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-   -   envoy mec about to implode (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/envoy-airlines/87709-envoy-mec-about-implode.html)

RJ Pilot 04-22-2015 02:00 PM

envoy mec about to implode
 
Or so I hear......


Cujo?


Goodluck!

PilotCrusader 04-22-2015 02:19 PM

Getting pretty nasty over there on the lounge. Reps calling each other out in public. Resident trolls rubbing salt in the wound(Which one are you RJ?).

Basic premise is that the NY and ORD reps, and the MEC officers, want to recall everyone on the negotiating committee. The DFW reps don't want this. The fact that the CA reps wife and the FO rep himself are on the committee probably has nothing to do with it(sarcasm). The NY rep appears to be spearheading all this. Everyone thinks he has an alternative motivation as well, seeing as his base is being closed. The DFW reps are now calling for a DFR lawsuit because the rest of the reps had a phone call without them. They also say that the MEC chairman is hiding certain truths from the pilot groups about what the company wanted from us, and that he also negotiated in private with the company.

RJ Pilot 04-22-2015 02:26 PM

Pathetic what those junior pukes have done with you guys.

Goodluck!

tom11011 04-22-2015 05:12 PM


Originally Posted by PilotCrusader (Post 1866805)
Basic premise is that the NY and ORD reps, and the MEC officers, want to recall everyone on the negotiating committee.

What exactly are you guys negotiating?

boiler07 04-22-2015 07:53 PM


Originally Posted by tom11011 (Post 1866919)
What exactly are you guys negotiating?

Slurpee machines in the crew rooms

Harpyr 04-22-2015 07:55 PM

It's very sad to see over there.

PilotCrusader 04-22-2015 09:11 PM


Originally Posted by tom11011 (Post 1866919)
What exactly are you guys negotiating?

The company is still trying to extract more concessions from us.

TrinityDawn 04-22-2015 10:11 PM


Originally Posted by tom11011 (Post 1866919)
What exactly are you guys negotiating?

Well for one, the reserve section of our contract hasn't been updated to jive with Part 117. We aren't required to proffer or confirm for next day reserve assignments, an it's causing scheduling havoc with long call because we have hardly any pilots on early RAP. Of course, if the company used reserves the way they are SUPPOSED to be used, this wouldn't be an issue, but I digress (half of the NYC base pilots are on reserve for example.) The company wants to fix this, but isn't willing to give any real QOL improvements in exchange for what they are asking, in reality what they want would be concessions for us. Instead, they are threatening to violate the CBA and impose RAP 1 or RAP 2 lines in the bid packets every month among other things.

Also, they know there is going to be a huge cost in the displacement bid with the closing of the NYC base. They want to avoid the training costs, and want to subvert our contract and seniority by pay protecting captains to be displaced and fly as F/O's, and all sorts of BS like that to escape the requirements of our current contract that they forced us into not long ago. They could simply flow more pilots to AA since they've told the MEC we are going to be a 1,200 pilot airline (we have about 2,000 pilots now) but that would just make too much sense since it's a win-win.

boiler07 04-23-2015 11:54 PM


Originally Posted by TrinityDawn (Post 1867050)
Well for one, the reserve section of our contract hasn't been updated to jive with Part 117. We aren't required to proffer or confirm for next day reserve assignments, an it's causing scheduling havoc with long call because we have hardly any pilots on early RAP. Of course, if the company used reserves the way they are SUPPOSED to be used, this wouldn't be an issue, but I digress (half of the NYC base pilots are on reserve for example.) The company wants to fix this, but isn't willing to give any real QOL improvements in exchange for what they are asking, in reality what they want would be concessions for us. Instead, they are threatening to violate the CBA and impose RAP 1 or RAP 2 lines in the bid packets every month among other things.

Also, they know there is going to be a huge cost in the displacement bid with the closing of the NYC base. They want to avoid the training costs, and want to subvert our contract and seniority by pay protecting captains to be displaced and fly as F/O's, and all sorts of BS like that to escape the requirements of our current contract that they forced us into not long ago. They could simply flow more pilots to AA since they've told the MEC we are going to be a 1,200 pilot airline (we have about 2,000 pilots now) but that would just make too much sense since it's a win-win.

