C066 Update
#201
Not sure that’s a fair assessment.
If I was within 18 months of retiring, retro would be issue number one. So I’d vote no.
If I was 18 months to 5 years from retirement, my top two issues would be retro and pay. Probably vote no.
If I was under age 40ish, my number one would be QOL items. I’d be waiting to see TA language. If the shiny things are still shiny in the TA, vote yes.
And then there are the rest. And each individual will vote according to their individual situation, priorities, etc.
And yes I left out the retirement pillar. Only because I think it’s dead.
If I was within 18 months of retiring, retro would be issue number one. So I’d vote no.
If I was 18 months to 5 years from retirement, my top two issues would be retro and pay. Probably vote no.
If I was under age 40ish, my number one would be QOL items. I’d be waiting to see TA language. If the shiny things are still shiny in the TA, vote yes.
And then there are the rest. And each individual will vote according to their individual situation, priorities, etc.
And yes I left out the retirement pillar. Only because I think it’s dead.
STILL:
The 18 months to mandatory retirement demographic is <5% of the pilot group. Their vote isn't going to swing anything.
18 mo to 5 yr - About 12% of the group. Still probably not a collective swing vote category for retro and pay, even if they vote as a monolithic block (and they won't).
<40's? I'd lump them into "the rest" categories. With a career span that could be 25-40 years, they've plenty of time to punt on any issue that's individually important to them to future contracts and take gains now.
If it goes to MEMRAT, I doubt any blocks of voting groups based on retirement ages will emerge. That sort of data would be fascinating, however. Not sure if the union could anonymize the voting data post-vote and conduct polls of the "yes" and "no" voters.
Probably not, as the ballots are presumably kept secret.
#202
Sailing, I have often disagreed with you in the past. As I’ve been here longer I’ve realized you are pretty sage in your info.
#204
If the MEC were to get the TA Language on January 9th, then they could vote on it on January 15th. If they simultaneously, shortened the Membership ratification window in accordance with the policy manual to 45 days instead of the normal 60 days AND opened the voting window the very next day on January 16th, the vote would close on March 1. The March bid period begins on March 2. I would guess that is why they are targeting Jan 9.
#205
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2015
Position: UNA
Posts: 4,462
To me retro would present like back pay, which this appears to be. what we have is retro in every sense except one IMO…no 401K. That is it.
a concession is giving up something we currently have (like PB days). while a 4 year deal may not be ideal, I don’t really see how it is a concession.
#206
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2015
Posts: 314
3 months if this goes down as advertised with a TA by early January. I’m still curious what everyone thinks is the company motivation to complete language. I’m assuming it would be the same motivation that would get them back to bargaining in the event this eventual TA is not approved by either MEC or MEMRAT
#207
Annnnnnnnd, we REMAIN at 2019 rates until it is signed. At least 1/4 of the year will have gone by until such time.
Tick tock ALPA.... tick tock.
#208
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2008
Posts: 4,950
There is no doubt.
#209
Multiple reps are saying they are confident they can get the company to agree to 1/1/23 for the rates. I’ll believe when I see it but it sounds like there could be cause for cautious optimism on that front.
#210
Best to remember that the company, and it's negotiators, aren't all knowing gods.
"Ah ha!!! They agreed to an AIP and we'll save money for 3-4 months as those rubes discuss amongst themselves!".
It's a reasonable request. They'll probably honor it.
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