start as early as January. Or maybe as late as April. But if I'm first in the queue, before all the guys who have bid off head to school, and before all the new hires are on the fleet, could I be looking at sitting reserve as far down as the mid 90s% for a few months before everything shakes out? There really isn't any way to know, is there?
If I were to bid the seat today, the vacancy bidding page says I'd be around 85%. Not very attractive as I'm bidding around 55% in EWR 737. But add in those 70 new hires, and that percentage shoots up to around 70%. Which sounds far more comfortable. But what is the timeline for ALL that training to happen? I know it could start as early as January. Or maybe as late as April. But if I'm first in the queue, before all the guys who have bid off head to school, and before all the new hires are on the fleet, could I be looking at sitting reserve as far down as the mid 90s% for a few months before everything shakes out? There really isn't any way to know, is there?
12-09-2018 | 10:03 AM
#2
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Oct 2017
Posts: 220
Likes: 0
From: 777 FO
Correct. You just have to cross your fingers that the guys senior to you move on and the new hires get through BI and 756 training before the 737 fleet releases you. Also, TK has got to be at max capacity, which could help or hurt you! It should all shake out by the summer.
12-09-2018 | 11:00 AM
#3
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 3,599
Likes: 205
From: 787
So it looks like EWR 756 FO is going to have an awful lot of turnover. Including maybe 70-80 new hires getting awards in the category before summer.
If I were to bid the seat today, the vacancy bidding page says I'd be around 85%. Not very attractive as I'm bidding around 55% in EWR 737. But add in those 70 new hires, and that percentage shoots up to around 70%. Which sounds far more comfortable. But what is the timeline for ALL that training to happen? I know it could start as early as January. Or maybe as late as April. But if I'm first in the queue, before all the guys who have bid off head to school, and before all the new hires are on the fleet, could I be looking at sitting reserve as far down as the mid 90s% for a few months before everything shakes out? There really isn't any way to know, is there?
If I were to bid the seat today, the vacancy bidding page says I'd be around 85%. Not very attractive as I'm bidding around 55% in EWR 737. But add in those 70 new hires, and that percentage shoots up to around 70%. Which sounds far more comfortable. But what is the timeline for ALL that training to happen? I know it could start as early as January. Or maybe as late as April. But if I'm first in the queue, before all the guys who have bid off head to school, and before all the new hires are on the fleet, could I be looking at sitting reserve as far down as the mid 90s% for a few months before everything shakes out? There really isn't any way to know, is there?
It’s a gamble man. No one can answer your question but I can guarantee that the majority of those 80 slots will be filled by summer or EWR is going to collapse.
A few years ago I bid SFO 756 when it first opened and I was 55% when awarded. Since I was qualified I flew the first month it was open and spent the next 3 months 2 from the bottom as senior pilots trained into the category. But month 4 I was off reserve and month 5 I was holding 767 to CDG........so the bigger question is can you handle the suck for a couple months? EWR 756 is the best flying you will ever do at United.
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
