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-   -   What are the odds that we survive this (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/covid19/128338-what-odds-we-survive.html)

NWSteeringArmer 04-02-2020 10:16 AM


Originally Posted by Aero1900 (Post 3020717)
This Corona shutdown is the ultimate test of business models.

Aside from Govt intervention, we should find out who's model works best in really bad times.

Its already obvious... the big 4 need a load factor of 73-78% just to break even on a flight... frontier and spirit will probably end up doing well but at this point and at the rate things are going, everyone is looking at “not being the same size” come October 1... everything depends on when and if people decide they wanna go flying again... no airline wants to put pilots on the street, but I think that’s especially true of frontier and spirit... they wanna get going asap

NWSteeringArmer 04-02-2020 10:19 AM

On a separate thought, what do you think the chances of the may bid period opening tomorrow... I’m at 6.483% they do

WhaleSurfing 04-02-2020 10:26 AM


Originally Posted by NWSteeringArmer (Post 3020901)
Its already obvious... the big 4 need a load factor of 73-78% just to break even on a flight... frontier and spirit will probably end up doing well but at this point and at the rate things are going, everyone is looking at “not being the same size” come October 1... everything depends on when and if people decide they wanna go flying again... no airline wants to put pilots on the street, but I think that’s especially true of frontier and spirit... they wanna get going asap

Where did you get percentage number that SWA needs that kind of load factor to break even? I rink you’re off a little.

NWSteeringArmer 04-02-2020 10:47 AM


Originally Posted by WhaleSurfing (Post 3020934)
Where did you get percentage number that SWA needs that kind of load factor to break even? I rink you’re off a little.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesas.../#2b77610a5854

SFA320 04-02-2020 10:55 AM


Originally Posted by NWSteeringArmer (Post 3020915)
On a separate thought, what do you think the chances of the may bid period opening tomorrow... I’m at 6.483% they do

ha ha, I’m a little more confident at 16%!

Desert Sky 04-05-2020 05:43 AM


Originally Posted by ToddChavez (Post 3004830)
Dude, puh-lease.

This sucks and the Trump deranged media is to blame. It can be statistically proven pandemics worse than this have occured. We will recover within a year. How much we will recover is yet to be seen, but F9 is best poised to weather this.

Hey ostrich, how ya feeling these days? Is your skinny little head out of the sand yet?

Chief Brody 04-05-2020 07:00 AM


Originally Posted by Desert Sky (Post 3024077)
Hey ostrich, how ya feeling these days? Is your skinny little head out of the sand yet?


Everything he said is true. You are the one with your head in the sand or up your a..

There have been worse pandemics but they were greatly ignored or underreported by the media and slow to react to by a lame president who acted 7 months into the pandemic. But we all got Obama phones with 200 free minutes!! Woo Hoo!! Fist bump!!
Todd Chavez might be a putz but he is our putz so head on back over to your own forum and spew your doom and gloom over there. We plan on making it through this.

CGLimits 04-05-2020 07:28 AM


Originally Posted by Chief Brody (Post 3024146)
Everything he said is true. You are the one with your head in the sand or up your a..

There have been worse pandemics but they were greatly ignored or underreported by the media and slow to react to by a lame president who acted 7 months into the pandemic. But we all got Obama phones with 200 free minutes!! Woo Hoo!! Fist bump!!
Todd Chavez might be a putz but he is our putz so head on back over to your own forum and spew your doom and gloom over there. We plan on making it through this.


This one is not over yet. So we really don’t know how bad it’s going to be. But which other pandemic in the last 20 or 30 years has been worse and under reported? Because I really don’t know of any.

Chief Brody 04-05-2020 07:34 AM


Originally Posted by CGLimits (Post 3024169)
This one is not over yet. So we really don’t know how bad it’s going to be. But which other pandemic in the last 20 or 30 years has been worse and under reported? Because I really don’t know of any.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_swine_flu_pandemic

Squirrel27 04-05-2020 07:48 AM


Originally Posted by Chief Brody (Post 3024182)

The swine flu killed approx. 12000 people in the US. We're already approaching that number with this, and it's just getting started.


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