I don’t think that’s right. It takes into account mandatory retirements from now until next May. This bid is based on no one taking an early out, so anyone who does that is scheduled to retire after May 2021 would makes things better for potential furloughs.

I agree with you unless the early outs is a new wrinkle added in.

If so, adjustments would require another bid, so you still agree with me ;)

Where did he mention early outs? His AE memo built a buffer for expected retirements (mandatory + 10%.) Do you have access to another memo somewhere?

I think he’s conflating early mandatory retirements with the results of any ERP they offer. It’s easy to see them as separate but upon further internal debate, I think they’re one in the same if that makes sense.

Mathematically how are they the same? One is a known (approximately 660.) The other will be the result of an ERP -- which hasn't been announced yet.

If they make the ERP specifically targeted towards those 660 plus another buffer, I can see his terminology as being dual purposed.

IDK, makes sense in my head! [emoji57][emoji1787]

I don't think they'll be targeting people who will be retiring in the next 12 months. If they do, what's the point? Who knows?

Wrong. Stop spewing inaccurate data

Exactly this. Any ERP should be targeted towards those retiring after May2021. Pilots retiring before then really don’t have an incentive to go early unless an offer would be MORE than they would make by staying. I don’t see that happening.

Denny