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United Elevated
Just announced:
https://www.united.com/en/us/newsroom/announcements/cision-125449 |
I think this is officially the end of the 757s. At least all the 200s. With fuel increasing and the 321XLR it’s a forgone conclusion.
i would also imagine vacancy/displacement bids initially to get the west coast and DEN and IAH 756 bases closed and move the 756/767 flying primarily out of EWR and IAD with maybe ORD? Overall good news for us! |
41 seat CRJ-200? Didn’t see that coming
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Originally Posted by kangs
(Post 4016218)
41 seat CRJ-200? Didn’t see that coming
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Originally Posted by drywhitetoast
(Post 4016229)
They can save on labor cost if get the CRJ down to 19 seats.
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Originally Posted by kangs
(Post 4016218)
41 seat CRJ-200? Didn’t see that coming
Unless 41 seaters have a lower weight limit under your scope clause that I am not aware of. The 550 is a good product overall, but curious how it is possible to improve the experience of being on a 200..... Just waiting on the ERJ410 now...... |
Originally Posted by Bestglide
(Post 4016214)
I think this is officially the end of the 757s. At least all the 200s. With fuel increasing and the 321XLR it’s a forgone conclusion.
i would also imagine vacancy/displacement bids initially to get the west coast and DEN and IAH 756 bases closed and move the 756/767 flying primarily out of EWR and IAD with maybe ORD? Overall good news for us! DEN will hang on for LIH and seasonal 756 Hawaii markets they would have already canned it if it wasn’t for those markets. there will also need to be a base that hangs around to fly the 753…..it only goes to EWR on ESUBS and barely goes to IAD. So unless they change where that plane flies a base out west will need to stick around. but yes SFO/LAX/IAH are for sure on death watch I don’t think anything will happen until next spring though. |
I wonder whose 200s these are going to be? Skywest?
or is this the reason Air Wisconsin is recalling pilots?…. |
Originally Posted by JackpotAir
(Post 4016296)
I wonder whose 200s these are going to be? Skywest?
or is this the reason Air Wisconsin is recalling pilots?…. |
Originally Posted by JackpotAir
(Post 4016296)
I wonder whose 200s these are going to be? Skywest?
or is this the reason Air Wisconsin is recalling pilots?…. |
Originally Posted by Swakid8
(Post 4016333)
Skywest for now….
Great . More RJs. Exactly what we need . 🙄🙄🙄NOT . Especially old worn out 200s pulled from the desert . |
For those wondering what the first CRJ-450 is, it’s N973SW.
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Originally Posted by Bestglide;[url=tel:4016214
4016214[/url]]I think this is officially the end of the 757s. At least all the 200s. With fuel increasing and the 321XLR it’s a forgone conclusion.
i would also imagine vacancy/displacement bids initially to get the west coast and DEN and IAH 756 bases closed and move the 756/767 flying primarily out of EWR and IAD with maybe ORD? Overall good news for us! I don’t think the 752 is going anywhere anytime soon. |
The 752 can live a long happy life flying ewr-den and the like. Bet some get converted back to domestic interiors.
until they’re ready to can the whole fleet, it’s efficient to keep around |
The question now remains…. Can the company even operate these under the United Express umbrella…. No where in 1-C-1 permits a 41- seat jet to operate under the UAX umbrella…
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Originally Posted by Swakid8
(Post 4016391)
The question now remains…. Can the company even operate these under the United Express umbrella…. No where in 1-C-1 permits a 41- seat jet to operate under the UAX umbrella…
Curious how bad the company wants it |
Originally Posted by Swakid8
(Post 4016391)
The question now remains…. Can the company even operate these under the United Express umbrella…. No where in 1-C-1 permits a 41- seat jet to operate under the UAX umbrella…
Originally Posted by VacancyBid
(Post 4016406)
that is a fascinating question. Probably in the union’s interest to cut a deal for “50 or fewer seats” Curious how bad the company wants it
See UPA 1-L-29 which defines a 50 seat aircraft |
Originally Posted by Swakid8
(Post 4016391)
The question now remains…. Can the company even operate these under the United Express umbrella…. No where in 1-C-1 permits a 41- seat jet to operate under the UAX umbrella…
“50-Seat Aircraft” means aircraft certificated in the United States for fifty (50) or fewer passenger seats and a maximum certificated gross takeoff weight in the United States of 65,000 or fewer pounds. |
Originally Posted by VacancyBid
(Post 4016406)
that is a fascinating question. Probably in the union’s interest to cut a deal for “50 or fewer seats”
Curious how bad the company wants it |
Originally Posted by Random Task
(Post 4016424)
See UPA 1-L-29 which defines a 50 seat aircraft
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Originally Posted by ReadOnly7
(Post 4016453)
doesn’t matter one bit to me how bad they want it. Scope isn’t for sale, at least not my vote.
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Originally Posted by ReadOnly7
(Post 4016453)
doesn’t matter one bit to me how bad they want it. Scope isn’t for sale, at least not my vote.
