Alaska Air Hiring
03-18-2020, 03:14 PM
#4571
Perennial Reserve
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 11,880
Don’t know. All bureaucracies lie. But the numbers appear consistent with other indicators:
COVID-19 Chinese Recovery Begins | Audries Aircraft Analysis
Do you have BETTER numbers?
and remember, the denominator for cases in China as a whole is 1.4 BILLION.
COVID-19 Chinese Recovery Begins | Audries Aircraft Analysis
Do you have BETTER numbers?
and remember, the denominator for cases in China as a whole is 1.4 BILLION.
03-18-2020, 03:53 PM
#4572
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2007
Posts: 341
The province where this started - where Wuhan is - Hubei province, has a population of 59 million people including 11 million in Wuhan city itself. Total cases identified to date in Hubei - the epicenter of the outbreak - is 67,800 and in all of China 80,800. That means if you lived in that province your chance of being diagnosed with COVID-19 was one in 870 and in the rest of China even less.
They are already starting to withdraw restrictions there:
https://www.thestar.com.my/news/regi...covid-19-cases
They are already starting to withdraw restrictions there:
https://www.thestar.com.my/news/regi...covid-19-cases
Nothing like is going to ever happen here so don't expect the same results.
03-18-2020, 04:26 PM
#4573
Banned
Joined APC: Apr 2017
Posts: 627
This is how they kept the numbers low:https://twitter.com/MikeIsaac/status...571772928?s=19
Nothing like is going to ever happen here so don't expect the same results.
Nothing like is going to ever happen here so don't expect the same results.
03-18-2020, 04:59 PM
#4574
Perennial Reserve
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 11,880
This is how they kept the numbers low:https://twitter.com/MikeIsaac/status...571772928?s=19
Nothing like is going to ever happen here so don't expect the same results.
Nothing like is going to ever happen here so don't expect the same results.
and even in Italy where they have 35,000 cases diagnosed, that’s still 35,000 cases out of a population of 60.5 million. That’s still one in 1700 people. And the population density in Italy is five times what it is in the US and their median population is eight years older than ours. They are going to be hit a lot quicker and harder by this than we are.
Also, treatments are being found.
https://nypost.com/2020/03/18/japane...officials-say/
03-22-2020, 05:03 AM
#4575
Line Holder
Joined APC: Jul 2009
Position: 121 Right Seat
Posts: 49
If you look at exponential growth and doubling every 4 days then in 20 days 35,000 becomes over a million. 20 days later its 35 million. In less than two months 35,000 infects everyone in the US. Many suspect our fatality rate would be more like Italy because once we get 500,000 cases in the US then our healthcare system will be unable to provide proper care. So we would have somewhere between 1 million and 15 million fatalities.
50% of 330 mil get infected. 1-5% die. Do the math.
50% of 330 mil get infected. 1-5% die. Do the math.
03-22-2020, 09:28 AM
#4576
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2014
Posts: 1,316
If you look at exponential growth and doubling every 4 days then in 20 days 35,000 becomes over a million. 20 days later its 35 million. In less than two months 35,000 infects everyone in the US. Many suspect our fatality rate would be more like Italy because once we get 500,000 cases in the US then our healthcare system will be unable to provide proper care. So we would have somewhere between 1 million and 15 million fatalities.
50% of 330 mil get infected. 1-5% die. Do the math.
50% of 330 mil get infected. 1-5% die. Do the math.
03-22-2020, 11:46 AM
#4577
Prime Minister/Moderator
Joined APC: Jan 2006
Position: Engines Turn Or People Swim
Posts: 39,786
This statement is fear mongering nonsense. There are already more than a million infected in the US. Italian doctors were reporting strange pneumonia cases as early as November. This virus is so widespread already. Yet if you keep watching the reported numbers, this thing is just starting, which it isn’t. It’s been here for months. It’s only exponential on charts. The charts are incomplete at best.
Later on it will flatten out due to people who already had it and people with better immunity... in addition to social distancing. My neighbor already had it months ago after she traveled, we knew she was sick in bed but just though it was the flu at the time. In retrospect the symptoms were 100% COVID. Her husband almost certainly either got it with no symptoms or is naturally immune.
03-22-2020, 05:50 PM
#4579
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2017
Posts: 480
If or when the govt bailout is announced I think at that point they will determine how many they are going to furlough and when. Given the load factor hovering around 20% or less I’d guess 500-700 in the first wave, with more to follow as necessary.
03-22-2020, 06:16 PM
#4580
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2017
Posts: 218
They offered up no furloughs through Aug 31 in the bailout assuming we get grants. Guessing that wasn't much of a give since they probably want to see how this shakes out over the summer regardless. We will see other workgroups take a hit before pilots is my guess.
I won't be furloughed unless things go mission critical. However given the possibly short lived nature of this thing I think we should consider doing reduced flying lines to keep all pilots employed.
I won't be furloughed unless things go mission critical. However given the possibly short lived nature of this thing I think we should consider doing reduced flying lines to keep all pilots employed.
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