Worst case scenario...possibly.

It would most certainly be April or May, and training (including IOE) will take at least 3 months. For others, it is much closer to 5 months Someone hired in the first class of October would not be finished with training until after the New Year. At that point, yes, they would likely spend Jan/Feb/Mar based somewhere else. That is absolutely the worst case scenario.

This is, of course, dependent on which aircraft they are assigned. If they are assigned to the wrong aircraft, it will be much worse. For instance, if they want to be in ORD but are assigned to the 320. Right now, even after the new hire seat lock is up, it looks like everyone is currently being withheld from any new awards. This can be up to 9 additional months with the new contract where you are stuck somewhere else because you can't be trained on the new airplane you bid.

I see they throw a token in here and there. Not a big need, relative to others. Just to say they participated.

I am hoping for something like this for my class drop. But I got a while yet due to military commitments. I am in the 29 November class.

That just isn’t true. There are people who are still waiting until December for the vacancy bid we had in July. No, it isn’t really common but it happens. Worst-case scenario is someone hired in October finishes training right around, or just after, the new year. Then, they get a June effective date, and they are in some other base for Jan-May. I’m not saying that’s likely but if we are setting the floor, that’s the floor.

Again, if someone gets a desirable base on the fleet that is in their desired base, they could easily do a mutual base exchange (LGA and MIA had ~25 each trying to actively leave last I checked) and they could easily be in LGA/MIA before they are out of training. Just depends how the cards play out on MBE.

Anyone got the latest drop? for the 4th?

Yes:

LGA/FO/737/I 7
MIA/FO/737/I 7
BOS/FO/737/D 7
DCA/FO/737D 8
LGA/FO/737/D 2
CLT/FO/320/I 4
DCA/FO/320/I 4
LAX/FO/320/I 5
MIA/FO/320/I 1
PHL/FO/320/I 1
PHX/FO/320/I 1

good, hella movement in DCA

When does the drop for the Oct 11 class come out?

usually the friday before. if you havent picked up on the trend yet.

Have not. Trying to help a friend out.