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ATLAS Declaring BK?

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Old 08-22-2019, 10:04 AM
  #51  
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Originally Posted by Cujo665 View Post
American. Over $4B in cash on hand. Convinced a BK judge that their debt structure was to become unstable unless BK restructuring of debt occurred.

Board of Directors actually replaced the CEO because he didn’t believe in bankruptcy and was stubbornly trying to renegotiate all labor contracts for over half a decade. BOD replaced him and promptly declared bankruptcy.
American had been losing money for years. They had 4 billion in cash, but their liabilities also exceeded their assets by 5 billion.

A key to surviving bankruptcy is to go into it with cash on hand. Wipe out the debt side, or at least give it a good hair cut, then march on. Going in with a weak cash position often leads to Chapter 7.

It should be no surprise that a CEO who gets a company into that position gets replaced. There is an entire subclass of CEOs who specialize in restructuring.

And it was not just labor that took it in the shorts. As usual, the leasing companies took big hits and the debt was restructured.
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Old 08-22-2019, 10:09 AM
  #52  
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Originally Posted by 3pointlanding View Post
It is obvious history is lost 742Dash. That or he never heard of Lorenzo. Well, the new Atlas management is in the same league and the train has already left the station whether good or bad. I have good friends at Atlas and Polar and I hope I am wrong but the signs don't look good.
If you are so wise about history then you know that Lorenzo's empire revolved around Jet Capital, which was the tool he used to take control of TIA -- and was privately held.
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Old 08-22-2019, 10:10 AM
  #53  
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Originally Posted by Cujo665 View Post
American. Over $4B in cash on hand. Convinced a BK judge that their debt structure was to become unstable unless BK restructuring of debt occurred.
That's not a lot of money for a company that size with that many liabilities. Especially an airline... the FAA will pull your cert if your financial position gets bad enough, they know a broke company cannot and will not comply with all safety requirements.

Also AA was too big to fail at that point.
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Old 08-22-2019, 02:10 PM
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Originally Posted by 742Dash View Post
American had been losing money for years. They had 4 billion in cash, but their liabilities also exceeded their assets by 5 billion.

A key to surviving bankruptcy is to go into it with cash on hand. Wipe out the debt side, or at least give it a good hair cut, then march on. Going in with a weak cash position often leads to Chapter 7.

It should be no surprise that a CEO who gets a company into that position gets replaced. There is an entire subclass of CEOs who specialize in restructuring.

And it was not just labor that took it in the shorts. As usual, the leasing companies took big hits and the debt was restructured.
It’s never about liabilities vs bank holdings. It’s about does the revenue support the debt servicing. They retained assets they had no business holding onto that were discovered in the bankruptcy that had they sold those assets they could have bought down their debt. They didn’t want to is the real answer. Heck, they even kept their London townhouse near 10 Downing St until the court made them liquidate it. They let countless jets rot in the dessert they were still making payments on rather then sell them or part them out to cut losses. It was a game to them, it still is. Bankruptcy cut all those payments to almost nothing. Pennies on the dollar. Foolish to think they aren’t planning the exact same playbook again.

Parker? He’s a Lorenzo clone. AA will be back in bankruptcy by 2021, just in time to stick bankruptcy contracts on all the labor forces again. AA pilots are already over 14 years without a negotiated or non bankruptcy contract.
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Old 08-22-2019, 02:12 PM
  #55  
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Originally Posted by 742Dash View Post
American had been losing money for years. They had 4 billion in cash, but their liabilities also exceeded their assets by 5 billion.

A key to surviving bankruptcy is to go into it with cash on hand. Wipe out the debt side, or at least give it a good hair cut, then march on. Going in with a weak cash position often leads to Chapter 7.

It should be no surprise that a CEO who gets a company into that position gets replaced. There is an entire subclass of CEOs who specialize in restructuring.

And it was not just labor that took it in the shorts. As usual, the leasing companies took big hits and the debt was restructured.
Banks and retirees got screwed the most.
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Old 08-22-2019, 03:36 PM
  #56  
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Originally Posted by Cujo665 View Post

Parker? He’s a Lorenzo clone. AA will be back in bankruptcy by 2021, just in time to stick bankruptcy contracts on all the labor forces again. AA pilots are already over 14 years without a negotiated or non bankruptcy contract.
You give Dougie way too much credit. Lorenzo invented that play, Doug is just trying to copy it.
And I think you couldn't be more wrong about the contract situation.
With the average age and looming retirements, AA will want to negotiate a contract ASAP that is extremely top heavy. Half the pilots are retiring in the next decade. They will sell everything that screws up the junior guys for a few extra bucks for their retirement.
Airport standby for 2 bucks an hour, they would do it because the majority of voters would never suffer from it.
It's in AAs best interest to get something done, quick. When the retirements kick in, it wont be as easy.
Forum talk is cheap, but that's what will happen, just watch.
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Old 08-22-2019, 03:36 PM
  #57  
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Originally Posted by Cujo665 View Post
Banks and retirees got screwed the most.
I think of retirees as being part of labor, but that is just my approach.

Once thing we do agree is on our opinion of Parker. His career shows everything that is wrong with modern American business management.
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Old 08-22-2019, 11:41 PM
  #58  
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Originally Posted by iPilot View Post
If you think Atlas has too much debt for goodness sake don't look at American or UPS!

Debt-to-Equity:
AAWW - 113%
DAL - 72%
FDX - 100%
UAL - 140%
UPS - 530%
AAL - 638%


Debt and airlines go together like burgers and fries. Its an extremely capital intense business with very expensive machines that you can't just pay up front for. Keep in mind part of AAWW's business (Titan) is packaging aircraft leases as asset-backed securities so its basically a debt factory for Wall Street. Titan arranged a lot of the leases on the Amazon 767s and most of the 747s at Atlas. Every new jet means a big ol' chunk of debt on the books. Plus, with bond interest rates so low its standard operating procedure for all businesses to be loading up on debt. Its essentially free money at the moment.

Atlas is a contract carrier.

You are comparing apples to oranges here.

Contract carriers have no leg to stand on and will never get a contract until they get the balls to park the airplanes.
When you do, they will move your airframes to the next carrier.
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Old 08-23-2019, 01:58 AM
  #59  
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So Kalitta is doomed? I can’t keep track if they’re screwed for being too expensive or Connie is a visionary for being so generous.
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Old 08-23-2019, 04:02 AM
  #60  
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Why do think Kalitta is referred to as K4?
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