A strike will never be allowed.

 

I think a strike will never be allowed at one of the big four airlines. For little old allegiant, i could see a world where the NMB releases us and the president doesn't call for a PEB, and then congress chooses not to intervene.

We are gonna get a look at how "union" friendly this administration and congress are with the railroads who are itching to strike over work rules and pay.

 

the economic repercussions of a railroad strike far , far exceed the effects of even a legacy airline striking.

 

Absolutely. You think supply chain was messed up with covid, wait til you see a rail strike...

 

It ultimately won't happen (unless congress is unable to act due to bickering, which wouldn't entirely surprise me). The fact that they were released by the NMB from mediation into a cooling off period moved the ball quite a bit since the overwhelming majority of unions now have TAs...it is only about 2 of 12 unions who are still at a stalemate over sick time usage (sounds familiar). The other unions will honor any strikes though (think pilots honoring a mechanics strike), which will shut down the entire system.

I believe the last airline that entered a cooling off period was Spirit in 2010 and that resulted in a strike... so to say we would never be released (@Jim Rockford) is naive and cowardly.

 

The 2 out of the 12 that are still at a stalemate are the two largest rail unions (per the WaPo) so even if the other unions don't honor the strike, the supply chain issues will be crippling.

 

I think strikes are a moot point. If we are 1 year down the line without the company playing ball, the senirorty list will shrink so bad, they wont be able to staff the new planes. Park and expensive 737 and watch that share price. Even senior guys will jump ship when displaced in the inevitable bid when it happens.

I don't care what some of you know it all's think, Blackstone ain't going to let MG or JR stay in position if things go that bad. Watch them end up with the rest of the board on the street. Nobody is that irreplaceable, and not even MG can survive the meltdown that is on the horizon.

He will have to cave way before that, or he will become history. And at that point G4 will become cheap for the staff (pilots and mechanics) and the airframes. Perhaps even breeze will have done better and will raise enough capital to take hold of stubborn G4.

 

wouldn’t be the first time a founder / ceo was ousted. See David Neelman / Jet Blue. Also happening at Peloton rn.

 

Cowardly….what an odd response. Anyway, sorry to disappoint you but it wont happen despite the name calling. Maybe someone from the last round during the obama years no less, will school you.

 

odd that I found myself here. The LOA is good for 3 years or until we sign a TA at Mesa. There is no expiration on the rates. They just don’t go up after three years. Not sure where you got the two years, that’s not mentioned anywhere in the LOA.