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Those new Polaris Studio Suites are going to be an unpleasant surprise for people that book them. They're in rows 1 and 9. Both of those rows are right next to the galley...good luck getting a wink of sleep when 5 FAs are hooting and hollering and discussing their layover plans in the brightly lit galley at 3 am at 180 degrees west.
I give it six months before they reconfigure those studio suites to the midsection of each cabin (ie rows 5 and 11). That's by far a quieter part of the Polaris cabin. |
Originally Posted by Bestglide
(Post 4016214)
I think this is officially the end of the 757s. At least all the 200s. With fuel increasing and the 321XLR it’s a forgone conclusion.
i would also imagine vacancy/displacement bids initially to get the west coast and DEN and IAH 756 bases closed and move the 756/767 flying primarily out of EWR and IAD with maybe ORD? Overall good news for us! How long is UAL expected to keep the B756 around? |
Originally Posted by Turbosina
(Post 4016505)
Those new Polaris Studio Suites are going to be an unpleasant surprise for people that book them. They're in rows 1 and 9. Both of those rows are right next to the galley...good luck getting a wink of sleep when 5 FAs are hooting and hollering and discussing their layover plans in the brightly lit galley at 3 am at 180 degrees west.
I give it six months before they reconfigure those studio suites to the midsection of each cabin (ie rows 5 and 11). That's by far a quieter part of the Polaris cabin. on the 767 the rest seat is 1A. Personally I’ve never had an issue with noise in that seat except when the FA’s are doing the service, and even then it is minimal. The curtain doesn’t cut down noise that much. And before and after break, the galley is almost never “brightly lit”. Of course, during break the curtain does do a good job of blocking light, so maybe they turn the lights off right before break is over. |
Originally Posted by eppnet
(Post 4016547)
How long is UAL expected to keep the B756 around?
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Originally Posted by Duckdude
(Post 4016551)
Good question. I’m on the fleet and no one seems to know.
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Originally Posted by eppnet
(Post 4016547)
How long is UAL expected to keep the B756 around?
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The CRJ-450 isn't about a smaller jet or getting around SCOPE, it's already allowed by SCOPE, it's about adding premium seats and getting rid of single-class airplanes. It's about advertising premium seats on every flight.
It's cost per seat-mile are higher, but the revenue per seat-mile will be even higher than that. Passengers booking premium seats won't have legs in small, RJ-sized, economy seats. They'll have premium seats for their entire trip. That will keep them from going to competitors to avoid the economy seat. |
Originally Posted by eppnet
(Post 4016547)
How long is UAL expected to keep the B756 around?
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Originally Posted by VacancyBid
(Post 4016555)
the 764 and 753 are the wildcards. They’re newer, useful, cost effective… and as long as they are around keeping the 752 and 763 is minimal extra expense. I
As mentioned, the 757-300 has no replacement either, but it's not nearly as good on CASM as the slightly-fewer-seat A321Neo. The 753 has 17% more seats, but a much larger fuel penalty (~50% more gas!). Increasing frequency (where airport capacity/slots/gates allow) makes more sense than hanging on to a 757-300.
Originally Posted by MasterOfPuppets
(Post 4016564)
there will be 767s and 757s in the fleet into 2030. The real question is how big the fleet will be. If the economy craps out the 757-200s will be gone 1:1 with XLRs. If the economy does well then the -200s may last longer to fill gaps or new route growth. The 767-300s will start going once 787 growth and intl expansion stops.
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One addition that I didn't see announced until later in the afternoon was the introduction of the "Relax Rows" on our planes allowing three coach seats to convert to a lie-flat surface for one or more people (think a couple or parents with kids). Saw an analysis on X about this new product that is quite interesting:
Aakash Gupta • @aakashgupta • 17h The most profitable seat on a 787 isn't in business class. It's three economy seats with a $40 mattress pad. I've flown the original version on Air New Zealand. United just figured out the math. A Polaris suite takes the footprint of roughly four economy seats. At $4,000 one-way on a transatlantic route, that's $1,000 per seat-equivalent of revenue. A Relax Row takes three economy seats, sells for $3,000 to $5,000 as a unit, and requires zero cabin reconfiguration. That's $1,000 to $1,700 per seat-equivalent with almost no incremental cost. The margins on a mattress pad and adjustable leg rests versus a lie-flat suite with a privacy door, dedicated galley, and premium meal service aren't even comparable. Air New Zealand proved this in 2011. Called it Skycouch. Same seat. Same concept. Fifteen years of booking data showing parents choose flat over reclined at almost any price. United licensed the design and locked North American exclusivity. The timing maps to a ceiling in their premium strategy. United posted $59.1 billion in revenue last year. Premium cabin revenue grew 11% while economy flatlined. But there are only so many rows you can convert to Polaris before you've hollowed out the cabin. At some point you need the 300 economy passengers to fund the aircraft. Relax Row threads that needle. 200 widebody aircraft. Up to 12 sections per plane. 2,400 units fleet-wide on routes where families will pay anything to let a toddler sleep horizontal for 14 hours. Dynamic pricing at American willingness-to-pay levels on a product Air New Zealand sells for $200 to $1,500. Six fare classes on a single widebody now: Basic Economy, Economy, Relax Row, Premium Plus, Polaris, Polaris Studio. Each tier reframes the next as reasonable. They wrapped it in a plushie because "highest-margin seat in commercial aviation" doesn't fit on a boarding pass. |
Originally Posted by FlyingSlowly
(Post 4016576)
As mentioned, the 757-300 has no replacement either, but it's not nearly as good on CASM as the slightly-fewer-seat A321Neo. The 753 has 17% more seats, but a much larger fuel penalty (~50% more gas!). Increasing frequency (where airport capacity/slots/gates allow) makes more sense than hanging on to a 757-300...
