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Old 09-05-2016, 06:04 PM
  #11  
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Originally Posted by TED74 View Post
Agree. But phone polling isn't more efficient than online polling (nor as convenient). Plus, I think there's an intangible benefit of everyone feeling like they've had an opportunity to be heard. I think you'd get more buy-in with the final result.
Agree to a point. Online is voluntary and skews results. Phone is less so as its random - although people can decide not to answer. Also as people change their mind phone polling more readily keeps up with that. Look at the weekly and monthly presidential polling and see how it changes. Even with a survey online there would have to be constant phone polling to keep up.
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Old 09-05-2016, 06:15 PM
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Originally Posted by ERflyer View Post
Agree to a point. Online is voluntary and skews results. Phone is less so as its random - although people can decide not to answer. Also as people change their mind phone polling more readily keeps up with that. Look at the weekly and monthly presidential polling and see how it changes. Even with a survey online there would have to be constant phone polling to keep up.
Voting on a TA via MEMRAT is voluntary as well. Online polling can be a very powerful and accurate reflection of the group.
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Old 09-05-2016, 06:17 PM
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Originally Posted by ERflyer View Post
Agree to a point. Online is voluntary and skews results. Phone is less so as its random - although people can decide not to answer. Also as people change their mind phone polling more readily keeps up with that. Look at the weekly and monthly presidential polling and see how it changes. Even with a survey online there would have to be constant phone polling to keep up.
During the voting window for ratification, you could continually change your vote until the deadline. No reason online answers couldn't be fluid and allow pilots to modify answers as their opinions shift radically after reading APC
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Old 09-05-2016, 06:23 PM
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Originally Posted by TED74 View Post
During the voting window for ratification, you could continually change your vote until the deadline. No reason online answers couldn't be fluid and allow pilots to modify answers as their opinions shift radically after reading APC
Or they could have a fluid TA vote. Certain sections would dynamically change until they reached the desired percentage of yes votes. Say 70%? 😊
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Old 09-05-2016, 06:30 PM
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Originally Posted by ERflyer View Post
Or they could have a fluid TA vote. Certain sections would dynamically change until they reached the desired percentage of yes votes. Say 70%? 😊
If you can find the system that generates a 70% yes vote, I'm interested. I might aim a little higher around 75%, but what's a few percent between friends? Frankly, if I were CEO for a day and cared about long-term performance (those two traits don't necessarily go hand in hand), I'd want the same result - if not higher!
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Old 09-05-2016, 06:53 PM
  #16  
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Originally Posted by Schwanker View Post
Would be more efficient than phoning 100%, but giving 100% an online opportunity for a fraction of the cost is a No Brainer. If sampling is a better option, why don't we just do that instead of MEMRAT?
The problem is the selective participation rates on a survey...even online. Usually 97% or so will vote on a contract, but giving the time to put in a detailed enough survey is something only around half will do (for varying reasons).

Unless that selection bias is corrected, unfortunately the closest to statistically valid polling you'll get is via random selection. Even with the phone polling, there is some selection bias which has to be accounted for (since you have to answer the phone and many more in my generation don't bother to answer numbers they don't recognize).

Statistics are messy math...
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Old 09-05-2016, 07:50 PM
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Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp View Post
The problem is the selective participation rates on a survey...even online. Usually 97% or so will vote on a contract, but giving the time to put in a detailed enough survey is something only around half will do (for varying reasons).

Unless that selection bias is corrected, unfortunately the closest to statistically valid polling you'll get is via random selection. Even with the phone polling, there is some selection bias which has to be accounted for (since you have to answer the phone and many more in my generation don't bother to answer numbers they don't recognize).

Statistics are messy math...
Online polling of all Delta pilots promotes unity and buy in.

****ing away hundreds of thousands on Comstock is a huge waste. He will bend to the will of the person cutting the check.

Let's stop MEMRAT and poll a few pilots. Its more accurate.

Spare me your nonsense.
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Old 09-05-2016, 08:00 PM
  #18  
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Originally Posted by gzsg View Post
Online polling of all Delta pilots promotes unity and buy in.

****ing away hundreds of thousands on Comstock is a huge waste. He will bend to the will of the person cutting the check.

Let's stop MEMRAT and poll a few pilots. Its more accurate.

Spare me your nonsense.

Gerry.... you're normally off in some variance of la-la land. But come on, man... what??
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Old 09-06-2016, 02:30 AM
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Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp View Post
Gerry.... you're normally off in some variance of la-la land. But come on, man... what??
In statistics it's called three "standard deviations" away from the "mean".
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Old 09-06-2016, 04:48 AM
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Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp View Post
Gerry.... you're normally off in some variance of la-la land. But come on, man... what??
The reason ALPA is such a huge failure is they are stuck in the past.

For $300 a year we can poll all the Delta pilots online.

It builds unity and provides excellent data.

It allows us time to consider and change our answers.

Let's stop lighting money on fire.

My point is if you guys think random polling is better than polling everyone, use you premise on MEMRAT.

Stating random polling a few is better than online polling everyone is ALPA nonsense.

No point in discussing, ALPA will never change.
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