I'm an older guy (relatively - 42) and am looking at leaving my current employer for FedEx or UPS. I have a sponser at FedEx and meet all of the requirements for the UPS window. I am a stickler for details, and usually run a spreadsheet comparing everything I can get my hands on. I've been trying to find some current yearly age 60 projections at FedEx and UPS so I can do a rough seniority advancement projection with different growth and attrition models to see where I'll end up. My FedEx sponser has not come up with any hard data, but claims I would do quite well over the next 18 (or 23) years. It is my understanding that UPS has a quite younger pilot group, but with a smaller total number, relative seniority advancement through growth may offset lower retirement numbers.
Does anyone have a current list of yearly retirements? It would be greatly appreciated. (Then later I'll bend your ear(s) on the whole ANC deal.)

Thanks,
Ice

 

Looks like it averages about 180 over the next 15 years. Slightly lower in the short term, higher in the long term. It tails off after 15 years, but that'll change with time. As will the whole outlook if the age changes.

If your sponsor can't find the data(under General Info, Retirement Chart) I'd worry that he's not smart/crafty enough to get you the M&G/interview. I tried to put a sarcasm smile here, but it doesn't seem to want to take.

 

Not sure what our figures will look like and age 65 is poised to throw a monkey wrench into that whole thing. Apply to both, go to whichever one hires you first, and strap yourself in for the ride

 

This is the projected retirement chart based on the number of current FedEx pilots turning 60 in each of these years. It does not take into account the ability to remain as a second officer beyond age 59.

 

It would be great if somone had this for UPS...anyone?

 

Wow... thanks for the fast responses. Looks like I'll be able to glean enough info out of the chart to make a reasonable estimation. I'm just trying to be prepared to make informed choices if the opportunity comes up. Some UPS numbers would be great, as I'm considerably in the dark over the demographic of the pilot group.

Thanks Again,
Ice

 

That chart is a bit small. Here's the raw data....

2007 126
2008 151
2009 131
2010 162
2011 153
2012 189
2013 185
2014 156
2015 183
2016 211
2017 213
2018 222
2019 231
2020 220
2021 242
2022 208
2023 195
2024 175
2025 142
2026 163
2027 156
2028 167
2029 162
2030 118
2031 84
2032 55
2033 62
2034 47
2035 27
2036 18
2037 11
2038 6
2039 1
2040 1

 

Thanks...

2040 retirement date? I think I have a T-shirt I wax my car with that is older than that guy... But I guess I started with the majors a little younger than that, but that was 4 furloughs, 8 CEOs and 15 pounds ago. Too bad my foresight back then didn't match my hindsight today.

Thanks,
Ice

 

I'm one of these guys!

 

iceback..go for it! i had plenty of guys in my newhire class in their forties...