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Originally Posted by Probe
(Post 1857175)
Only seat/mile growth, no advertised block hour growth. No additional pilots needed for this growth. Mil/medical/early outs? Also returning from mil/medical. Net probably low double digits.
400 retirements. Yep. Not sure why so much hiring. Could they be planning actual block hour growth? Who knows. Hopefully. No advertised block hour growth. -TK moves out of Denver (money on ORD-easier to have Labor keep a watch) -Good bet vast majority of current Instructors will NOT follow the job there. -Majority of current Instructors have DEN 737 Cap Seniority..that's where they will go. The more junior ones go to the right seat DEN 737 where they will be in the top 1/3. -How many DEN displacements can you guess? (Not to mention the HUGE expense of displacements) -Big vacancy needed for Instructors locating to new TK. -Takes a WHOLE bunch more time to bring an Instructor on line. MANY bodies off the line at the same time for good period of time (2 years all told for the process,maybe?) Bottom line, I think they are PADDING now for the eventual removal of HUNDREDS of pilots off the line required to train, either as instructor or the DEN displaced guys. I think all this talk of cities bidding so mgmt gets the best deal is just a ruse. Sure, they want to extract as much as they can and are having the cities participate in a bidding war to achieve this. In reality, I believe they have decided from the onset it will be in ORD. If this was really about TOTAL cost, they would keep TK in DEN. Minimize the distance and you minimize cost. One of the largest costs will be the loss of Instructors and how that affects the line/displacements and training pipeline. The difference in what mgmt extracts out of each city is pocket change. Moving TK is not about cost, it's all about control...IMHO. |
Originally Posted by boxer6
(Post 1861802)
Maybe all this hiring makes sense if:
-TK moves out of Denver (money on ORD-easier to have Labor keep a watch) -Good bet vast majority of current Instructors will NOT follow the job there. -Majority of current Instructors have DEN 737 Cap Seniority..that's where they will go. The more junior ones go to the right seat DEN 737 where they will be in the top 1/3. -How many DEN displacements can you guess? (Not to mention the HUGE expense of displacements) -Big vacancy needed for Instructors locating to new TK. -Takes a WHOLE bunch more time to bring an Instructor on line. MANY bodies off the line at the same time for good period of time (2 years all told for the process,maybe?) Bottom line, I think they are PADDING now for the eventual removal of HUNDREDS of pilots off the line required to train, either as instructor or the DEN displaced guys. I think all this talk of cities bidding so mgmt gets the best deal is just a ruse. Sure, they want to extract as much as they can and are having the cities participate in a bidding war to achieve this. In reality, I believe they have decided from the onset it will be in ORD. If this was really about TOTAL cost, they would keep TK in DEN. Minimize the distance and you minimize cost. One of the largest costs will be the loss of Instructors and how that affects the line/displacements and training pipeline. The difference in what mgmt extracts out of each city is pocket change. Moving TK is not about cost, it's all about control...IMHO. |
I heard things were hinging on whether Rham Emanual got re-elected as he promised a lot of tax breaks to put the training center in ORD. Since he did get re-elected I would expect an announcement on it soon.
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Originally Posted by Mitch Rapp05
(Post 1861875)
Houston or Denver is more logical because of costs, previous training locations already there, weather, etc.
Personally, I don't care where it is. Just get on with it. |
Final unfilled vacancies:
DCA 320 FO 64 UNFILLED DCA 756 FO 7 UNFILLED EWR 737 FO 63 UNFILLED EWR 756 FO 53 UNFILLED IAH 320 FO 5 UNFILLED SFO 737 FO 16 UNFILLED That should give people in the next few classes an idea of where they'll end up ... odds are EWR or DCA. Not to worry; you should be able to bid to somewhere else fairly quickly. |
Originally Posted by Greg Bockelman
(Post 1861903)
Well, yeah, but Denver is obsolete and Houston is worse. The facility needs to be a clean slate design and if that is the case, it doesn't necessarily HAVE to be in Denver or Houston.
Personally, I don't care where it is. Just get on with it. |
Originally Posted by Andy
(Post 1861906)
Final unfilled vacancies:
DCA 320 FO 64 UNFILLED DCA 756 FO 7 UNFILLED EWR 737 FO 63 UNFILLED EWR 756 FO 53 UNFILLED IAH 320 FO 5 UNFILLED SFO 737 FO 16 UNFILLED That should give people in the next few classes an idea of where they'll end up ... odds are EWR or DCA. Not to worry; you should be able to bid to somewhere else fairly quickly. |
Originally Posted by DashTrash
(Post 1861643)
Have they published the category report yet?
and ALL JEFF'D UP! My initial hire class isn't even on there (L-UAL '08), and another person I know is listed as LTA, which he is not.... SIGH.... |
3% increase in mainline airframes doesn't necessarily mean a block hour increase. There are no current plans for mainline block hour increase, according to the company.
We are hiring about 80 a month. We were also hiring at least that many in 78, 2001, and 2008. Right up until we weren't. |
Originally Posted by boxer6
(Post 1861802)
Maybe all this hiring makes sense if:
-TK moves out of Denver (money on ORD-easier to have Labor keep a watch) -Good bet vast majority of current Instructors will NOT follow the job there. -Majority of current Instructors have DEN 737 Cap Seniority..that's where they will go. The more junior ones go to the right seat DEN 737 where they will be in the top 1/3. -How many DEN displacements can you guess? (Not to mention the HUGE expense of displacements) -Big vacancy needed for Instructors locating to new TK. -Takes a WHOLE bunch more time to bring an Instructor on line. MANY bodies off the line at the same time for good period of time (2 years all told for the process,maybe?) Bottom line, I think they are PADDING now for the eventual removal of HUNDREDS of pilots off the line required to train, either as instructor or the DEN displaced guys. I think all this talk of cities bidding so mgmt gets the best deal is just a ruse. Sure, they want to extract as much as they can and are having the cities participate in a bidding war to achieve this. In reality, I believe they have decided from the onset it will be in ORD. If this was really about TOTAL cost, they would keep TK in DEN. Minimize the distance and you minimize cost. One of the largest costs will be the loss of Instructors and how that affects the line/displacements and training pipeline. The difference in what mgmt extracts out of each city is pocket change. Moving TK is not about cost, it's all about control...IMHO. This is just what the new UAL needs. All new instructors and losing three decades of corporate knowledge at both training centers. I hope the FAA is watching. |
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