You forgot the gag order on LEC comm emails to the pilot group that pointed out contract violations.

Company wanted it and didn't get it.

SayAlt 04-24-2015 03:19 AM


Originally Posted by PilotCrusader (Post 1867038)
The company is still trying to extract more concessions from us.


They're gonna get 'em, too.

Look @ how successfully mgmt has divided the pilot groups.

It's like shooting fish in a barrel. Heck, even easier than that.

penaltybox 04-24-2015 05:20 AM

Whats being negotiated?

PublicPhone2 04-24-2015 05:28 AM

Definitely imploding.............Bailed last month, should have left last year.

458FS 04-29-2015 10:45 AM


Originally Posted by PublicPhone2 (Post 1867736)
Definitely imploding.............Bailed last month, should have left last year.

Hire date?

Not a bad gig, you will soon realize.

Reservist 04-29-2015 10:50 AM


Originally Posted by 458FS (Post 1870744)
Hire date?

Not a bad gig, you will soon realize.

Can't make sense of this.

What is not a bad gig?

PilotLife4me 04-29-2015 11:26 AM

Going from 2100 pilots to the stated 1400ish, is a great gig!

Skyvector 04-29-2015 03:56 PM


Originally Posted by PilotLife4me (Post 1870790)
Going from 2100 pilots to the stated 1400ish, is a great gig!

It's shrinking through natural attrition. Not furloughs or other negative things. Yes, it is a great gig. You get in ahead of the wave and you'll be senior to many people down the road.

Once those staffing numbers are hit a new hire at Envoy will be at AA in 5 years with our flow-no interview.

PilotLife4me 04-29-2015 04:46 PM


Originally Posted by Skyvector (Post 1870974)
It's shrinking through natural attrition. Not furloughs or other negative things. Yes, it is a great gig. You get in ahead of the wave and you'll be senior to many people down the road.

Once those staffing numbers are hit a new hire at Envoy will be at AA in 5 years with our flow-no interview.

I think that's what they were telling the guys that are just flowing when they got hired on. I know times are different, but depending on the flow can bite you. IMHO
I'm two years in and still on reserve, believe me I want things to change quick!

Harpyr 04-29-2015 06:42 PM


Originally Posted by Skyvector (Post 1870974)
It's shrinking through natural attrition. Not furloughs or other negative things.

I respectfully disagree. Base closures are a negative thing causing pilots to leave to avoid cross-country commutes. There's a lot of drama on the local ALPA level that isn't exactly encouraging people to stay. A shrinking fleet means minimal upward movement and possibly displacements from captain, driving people away. I know there are no furloughs or downgrades right now, but I'd argue there are many other negative things going on there that are causing unnatural attrition, not the least of which is the toxic relationship with AAG.

DENpilot 04-29-2015 09:02 PM


Originally Posted by Skyvector (Post 1870974)
It's shrinking through natural attrition. Not furloughs or other negative things. Yes, it is a great gig. You get in ahead of the wave and you'll be senior to many people down the road.

Once those staffing numbers are hit a new hire at Envoy will be at AA in 5 years with our flow-no interview.

Oh, honey...

buddies8 04-30-2015 03:47 AM


Originally Posted by Skyvector (Post 1870974)
It's shrinking through natural attrition. Not furloughs or other negative things. Yes, it is a great gig. You get in ahead of the wave and you'll be senior to many people down the road.

Once those staffing numbers are hit a new hire at Envoy will be at AA in 5 years with our flow-no interview.

Your repeating what Isom said in the last aag town hall meeting, which appears to happen every three days. Don't these people have an airline to screw over, what's with all the town hall meetings.

