Lot of $$ / Buy vs. Rent
#71
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Joined: Nov 2017
Posts: 3,519
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Yup, I locked in 6.625% last year November.
And that creates another catch 22. Who's looking to ditch their 2-3% mortgages to sign up for 6-8% to buy a new home?
And all of this. I own a SFH now but previous ownership was a townhome. I don't know what was worse, the noisy neighbors upstairs or the HOA that would keep making up random stupid rules and enforce some really werid stuff. I had enough of living in apartments and townhomes, which I did pretty much all in my 20s and 30s. I'm 40 now and finally bought a SFH. As a SFH, I have no HOA (a hard requirement for me when looking to buy a home). I don't need some Karen-led organziation to tell me what I can or cannot do on my property.
And that creates another catch 22. Who's looking to ditch their 2-3% mortgages to sign up for 6-8% to buy a new home?
And all of this. I own a SFH now but previous ownership was a townhome. I don't know what was worse, the noisy neighbors upstairs or the HOA that would keep making up random stupid rules and enforce some really werid stuff. I had enough of living in apartments and townhomes, which I did pretty much all in my 20s and 30s. I'm 40 now and finally bought a SFH. As a SFH, I have no HOA (a hard requirement for me when looking to buy a home). I don't need some Karen-led organziation to tell me what I can or cannot do on my property.
No HOA. Can't see the nieghbors unless I walk on the deck, and lean over the side and then I can see Mike's house.. And he also brews beer, and rides motorcycles, and restores old British cars. We like Mike and his wife. At night I can look over at the next hill and see some lights from houses, but can't actually see any of them. I'm literally the last house before the end of the road.
#72
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 20,880
Likes: 194
Went from a 3% 400k mortgage to a 6.2% 900k mortgage (put 220k down). That was the hardest part to swallow.. But my insurance on a $1.1M house is 1/4 of what it was in VA (Flood and Hurricane driven rates). And my property tax is about the same. Granted the house in $20k a year in tax, but in VA I was paying $6k a year on a 1400sqft 3/2, $5000 a year on my new-ish pickup with no carpet and cloth seats, $3k on my wifes' Expedition, $1500 on my camper, $1200 on my 25 year old airport truck, $300 on a 40 year old motorcycle and so forth. I basically doubled my housing costs (including property tax) but went from a 1400sqft on .25 acre and a neighbor that called the cops on me weekly, to 6200+sqft 6/5 on 9 acres. (3 are the "yard" 6 are an attached conservation lot)
No HOA. Can't see the nieghbors unless I walk on the deck, and lean over the side and then I can see Mike's house.. And he also brews beer, and rides motorcycles, and restores old British cars. We like Mike and his wife. At night I can look over at the next hill and see some lights from houses, but can't actually see any of them. I'm literally the last house before the end of the road.
No HOA. Can't see the nieghbors unless I walk on the deck, and lean over the side and then I can see Mike's house.. And he also brews beer, and rides motorcycles, and restores old British cars. We like Mike and his wife. At night I can look over at the next hill and see some lights from houses, but can't actually see any of them. I'm literally the last house before the end of the road.
#73
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Joined: Nov 2017
Posts: 3,519
Likes: 686
Yeah. Honestly that kind of have and have not disparity might become a huge issue in America is it hasn’t already. Home ownership has always been the path to the American Dream and I feel that’s not good for societal stability if that’s unattainable for more and more people.
but eventually market forces dictate that people are eventually going to have to lower their asking price when selling a home, and current owners are just going to have to stomach not getting an absurd return on their house when they want to sell it?
Has anyone seen home prices decline the last couple years? I’m toying with the idea of moving north of NYC from where I live south of NYC to be closer to in-laws and it seems prices have at least stabilized and homes are staying on the market longer.
but eventually market forces dictate that people are eventually going to have to lower their asking price when selling a home, and current owners are just going to have to stomach not getting an absurd return on their house when they want to sell it?
Has anyone seen home prices decline the last couple years? I’m toying with the idea of moving north of NYC from where I live south of NYC to be closer to in-laws and it seems prices have at least stabilized and homes are staying on the market longer.
