Go Back  Airline Pilot Central Forums > Pilot Lounge > Hangar Talk > COVID19
What are the odds that we survive this >

What are the odds that we survive this

Search

Notices
COVID19 Pandemic Information and Reports

What are the odds that we survive this

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 04-05-2020 | 07:55 AM
  #71  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Nov 2019
Posts: 1,256
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by Squirrel27
The swine flu killed approx. 12000 people in the US. We're already approaching that number with this, and it's just getting started.
hey hey now lets not talk facts. this is a media hyped virus and fake news and "just like the flu"

oh flu victims don't go to the ICU ward and are in medically induced comas ?

uhh....
Reply
Old 04-05-2020 | 08:07 AM
  #72  
TOGALOCK's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 1,166
Likes: 62
From: 737 CA
Default

Originally Posted by Squirrel27
The swine flu killed approx. 12000 people in the US. We're already approaching that number with this, and it's just getting started.
8314 deaths in the US as of the end of the day yesterday. Based on predictive models by people far smarter and more educated than a group of pilots who may have stayed at a holiday inn express, we are approaching the peak point in the next week to twelve days. So, yes. We will likely see more than 12000 deaths, but to say that this is “just getting started” is a little melodramatic. What is truly “just getting started” is the economic destruction that this is causing.
Reply
Old 04-05-2020 | 08:09 AM
  #73  
I like BIG Bus's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Apr 2016
Posts: 328
Likes: 5
Default

https://www.mdmag.com/medical-news/f...us-cdc-reports

just some facts to help the debate... can’t wait to see how far down the rabbit hole this can get.
Reply
Old 04-05-2020 | 08:12 AM
  #74  
TOGALOCK's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 1,166
Likes: 62
From: 737 CA
Default

Originally Posted by senecacaptain

oh flu victims don't go to the ICU ward and are in medically induced comas ?

uhh....
Thousands of the worst cases do, yes. A shocking percentage of them die while there as well.
Reply
Old 04-05-2020 | 08:23 AM
  #75  
Excargodog's Avatar
Perennial Reserve
 
Joined: Jan 2018
Posts: 14,237
Likes: 254
Default

Originally Posted by TOGALOCK
Thousands of the worst cases do, yes. A shocking percentage of them die while there as well.
basically anybody sick enough to be on a respirator for acute respiratory distress from ANY cause has about a 40-50% chance of dying. Fortunately most influenza (and coronavirus) cases don’t get that ill.
Reply
Old 04-05-2020 | 08:29 AM
  #76  
Banned
 
Joined: Apr 2016
Posts: 293
Likes: 0
From: A320
Default

Originally Posted by TOGALOCK
Thousands of the worst cases do, yes. A shocking percentage of them die while there as well.
250,000-500,000 people a year die due from the Flu.
Reply
Old 04-05-2020 | 08:49 AM
  #77  
On Reserve
 
Joined: Sep 2019
Posts: 137
Likes: 1
Default

Originally Posted by TOGALOCK
8314 deaths in the US as of the end of the day yesterday. Based on predictive models by people far smarter and more educated than a group of pilots who may have stayed at a holiday inn express, we are approaching the peak point in the next week to twelve days. So, yes. We will likely see more than 12000 deaths, but to say that this is “just getting started” is a little melodramatic. What is truly “just getting started” is the economic destruction that this is causing.
with different states following different guidance (7 with no shelter in place order, even) and virtually zero stats on reinfection plus testing still limited to probable infected, how is a peak even being spitballed?
Reply
Old 04-05-2020 | 09:00 AM
  #78  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Nov 2019
Posts: 1,256
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by Chief Brody
250,000-500,000 people a year die due from the Flu.
the flu has 5 Million cases annually

COVID has 1.2M cases as of 04-5-2020. And 67k deaths. In four months.

See you in December
Reply
Old 04-05-2020 | 09:18 AM
  #79  
I like BIG Bus's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Apr 2016
Posts: 328
Likes: 5
Default

The flu had over 29 million cases this season alone just in the U.S. I put that article in a few posts back. Covid-19 seems to be more “deadly”, but it’s been in the states since November-December time frame. There are a lot of people walking around who have had it not known and recovered. So arguing this stuff is pretty pointless until we have a real comparison.
Reply
Old 04-05-2020 | 09:24 AM
  #80  
WaterRooster's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 961
Likes: 17
Default

It’s awesome to see how many pilots here in their downtime became epidemiologists! Good on you guys! Always gotta have that B plan!
Reply
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
Guard Dude
Delta
201736
04-06-2022 06:59 AM
airlinepilotguy
Regional
14
09-09-2016 06:30 PM
Ted Striker
Hangar Talk
12
03-25-2009 08:22 PM
jungle
Money Talk
6
03-16-2009 04:45 PM
SoCalGuy
Major
0
06-16-2008 08:44 AM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices