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Old 04-27-2020, 11:41 AM
  #1491  
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Originally Posted by Denny Crane View Post
That is quite a few air frames to cut loose. The 88/90 are gone. I expect some of the older 757/767er’s to be culled out too. But I expect quite a few of the others to go into storage for a year or two and then be gradually brought back depending on demand.

My concern was not that Delta would get rid of the 330 but what are those LAX 777 guys gonna do if/when the LAX 777 category goes away...hopefully management pulls their collective head out and offers a robust early out program.........yeah, I know, if pigs could fly.....but a fella can dream can’t he!?!

Denny
If they opened the LAX350 base that would help SEA330. SLC330 base would help as well. Most Captains on the LAX777 have told me they would just go to ATL777. If we park 767, SLC would need the 330 or do they just shrink SLC base.
If I get displaced off the LAX777, I’m planning on the SEA330B.
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Old 04-27-2020, 11:59 AM
  #1492  
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Originally Posted by gloopy View Post
Except if they go that route (massive over reaction furloughs and plane/fleet retirements) they will hurt the company's performance and shareholder value and return on the other side far more than they will stick it to labor.
That’s why they pay themselves the big bucks-to make these decisions. While I agree it might hurt in the long run, a slash and burn strategy may be more beneficial in the short term (cash).

We also don’t know what they have cooking with other stakeholders (vendors, suppliers, Airbus, private investment). I personally hope they have a pivotal plan that would have only been possible in a small window such as this crisis. As long as it benefits the company and our fellow pilots/employees.
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Old 04-27-2020, 12:14 PM
  #1493  
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Originally Posted by Speed Select View Post
That’s why they pay themselves the big bucks-to make these decisions. While I agree it might hurt in the long run, a slash and burn strategy may be more beneficial in the short term (cash).

We also don’t know what they have cooking with other stakeholders (vendors, suppliers, Airbus, private investment). I personally hope they have a pivotal plan that would have only been possible in a small window such as this crisis. As long as it benefits the company and our fellow pilots/employees.
There really will be opportunities on the other side of this. If handled right, DL could be the best positioned for their "four corners" stratedgies especially in NYC, BOS, SEA, LAX and of course ATL, while remaining untouchably dominant in DTW, MSP and SLC.

I get that even the best managers (which DL obviously has, right?) won't necessarilly know every element of "the plan" by the end of April. But I am concerned they may feel a lot of pressure to make catestrophic decisions just for the sake of speed.

If only we had a few of the burnback billions to work with right about now...
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Old 04-27-2020, 12:15 PM
  #1494  
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Originally Posted by Funk View Post
I’ve been watching the daily TSA screening numbers to see if/when traveling starts to improve (which is different than recover). Thursday through Saturday of this last weekend was up about 15% each day compared to the previous week, and Sunday was up 22%. It was still down over 2.35 million YOY, so there is a long way to go, but maybe a glimmer of hope.
Loving the anecdotal evidence coming outta this thread pointing to greener pastures, keep it up!
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Old 04-27-2020, 12:48 PM
  #1495  
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Originally Posted by Bucking Bar View Post
330 stays. A few 767's go. 757's are fixed up and sold. MD88/90 nearly all gone. Some 717's gone. The 777/320/737-800/717 on the bubble.

If the engines on the 717 had only been made by KIA/YUGO instead of RR/BMW
Who’s going to be buying 757s? United is likely parking the entire 757 and 767 fleets. I’m guessing they aren’t going to fetch that much. Its not like there are airlines looking for old inefficient airplanes.
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Old 04-27-2020, 01:09 PM
  #1496  
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If Anderson were here he would buy all the other airlines’ 757/767 and cancel our NEO order. Gas is cheap, we have the parts and MX. Let er rip.
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Old 04-27-2020, 01:29 PM
  #1497  
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A couple of months ago Delta announced they were paying $1 billion to a carbon footprint offset. Did they write the check already? If not, might be a good time to delay or renege on that deal. Anyone know how this is progressing?
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Old 04-27-2020, 01:39 PM
  #1498  
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Originally Posted by gloopy View Post
LOL really? You know but I'll play along. I guess. It seems like you think the (extremely obvious) answer is somehow going to be a set-up for your pending retort, which you just could have put out there for the sake of a smoother discussion, but for some reason you prefer a more dragged out format. Fine.

An early out saves money today by "furloughing off the top". It reduces top pay scale, 270 hour sick bank, 5 week vacation pilots and preserves much lower pay scale, sick and vacation pilots. Depending on severity it could either prevent furloughs or at least mitigate them. That's the "in general" savings. Specifically in this case, since widebody intl by all accounts will follow domestic recovery back to 2019 levels, it reduces incredibly high cost/incredibly low productivity targeted manpower resources. The savings are realized very quickly and without any initial cost outlay, while allowing a more ordely transition into the recovery than the traditional furlough to the bone stratedgy where the company carries the most expensive pilots for the longest time.

But you knew that. And we all knew you knew that. So now go ahead and say what you were wanting to say about it so we can discuss the issue.
Nah. you chose to be an ass about it.
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Old 04-27-2020, 01:41 PM
  #1499  
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Originally Posted by Denny Crane View Post
Sooooo you don’t think there is going to be a fairly large, as in huge, displacement bid targeting a lot of widebody positions?

Frankly, at just under 50% in my category, I’m wondering if I will get displaced (based on how many 330’s have been taken out of service).

Denny
Oh I absolutely do think that. I am just trying to figure what advantage to the company there is in offering an early out to guys that are going soon anyway. I am in the top 3rd in mine, and I have no doubt I am getting displaced.
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Old 04-27-2020, 02:00 PM
  #1500  
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Originally Posted by Sobchak View Post
A couple of months ago Delta announced they were paying $1 billion to a carbon footprint offset. Did they write the check already? If not, might be a good time to delay or renege on that deal. Anyone know how this is progressing?

I don’t think it was a literal check...and I’d venture to say most of that “money” was in the form of efficient aircraft already ordered replacing older one (220s vs 88s as an example)
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