Why not poll all pilots?
#11
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Joined APC: May 2012
Posts: 1,418
Agree to a point. Online is voluntary and skews results. Phone is less so as its random - although people can decide not to answer. Also as people change their mind phone polling more readily keeps up with that. Look at the weekly and monthly presidential polling and see how it changes. Even with a survey online there would have to be constant phone polling to keep up.
#12
Agree to a point. Online is voluntary and skews results. Phone is less so as its random - although people can decide not to answer. Also as people change their mind phone polling more readily keeps up with that. Look at the weekly and monthly presidential polling and see how it changes. Even with a survey online there would have to be constant phone polling to keep up.
#13
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Joined APC: Sep 2014
Posts: 4,909
Agree to a point. Online is voluntary and skews results. Phone is less so as its random - although people can decide not to answer. Also as people change their mind phone polling more readily keeps up with that. Look at the weekly and monthly presidential polling and see how it changes. Even with a survey online there would have to be constant phone polling to keep up.
#14
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Joined APC: May 2012
Posts: 1,418
Or they could have a fluid TA vote. Certain sections would dynamically change until they reached the desired percentage of yes votes. Say 70%? 😊
#15
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Joined APC: Sep 2014
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If you can find the system that generates a 70% yes vote, I'm interested. I might aim a little higher around 75%, but what's a few percent between friends? Frankly, if I were CEO for a day and cared about long-term performance (those two traits don't necessarily go hand in hand), I'd want the same result - if not higher!
#16
Unless that selection bias is corrected, unfortunately the closest to statistically valid polling you'll get is via random selection. Even with the phone polling, there is some selection bias which has to be accounted for (since you have to answer the phone and many more in my generation don't bother to answer numbers they don't recognize).
Statistics are messy math...
#17
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Joined APC: Oct 2009
Posts: 3,108
The problem is the selective participation rates on a survey...even online. Usually 97% or so will vote on a contract, but giving the time to put in a detailed enough survey is something only around half will do (for varying reasons).
Unless that selection bias is corrected, unfortunately the closest to statistically valid polling you'll get is via random selection. Even with the phone polling, there is some selection bias which has to be accounted for (since you have to answer the phone and many more in my generation don't bother to answer numbers they don't recognize).
Statistics are messy math...
Unless that selection bias is corrected, unfortunately the closest to statistically valid polling you'll get is via random selection. Even with the phone polling, there is some selection bias which has to be accounted for (since you have to answer the phone and many more in my generation don't bother to answer numbers they don't recognize).
Statistics are messy math...
****ing away hundreds of thousands on Comstock is a huge waste. He will bend to the will of the person cutting the check.
Let's stop MEMRAT and poll a few pilots. Its more accurate.
Spare me your nonsense.
#18
Gerry.... you're normally off in some variance of la-la land. But come on, man... what??
#20
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Joined APC: Oct 2009
Posts: 3,108
For $300 a year we can poll all the Delta pilots online.
It builds unity and provides excellent data.
It allows us time to consider and change our answers.
Let's stop lighting money on fire.
My point is if you guys think random polling is better than polling everyone, use you premise on MEMRAT.
Stating random polling a few is better than online polling everyone is ALPA nonsense.
No point in discussing, ALPA will never change.
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