and 321neo/max availability is still constrained. If the 756 class broadly makes sense, the 753 makes sense as part of it |
Originally Posted by ReadOnly7
(Post 4016453)
doesn’t matter one bit to me how bad they want it. Scope isn’t for sale, at least not my vote.
Doesn’t matter, it’s covered under current scope. Just because they only put 41 seats in a 50 seat jet, it’s still a 50 seat jet.
Originally Posted by EWRflyr;[url=tel:4016581
4016581[/url]]One addition that I didn't see announced until later in the afternoon was the introduction of the "Relax Rows" on our planes allowing three coach seats to convert to a lie-flat surface for one or more people (think a couple or parents with kids). Saw an analysis on X about this new product that is quite interesting:
Aakash Gupta • @aakashgupta • 17h The most profitable seat on a 787 isn't in business class. It's three economy seats with a $40 mattress pad. I've flown the original version on Air New Zealand. United just figured out the math. A Polaris suite takes the footprint of roughly four economy seats. At $4,000 one-way on a transatlantic route, that's $1,000 per seat-equivalent of revenue. A Relax Row takes three economy seats, sells for $3,000 to $5,000 as a unit, and requires zero cabin reconfiguration. That's $1,000 to $1,700 per seat-equivalent with almost no incremental cost. The margins on a mattress pad and adjustable leg rests versus a lie-flat suite with a privacy door, dedicated galley, and premium meal service aren't even comparable. Air New Zealand proved this in 2011. Called it Skycouch. Same seat. Same concept. Fifteen years of booking data showing parents choose flat over reclined at almost any price. United licensed the design and locked North American exclusivity. The timing maps to a ceiling in their premium strategy. United posted $59.1 billion in revenue last year. Premium cabin revenue grew 11% while economy flatlined. But there are only so many rows you can convert to Polaris before you've hollowed out the cabin. At some point you need the 300 economy passengers to fund the aircraft. Relax Row threads that needle. 200 widebody aircraft. Up to 12 sections per plane. 2,400 units fleet-wide on routes where families will pay anything to let a toddler sleep horizontal for 14 hours. Dynamic pricing at American willingness-to-pay levels on a product Air New Zealand sells for $200 to $1,500. Six fare classes on a single widebody now: Basic Economy, Economy, Relax Row, Premium Plus, Polaris, Polaris Studio. Each tier reframes the next as reasonable. They wrapped it in a plushie because "highest-margin seat in commercial aviation" doesn't fit on a boarding pass. |
Originally Posted by SlatsExtended
(Post 4016211)
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Originally Posted by Bestglide
(Post 4016214)
I think this is officially the end of the 757s. At least all the 200s. With fuel increasing and the 321XLR it’s a forgone conclusion.
i would also imagine vacancy/displacement bids initially to get the west coast and DEN and IAH 756 bases closed and move the 756/767 flying primarily out of EWR and IAD with maybe ORD? Overall good news for us! |
Originally Posted by Duckdude
(Post 4016549)
They can’t do that. The reason for the extra space is there is no seat ahead of them. Only bulkhead seats have that extra space.
on the 767 the rest seat is 1A. Personally I’ve never had an issue with noise in that seat except when the FA’s are doing the service, and even then it is minimal. The curtain doesn’t cut down noise that much. And before and after break, the galley is almost never “brightly lit”. Of course, during break the curtain does do a good job of blocking light, so maybe they turn the lights off right before break is over. |
Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot
(Post 4016609)
My favorite part is that we are taking 250 planes over the next 2 years which is more planes than any airline in history has taken in a 2 year period. About 50 of these are 787s.
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Originally Posted by LifetimeCFI
(Post 4016614)
As someone with an interview in the next few weeks, I'm quite excited to see that. Any clue how many of those are Airbus 320-family aircraft?
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Originally Posted by EWRflyr
(Post 4016581)
Air New Zealand proved this in 2011. Called it Skycouch. Same seat. Same concept. Fifteen years of booking data showing parents choose flat over reclined at almost any price. United licensed the design and locked North American exclusivity.
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