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Old 08-03-2020, 06:46 AM
  #111  
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Originally Posted by senecacaptain View Post
8-2: 29.8% (29.7497, I am going to round it to 29.8% for good measure)

8-1: 29.9%

7-31: 28.1%

almost touched the 30% level which remains elusive.

Theories/Observations:

1. Apparently the hurricane does not impact the number, OR it DOES, and the above captures some folks fleeing from Hurricane/Tropical Storm Isaias.
2. Last minute "lets get the summer trip in" stuff prior to return to school
3. Travel is coming back finally and this is the start of something new.

Fingers crossed for the week...
Number 2. Airlines are reporting soft bookings.
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Old 08-03-2020, 10:24 AM
  #112  
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One positive is that in March it completely tanked. We then saw the positive trend, and reasonable expected to be over 1 million by mid July. Then the “surge” or whatever we would like to call it happened, and stalled all progress for the most part. BUT.. it didn’t put it back into the gutter. This is the “new normal” for now, and while it’s crap, it’s crap with sprinkles on it.
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Old 08-03-2020, 10:35 AM
  #113  
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Originally Posted by kingairfun View Post
We've hit a hiccup, but todays weekend numbers were level with a week or 2 ago... City riots, quarantines and partial closures exasperate the flattening trend.

Vaccine news, (atleast from some news sources), and Covid fatigue will help.

Predict they will start to close in on 800k next week. It'll be interesting to see the 2019 Sept. numbers. I assume they are significantly lower than the 2.7 million we see in Summer. That should help the % YoY. It's all about how close we can get to 2019 numbers by next spring/summer.
Just gonna put this right up here..

Somewhere Wutface is pacing his mom's basement, pulling out his hair...Talking to himself "why! Why are people flying?!?!?!?!"
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Old 08-03-2020, 10:39 AM
  #114  
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Originally Posted by sigler View Post
I think it’s still very uneven across the country though. NYC-area airports still look like ghost towns.
Certain States, run by certain Governors have imposed mandatory Quarantines which the more sheepish people follow out of fear of imprisonment... NY is one of those States.. Along with NJ, Conn, Mass, HI... I see a trend here!

Just stating the obvious
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Old 08-03-2020, 10:59 AM
  #115  
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Originally Posted by kingairfun View Post
Certain States, run by certain Governors have imposed mandatory Quarantines which the more sheepish people follow out of fear of imprisonment... NY is one of those States.. Along with NJ, Conn, Mass, HI... I see a trend here!

Just stating the obvious

Obvious indeed. Colorado seems to be an outlier though. Every time I go through Denver, it's pretty much slammed. Most likely due to connecting passengers though.
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Old 08-03-2020, 11:46 AM
  #116  
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Originally Posted by usmc-sgt View Post
One positive is that in March it completely tanked. We then saw the positive trend, and reasonable expected to be over 1 million by mid July. Then the “surge” or whatever we would like to call it happened, and stalled all progress for the most part. BUT.. it didn’t put it back into the gutter. This is the “new normal” for now, and while it’s crap, it’s crap with sprinkles on it.
Great observation! I had kind of suspected that the bottom would drop, and while there was some negative growth shortly after July 4, it looks now like that was possibly the backside from the spike in holiday travel more than anything else.
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Old 08-03-2020, 11:56 AM
  #117  
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Originally Posted by kingairfun View Post
Certain States, run by certain Governors have imposed mandatory Quarantines which the more sheepish people follow out of fear of imprisonment... NY is one of those States.. Along with NJ, Conn, Mass, HI... I see a trend here!

Just stating the obvious
Population dense states seems to be the trend. Hopefully the true patriots from Alabama and Arkansas who fight for our freedom without masks create the surge in business travel the airlines need to get back to 2019 numbers. Everyone knows companies from Bozeman, Fargo, and other rich cities like Des Moines were the cream of the crop for business travel.

As for quarantines in Hawaii, a literal island in the middle of the ocean, maybe people will start booking to freedom states like Georgia for vacation.
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Old 08-03-2020, 07:26 PM
  #118  
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Originally Posted by usmc-sgt View Post
One positive is that in March it completely tanked. We then saw the positive trend, and reasonable expected to be over 1 million by mid July. Then the “surge” or whatever we would like to call it happened, and stalled all progress for the most part. BUT.. it didn’t put it back into the gutter. This is the “new normal” for now, and while it’s crap, it’s crap with sprinkles on it.
I’m starting to see some light here too. Almost hit 800k yesterday. The news media has been relentless with their coverage of Covid surges in various states. The northeast has mandatory quarantines for a number of popular states. Some places are even shutting back down or rolling things back. Even with all this, airline travel is steadily increasing. I was at Kennedy the other day, and it was as busy as I’ve seen it in along time. I think I’m starting to see a glimmer of hope here.
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Old 08-03-2020, 07:29 PM
  #119  
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I really think this is false hope and just the “end of summer” final push. The airlines have all said their fall bookings are very poor at this point. I hope I’m wrong


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Old 08-03-2020, 07:42 PM
  #120  
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Originally Posted by Av8rPHX View Post
I really think this is false hope and just the “end of summer” final push. The airlines have all said their fall bookings are very poor at this point. I hope I’m wrong


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they’re also looking for concessions from unions and possibly more free money from Uncle Sam.
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