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Old 07-13-2021, 03:17 PM
  #531  
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Originally Posted by El Peso View Post
• Carried 44M passengers in the 2nd Quarter, more than any other carrier.

• Expected to report a slight Q2 profit including special items. Loss of 1.1B excluding special items. Better than expected.

• The month of June generated a cash build of 1m per day. that’s excluding special items and including principle debt payments.

https://apple.news/A0gqEwFQDSBKm9RnYSrdpYg
https://www.forbes.com/sites/danielr...h=3fac03ea5801


FORT WORTH, Texas (AP) — American Airlines said Tuesday it expects to report roughly break-even results for the second quarter thanks to $1.4 billion in special items, mostly federal pandemic aid that covered most of the airline’s payroll costs.

Without the federal relief, however, the airline said it will post an adjusted loss of up to $1.2 billion for the April-through-June period. That will be its smallest adjusted loss since the pandemic started, reflecting rising passenger traffic and revenue.

American said that second-quarter revenue will be about 37.5% lower than during the same period of 2019, slightly better than the airline had previously forecast.
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Old 07-13-2021, 03:35 PM
  #532  
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So, Uncle Sam is picking up the tab, and airlines can show “profit “??
Either way, nice to see things trending in the right direction!
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Old 07-13-2021, 03:55 PM
  #533  
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Originally Posted by Tranquility View Post
So, Uncle Sam is picking up the tab, and airlines can show “profit “??
Either way, nice to see things trending in the right direction!
The key point here is that for the month of June AA was cash positive excluding special items and including principle debt payments. But yes Q2 will post an operating loss of about 1.1B.
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Old 07-13-2021, 04:33 PM
  #534  
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Originally Posted by El Peso View Post
The key point here is that for the month of June AA was cash positive excluding special items and including principle debt payments. But yes Q2 will post an operating loss of about 1.1B.
Raising the question of whether or not they HAD any debt principle payments in the second quarter. I think they only have two relatively small bond issuances maturing this year, one for $500 million and one for $750 million. They are unlikely to pay off either of these, most likely just selling new bonds to pay off the old ones, but I think those might both be in later quarters.

We know they had interest payments. They had $371 million in interest expense last quarter which was up $120 million YOY.




Second quarter interest expense for 2021 will likely be higher still since they’ve increased their borrowing since 2020.




. American Airlines Group Inc. raised $10 billion of debt last week to repay government loans and keep its business running as the economy recovers. The deal also boosted the company’s debt by about 20%, transferring much of that risk onto debt investors.

American has survived the pandemic by taking on $22 billion of new debt, bringing its total obligations to $50 billion. Borrowing saved the company—and others like Carnival Corp. and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc.—from bankruptcy, but it comes with higher interest costs that could affect profitability for years to come.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/america...hs-11615973407
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Old 07-15-2021, 03:08 AM
  #535  
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For a long time, the question was “will American make a profit?”

ok, they’re back to making a profit! Awesome!

The question now is “can American make enough profit”. Enough to service their debt and enough to be viable going forward.
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Old 07-15-2021, 05:17 AM
  #536  
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Originally Posted by ZeroTT View Post
For a long time, the question was “will American make a profit?”

ok, they’re back to making a profit! Awesome!

The question now is “can American make enough profit”. Enough to service their debt and enough to be viable going forward.
If they are making a profit that includes their debt payments.
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Old 07-15-2021, 05:24 AM
  #537  
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Originally Posted by nAAtive View Post
If they are making a profit that includes their debt payments.
I think ZeroTT is referring to the debt maturity schedule. Starts to look dicey in about the 2023 time frame.
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Old 07-15-2021, 05:41 AM
  #538  
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Originally Posted by nAAtive View Post
If they are making a profit that includes their debt payments.
No, it does not. It does not currently even cover their debt SERVICE far less debt payments which aren’t due - in most cases - until the bond tranche reaches maturity.

What did you thing EBIDTA stands for? It is Earnings BEFORE Interest, Depreciation, Taxes, and Amortization.

It’s a ‘profit’ before you have paid your rent/mortgage, upkeep on your equipment, local, state, and federal taxes, and lease costs.

Except you actually DO have to pay those things, which is why earnings per share are negative to the tune of $1.75 a share or so for this quarter. That’s negative $1.75 a share multiplied by 656 million shares since the loss per share (like any future profit per share) has also been affected by the stock dilution from all the sales of shares at low prices during COVID. Otherwise the loss per share would have even been higher.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/29/amer...big-rally.html
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Old 07-15-2021, 06:49 AM
  #539  
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Here's ECD to educate us all on AA again. Good news, only 2 more years before they start hiring, right?
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Old 07-15-2021, 06:52 AM
  #540  
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Originally Posted by nAAtive View Post
If they are making a profit that includes their debt payments.
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