WaterRooster 04-30-2015 05:30 AM

I have a good friend at Envoy right now that is telling me come end of summer this might be a place to be at. Apparently the flow is a real thing and new planes are coming. He is 2nd year on reserve but is picking up a ton of 200% so it works because he is based at home. It's weird to hear that from a few people there that it's ok, yet I come here and it's all doom and gloom and don't say Envoy 3 times in the mirror or else it will get you! I imagine it's somewhere in the middle. Everything sucks in the regionals I'm sure I'll find that out where ever I go. Granted, I've been shot at, Blown up, and had to burn drums of my own **** with JP8 mixed sooooo I think it won't be that bad.

sublime259 04-30-2015 05:46 AM


Originally Posted by WaterRooster (Post 1871271)
I have a good friend at Envoy right now that is telling me come end of summer this might be a place to be at. Apparently the flow is a real thing and new planes are coming. He is 2nd year on reserve but is picking up a ton of 200% so it works because he is based at home. It's weird to hear that from a few people there that it's ok, yet I come here and it's all doom and gloom and don't say Envoy 3 times in the mirror or else it will get you! I imagine it's somewhere in the middle. Everything sucks in the regionals I'm sure I'll find that out where ever I go. Granted, I've been shot at, Blown up, and had to burn drums of my own **** with JP8 mixed sooooo I think it won't be that bad.

It is what you make of it. If you live in base, life isn't so bad. Next month I will credit just shy of 120 hours with 13 days off due to 3-day trips and OT. Living in base makes all the difference. That won't be the case for me come fall, so I'm making as much as I can now and then pretty much coasting until the flow comes. So yes, the flow is real.

RJ Pilot 04-30-2015 06:54 AM

I wouldn't bet on the flow if you are outside the 824. Even the remainder of the 824 might be a gamble...

anyways,

Goodluck!

WaterRooster 04-30-2015 06:59 AM


Originally Posted by RJ Pilot (Post 1871324)
I wouldn't bet on the flow if you are outside the 824. Even the remainder of the 824 might be a gamble...

anyways,

Goodluck!

Why? As a complete outsider to how this works, could you explain why its bad and why it wouldn't happen for say a new guy getting on this summer?

snippercr 04-30-2015 07:39 AM


Originally Posted by WaterRooster (Post 1871332)
Why? As a complete outsider to how this works, could you explain why its bad and why it wouldn't happen for say a new guy getting on this summer?

Outsider? He lurks on EL and "still has friends" here.

Where you off to this week in that might GV, RJ Pilot?

snippercr 04-30-2015 07:51 AM


Originally Posted by WaterRooster (Post 1871380)
Do I work in the Regionals? No. That would make me an "outsider" to the workings of the regional airline industry. Am I building time as a CFI and probably have ex instructors that I talk to in the airlines? Yes, its called networking. Apparently you need that in this industry. Lurking? I would call it trying to get information that you seemed to provide none of. Care you answer my original question or just troll?

I wasnt talking about you.

WaterRooster 04-30-2015 07:59 AM


Originally Posted by snippercr (Post 1871381)
I wasnt talking about you.

I was referring to me as an outsider. Sorry for the confusion.

sublime259 04-30-2015 08:00 AM


Originally Posted by WaterRooster (Post 1871380)
Do I work in the Regionals? No. That would make me an "outsider" to the workings of the regional airline industry. Am I building time as a CFI and probably have ex instructors that I talk to in the airlines? Yes, its called networking. Apparently you need that in this industry. Lurking? I would call it trying to get information that you seemed to provide none of. Care you answer my original question or just troll?

Relax Francis. He's talking about RJ, the resident troll who is apparently globetrotting in a GV now. My perspective is mine and mine alone. Like I said, a lot of it depends on if you live in base.

TrinityDawn 04-30-2015 08:07 AM


Originally Posted by WaterRooster (Post 1871332)
Why? As a complete outsider to how this works, could you explain why its bad and why it wouldn't happen for say a new guy getting on this summer?

