Narrowing the carriers down?
#51
:-)
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 7,339
I must be missing something. How do you know what the costs of those leases are?
Also, mostly unrelated, how did a bunch of pilots get so good at calculating CASM? I know almost enough to be dangerous and it seems to me there's a lot of complex variables involved to get more than a wag.
Also, mostly unrelated, how did a bunch of pilots get so good at calculating CASM? I know almost enough to be dangerous and it seems to me there's a lot of complex variables involved to get more than a wag.
#52
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2008
Posts: 888
Looking at Delta's 2017 Annual Filing with the SEC it looks like they've got $1 Billion in capital leases including Flight (Aircraft), and Ground Equipment. Included in that is about $100 Million per year for 2018 and 2019 and going down from there to about $24 million in 2022. They have 45 aircraft on capital lease including 15 717's.
There are an additional 151 aircraft on operating leases including 73 717's (I'm guessing these are the AirTran 717's). Operating lease costs for 2018 are $1.4 billion. How much of that is the 717's? What's a typical lease rate for that type of aircraft and therefore is a "good bargain" or "cheap"?
If you know the answers to these questions, you're wasting your talents in the cockpit, you should be making a lot more in management.
My point being, there's a lot of stuff that gets said here and among pilots that may have absolutely no basis in fact. I've heard the 717's were leased for cheap too, is that true? No idea.
With regard to CASM, I doubt if we're really capable of calculating a useful CASM for most of the aircraft we're discussing, so saying this aircraft is cheaper than that aircraft on this route is pure guessing. There's more that goes into it than someone with an extremely basic understanding of CASM (myself included) is going to be able to calculate.
#53
:-)
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 7,339
Well that didn't answer the question.
Looking at Delta's 2017 Annual Filing with the SEC it looks like they've got $1 Billion in capital leases including Flight (Aircraft), and Ground Equipment. Included in that is about $100 Million per year for 2018 and 2019 and going down from there to about $24 million in 2022. They have 45 aircraft on capital lease including 15 717's.
There are an additional 151 aircraft on operating leases including 73 717's (I'm guessing these are the AirTran 717's). Operating lease costs for 2018 are $1.4 billion. How much of that is the 717's? What's a typical lease rate for that type of aircraft and therefore is a "good bargain" or "cheap"?
If you know the answers to these questions, you're wasting your talents in the cockpit, you should be making a lot more in management.
My point being, there's a lot of stuff that gets said here and among pilots that may have absolutely no basis in fact. I've heard the 717's were leased for cheap too, is that true? No idea.
With regard to CASM, I doubt if we're really capable of calculating a useful CASM for most of the aircraft we're discussing, so saying this aircraft is cheaper than that aircraft on this route is pure guessing. There's more that goes into it than someone with an extremely basic understanding of CASM (myself included) is going to be able to calculate.
Looking at Delta's 2017 Annual Filing with the SEC it looks like they've got $1 Billion in capital leases including Flight (Aircraft), and Ground Equipment. Included in that is about $100 Million per year for 2018 and 2019 and going down from there to about $24 million in 2022. They have 45 aircraft on capital lease including 15 717's.
There are an additional 151 aircraft on operating leases including 73 717's (I'm guessing these are the AirTran 717's). Operating lease costs for 2018 are $1.4 billion. How much of that is the 717's? What's a typical lease rate for that type of aircraft and therefore is a "good bargain" or "cheap"?
If you know the answers to these questions, you're wasting your talents in the cockpit, you should be making a lot more in management.
My point being, there's a lot of stuff that gets said here and among pilots that may have absolutely no basis in fact. I've heard the 717's were leased for cheap too, is that true? No idea.
With regard to CASM, I doubt if we're really capable of calculating a useful CASM for most of the aircraft we're discussing, so saying this aircraft is cheaper than that aircraft on this route is pure guessing. There's more that goes into it than someone with an extremely basic understanding of CASM (myself included) is going to be able to calculate.
#54
Banned
Joined APC: Oct 2018
Position: Top
Posts: 45
#55
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2008
Posts: 888
Sigh, you won't find what you're looking for in the Delta filing. However, SWA spun off a separate company called the AirTran leasing company of Delaware. They are due $242 million in sublease payments for the remainder of the term for Delta. That's 76 aircraft leased at $242 million for more than 10 years. They have all different rates, but the average is probably around $25,000 - $30,000 a month, per aircraft. It's probably less however.
Regardless, let's say your numbers are accurate, is $25-30,000 a month a good deal for dry leasing that type aircraft? How would you determine that? (Honestly asking to learn)
#56
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2017
Posts: 2,767
It looks to me like Southwest has subleases of $336 million over the next 5 years. Did you find a separate filing for the subsidiary that breaks that down further?
Regardless, let's say your numbers are accurate, is $25-30,000 a month a good deal for dry leasing that type aircraft? How would you determine that? (Honestly asking to learn)
Regardless, let's say your numbers are accurate, is $25-30,000 a month a good deal for dry leasing that type aircraft? How would you determine that? (Honestly asking to learn)
SWA really didnt want to park them and deal with the return, and some money is better than no money.
#57
:-)
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 7,339
It looks to me like Southwest has subleases of $336 million over the next 5 years. Did you find a separate filing for the subsidiary that breaks that down further?
Regardless, let's say your numbers are accurate, is $25-30,000 a month a good deal for dry leasing that type aircraft? How would you determine that? (Honestly asking to learn)
Regardless, let's say your numbers are accurate, is $25-30,000 a month a good deal for dry leasing that type aircraft? How would you determine that? (Honestly asking to learn)
It appears Delta is selling the A220 as a better customer experience vs the competitor. However, customers don't usually select their airline based on the airplane. Current customers will likely enjoy the aircraft over the CRJ900, but the E175 is just as comfortable as the A220. I think it's a wash there.
The A220 was also purchased before the 2016 oil drilling revolution, which now will likely keep oil costs below $75 for the next several decades.
#58
Gets Weekends Off
Thread Starter
Joined APC: Apr 2017
Position: searching..
Posts: 253
This conversation has gotten way too detailed. Go have a meal or soda with the rest of the crew for crying out loud, get out of your rooms a little (of course that is speculating that there are more than one boom clickers in this conversation).
#59
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2008
Position: the right side
Posts: 1,373
Sorry that there are some guys here who pay attention to the business side of aviation. God forbid people do something other than fly airplanes.
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