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Old 09-15-2020, 04:27 AM
  #611  
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Default TSA Numbers

729,558

30.3%

Up 2.6% when compared to the 8/31


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Old 09-15-2020, 04:34 AM
  #612  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777 View Post
KCM might count, since it is technically a form of screening (vice a SIDA bypass).

But a lot of employees are also not going to work, so employee screening is down as well and not skewing the numbers too much.

bottom of screen says includes comment about KCM
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Old 09-15-2020, 05:42 AM
  #613  
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Originally Posted by senecacaptain View Post
bottom of screen says includes comment about KCM
didn’t read the fine print. Haha. Thank you
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Old 09-15-2020, 06:51 AM
  #614  
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Seven day average graph is really insightful. Thanks.
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Old 09-15-2020, 07:56 AM
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Originally Posted by TransWorld View Post
Seven day average graph is really insightful. Thanks.
I tried some different moving averages but they didn’t really help. Last two weeks have been erratic. Lots of noise. 30 day seems best and shows the slow steady climb.
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Old 09-15-2020, 10:45 AM
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last two weeks probably not "credible" data. just showing head counts. does not paint the story of delayed return from summer, Labor Day weekend on different dates than last year, etc.

Today forward we should know something. 30-35% TSA numbers seems to be the can't-get-out-of zone tho.
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Old 09-15-2020, 11:57 AM
  #617  
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Tri-state quarantine list (NY,NJ,CN) was updated today with 6 states coming off the list, two that could help drive additional air travel. With both CA and NV coming off the list, the airlines with transcon flying out of those 3 states to CA and Vegas, should all benefit some.

TX and FL are the two biggest ones left on that list that could drive air travel to and from the NYC area, and those Covid numbers in those two states have been on a steady decline for nearly 2 months so we could see those drop off this list by the end of September, adding some more huge markets back to the mix.

How much will this help? No clue. Thinking how big the JFK/EWR to LAX/SFO markets are, plus NYC to Vegas, it certainly won’t hurt our numbers.

UA, AA, DL, B6 look to gain the most from this. I feel like a few of those airlines made reference to the ban on their last earnings calls as being a big factor in the slowing of the May/early June growth.
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Old 09-15-2020, 12:02 PM
  #618  
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Not exactly sure how California got off. They had over 10 per 100k on sept 5th. Good anyways I guess.


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Old 09-15-2020, 06:18 PM
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Originally Posted by RiddleEagle18 View Post
Not exactly sure how California got off. They had over 10 per 100k on sept 5th. Good anyways I guess.


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Both states are blue...

FL and TX are red, gotta hurt the other party.
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Old 09-16-2020, 10:32 AM
  #620  
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Default OK, if nobody else is going to say it...

Yesterday’s numbers sort of sucked.


522,383

Lowest number in 2 weeks.

Let us hope it’s an outlier.
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