I basically had to go north of $900k to stop being in bidding wars with private equity cash buyers. That seems to be where they stopped. I still paid $50k above asking but got into my current house. Sellers refused to fix ANYTHING. And there were many things. Their agent actually paid to fix well treatment just to keep deal rolling.
I haven't seen it shift to a buyers market, but I haven't really looked once I was under contract and out of lawyer review on this house.
Now to the overall picture of how do people afford houses? My brothers kids, 28, 26, 23 all still live at home. One will always live at home, but the other two can't afford to move out with "normal HS Grad" jobs. Nevermind buy a house. Friends kids are college grads in traditionally well paying fields, such as Engineering and Nursing, and still are on the "rent for life" plan because NOTHING that's not a hovel or in a really bad hood they have a prayer of affording.
My older brother, an IT guy for Xerox, even with his $150-200k job, had the market run away from him in Seattle. Housing prices went up faster than he could save down payments. And he's as frugal as they come.
He was able to afford a house moving to BFE Michigan and taking 25% pay cut but able to go 100% remote.
#75
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Feb 2008
Posts: 20,880
Likes: 194
And let's say that they can sell the house for 600k 10 years later (a 40% increase), then you have to take into account real estate agent commissions and other associated costs with selling, let's conservatively say 6% (36k). So you get 564k from the sale. You pay off the roughly 300k remaining on the loan. Now you have 264k left. Which sounds good, but you paid 220k in interest so now you're looking at 44k "profit." But wait, you put 20% down (80k) so now you are actually 36k negative. And that 80k down payment invested making an 8% return would be 177k after ten years. So you're actually 133k down. And this isn't even including the cost of maintenance and repairs and all the other associated phantom costs that come with owning a home. So using an extremely conservative 1% of the purchase price per year on maintenance that's another 43k for mx over 10 years. So now we're down 176k (note: this doesn't even take into account the portion of your payment that went to principal. Just interest). Owning does beat renting over the long term usually, but it's not a home run like everyone seems to think it is (sometimes if you get lucky with timing it is). Your primary home really isn't an investment either, if you like a house and want to live in it, buy it. But just don't try to rationalize it by telling yourself it's an investment.
Also omitted was the fact you can refinance to capture a lower interest rate. I have yet to own a home I did not refi. 1 week ago I got a 5.9% quote from chase bank on a 30 year fixed. Rates are always moving. I suspect I can find 5.5% on a 15. I refinanced one house 7 times in 10 years. Had a broker with me on speed dial. Told him anytime you can lower my cost 1/4% on a no cost refi call me!
#76
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Joined: Nov 2017
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#77
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#79
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Joined: Jan 2022
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Also omitted was the fact you can refinance to capture a lower interest rate. I have yet to own a home I did not refi. 1 week ago I got a 5.9% quote from chase bank on a 30 year fixed. Rates are always moving. I suspect I can find 5.5% on a 15. I refinanced one house 7 times in 10 years. Had a broker with me on speed dial. Told him anytime you can lower my cost 1/4% on a no cost refi call me!
#80
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Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 675
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You left out a key part of the ownership cost matrix. What would be your cost to rent over that 10 year period? Unless of course you plan to live in your airport car. In most areas anything you might want to put your family in will be 3000 a month. That will of course likely go up yearly. Call it a 3500 dollar average over the 10 years. Thats 420,000 in rent. Changes your costs dramatically.
Also omitted was the fact you can refinance to capture a lower interest rate. I have yet to own a home I did not refi. 1 week ago I got a 5.9% quote from chase bank on a 30 year fixed. Rates are always moving. I suspect I can find 5.5% on a 15. I refinanced one house 7 times in 10 years. Had a broker with me on speed dial. Told him anytime you can lower my cost 1/4% on a no cost refi call me!
Also omitted was the fact you can refinance to capture a lower interest rate. I have yet to own a home I did not refi. 1 week ago I got a 5.9% quote from chase bank on a 30 year fixed. Rates are always moving. I suspect I can find 5.5% on a 15. I refinanced one house 7 times in 10 years. Had a broker with me on speed dial. Told him anytime you can lower my cost 1/4% on a no cost refi call me!
450k, 30yr mortgage at 7% you pay $65k to the principle and $300k to interest over the first 10 years.


