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full of luv 06-07-2019 03:18 PM


Originally Posted by Arctichicken (Post 2832897)
No disrespect to you but is this straight from the horses's mouth, I mean, the donkey? How many times has this management's promised fleet growth plan or any other plan for that matter come to fruition? These same management types promised us: 2,000 by 2,000, major QOL/line/pairing improvements once the MDs went away, Vision 2010, no need for Scope because "they would never do that!", negotiations in good faith, and countless empty and unfulfilled promises.

4,000 by 4,000? This is our new target? I guess it will be well after Hell freezes over and global warming wreaks havoc on its icebergs. Even if this minuscule growth takes effect, how will we find quality pilots? I hear 50% of our new hires require additional training. We are not hiring the best obviously. I'm seeing this on the line as well. This place is bleeding from both ends with no end in sight. The best thing that could happen to this pilot group is to be bought out or another D-day effort by real airline. By the way, JD Powers is fixed, if you haven't already caught on by now.

All Mgmt's shoot sunshine straight up the pilot's butt, especially when they want something. Right here on this very forum, you had UAL Cappy's reporting that their mgt back in 2015 telling them they'd be at 18,000 by 2018.....oops.

NewGuy01 06-07-2019 09:50 PM


Originally Posted by full of luv (Post 2833515)
All Mgmt's shoot sunshine straight up the pilot's butt, especially when they want something. Right here on this very forum, you had UAL Cappy's reporting that their mgt back in 2015 telling them they'd be at 18,000 by 2018.....oops.



737 upgrade at SFO is now under 3 years at UAL. Conservatively a 1/2 million dollar pay difference over the next 10 years, at least for my personal situation. I wish they’d call...


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rickair7777 06-08-2019 06:24 AM


Originally Posted by NewGuy01 (Post 2833672)
737 upgrade at SFO is now under 3 years at UAL. Conservatively a 1/2 million dollar pay difference over the next 10 years, at least for my personal situation. I wish they’d call...

On the west coast?

NewGuy01 06-08-2019 06:26 AM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 2833742)
On the west coast?



Last I checked SFO was on the West Coast, yes.


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av8or 06-08-2019 07:32 AM


Originally Posted by newguy01 (Post 2833745)
last i checked sfo was on the west coast, yes.


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OTZeagle1 06-08-2019 08:33 AM


Originally Posted by ShyGuy (Post 2832925)
All I see is 32 MAX9s on order yet to be delivered. I can’t find options anywhere, but it would take 40 options to be fully exercised just to replace the 73 Airbuses on an airframe.

If the “new” order is 40, then that means 32+40 = 72 firm just replaces the Bus fleet. Until options are exercised, they seem meaningless.





From the original 50 Boeing order press release:

“Alaska Airlines currently operates 120 Boeing 737s. The new firm aircraft order, plus 25 existing firm delivery positions, give the carrier the flexibility to manage its fleet size to meet air travel demand over the next decade. Two-thirds of the aircraft are expected to replace older airplanes. The remaining firm orders and options will enable Alaska Airlines to grow assuming sufficient customer demand and that the company continues to achieve its profit and return on invested capital goals.”


2/3 were for replacement of older Boeing’s. Only 1/3 of those 50 were growth.


Options are meaningless? Huh?

Options are positions paid for by Alaska, we wouldn’t purchase them if there was no intent, we are way to frugal for that. Options allow AS management to release a smaller future liability to Wall Street, which they are much more likely to palate. To date every Alaska 737 option has been exercised. Past two orders only saw additional options being exercised.
On the date of the acquisition, AS had almost exactly the same number of 737 firm orders and positions as VX had total airframes. This has been answered several times, to include myself last summer on this board. 59 737-9 replace all the Bus capacity, a number we don’t like but management does.

Flaps1check 06-08-2019 12:14 PM


Originally Posted by OTZeagle1 (Post 2833797)
Options are meaningless? Huh?

Options are positions paid for by Alaska, we wouldn’t purchase them if there was no intent, we are way to frugal for that. Options allow AS management to release a smaller future liability to Wall Street, which they are much more likely to palate. To date every Alaska 737 option has been exercised. Past two orders only saw additional options being exercised.
On the date of the acquisition, AS had almost exactly the same number of 737 firm orders and positions as VX had total airframes. This has been answered several times, to include myself last summer on this board. 59 737-9 replace all the Bus capacity, a number we don’t like but management does.

30 options being exercised for the 321 neos. Giving us 40 321 NEOs, this with the 101 max order is huge growth for this the pilot group.

OTZeagle1 06-08-2019 12:48 PM

No one would argue... but if you wanted huge growth, you went to the wrong airline. They will hold on to those options I am sure until that Max is flying.... free insurance. From everything I have seen, 6.5 to 7 year upgrade going forward. Steady but reasonable growth. Probably 3,700 pilots in 2025 if I had to bet my own money on it.

Packrat 06-08-2019 02:36 PM


Originally Posted by Flaps1check (Post 2833891)
30 options being exercised for the 321 neos. Giving us 40 321 NEOs, this with the 101 max order is huge growth for this the pilot group.

Guess who the launch customer for the MD-90 was? Guess how many AS took? NEO options can easily be cancelled. As opined here before, those could just have been used as leverage to get better MAX prices.

ShyGuy 06-08-2019 03:25 PM

The 30 A320NEOs weren't options, they are orders with pre-deliver payments (PDPs) already made. If they are cancelled, IIRC it incurs a penalty of about $14 million since they don't get any money back.


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