The problem with the flow-through is that it's been a pipe dream for far too long. First it was poorly negotiated, and after 9/11 we had lots of furloughed AA guys come to Eagle as out-of-seniority captain "flowbacks." We spent 10 years in arbitration to try and get the company to comply with the flow through, and as a result of the Nicolau TWA decision got 824 flowthrough slots in addition to the guys that already had AA numbers. We have guys that have waited over a decade that are just now flowing. The company (AMR and now AAG) has constantly *****ed about our payroll costs due to seniority, but yet they have resisted flowing more of our senior guys at every step along the way. A couple years ago the company yet again violated our CBA and took our airplanes off the Eagle certificate, and as result of negotiation we got a "protected pilot" agreement that gave flow to everyone on property as of Oct of '11. Of course, now they are giving away our airplanes left and right. Basically the moral of the story is that we've been jerked around so long by the promise of flowing to AA that it's almost a bad joke to us. I've been at Eagle/Envoy nine years, and I'm STILL almost three years away from flowing....assuming the hiring at AA doesn't stop for whatever reason. It looks great to new hires in company propaganda, but the unfortunate reality of broken promises is far more soul-crushing.

The reason we are shrinking is because AAG is giving away our airplanes. They are attempting to make life so miserable here that we shrink to a size they can more easily whipsaw us, and our "NO" votes never again endanger their operation. Whatever you do, don't go into this thinking that everything will be sunshine and lollypops. You'll be on reserve a long time, at a company that won't even in good faith negotiate with us to make our reserve rules compliant with 117. YMMV.

RJ Pilot 04-30-2015 08:12 AM


Originally Posted by WaterRooster (Post 1871332)
Why? As a complete outsider to how this works, could you explain why its bad and why it wouldn't happen for say a new guy getting on this summer?

easy. When they combine the sen list and PBS, there will be less pilots required and there goes your flow.

Hey snappy, did you get that shiny 175 upgrade Or did the displacements pushed you farther down?

Goodluck!

RJ Pilot 04-30-2015 08:18 AM


Originally Posted by TrinityDawn (Post 1871395)
The problem with the flow-through is that it's been a pipe dream for far too long. First it was poorly negotiated, and after 9/11 we had lots of furloughed AA guys come to Eagle as out-of-seniority captain "flowbacks." We spent 10 years in arbitration to try and get the company to comply with the flow through, and as a result of the Nicolau TWA decision got 824 flowthrough slots in addition to the guys that already had AA numbers. We have guys that have waited over a decade that are just now flowing. The company (AMR and now AAG) has constantly *****ed about our payroll costs due to seniority, but yet they have resisted flowing more of our senior guys at every step along the way. A couple years ago the company yet again violated our CBA and took our airplanes off the Eagle certificate, and as result of negotiation we got a "protected pilot" agreement that gave flow to everyone on property as of Oct of '11. Of course, now they are giving away our airplanes left and right. Basically the moral of the story is that we've been jerked around so long by the promise of flowing to AA that it's almost a bad joke to us. I've been at Eagle/Envoy nine years, and I'm STILL almost three years away from flowing....assuming the hiring at AA doesn't stop for whatever reason. It looks great to new hires in company propaganda, but the unfortunate reality of broken promises is far more soul-crushing.

The reason we are shrinking is because AAG is giving away our airplanes. They are attempting to make life so miserable here that we shrink to a size they can more easily whipsaw us, and our "NO" votes never again endanger their operation. Whatever you do, don't go into this thinking that everything will be sunshine and lollypops. You'll be on reserve a long time, at a company that won't even in good faith negotiate with us to make our reserve rules compliant with 117. YMMV.

Bill, Val, Kelly, Gardner left y'all with a turd sandwich.

Goodluck!

Cujo665 04-30-2015 08:37 AM


Originally Posted by TrinityDawn (Post 1871395)
The problem with the flow-through is that it's been a pipe dream for far too long. First it was poorly negotiated, and after 9/11 we had lots of furloughed AA guys come to Eagle as out-of-seniority captain "flowbacks." We spent 10 years in arbitration to try and get the company to comply with the flow through, and as a result of the Nicolau TWA decision got 824 flowthrough slots in addition to the guys that already had AA numbers. We have guys that have waited over a decade that are just now flowing. The company (AMR and now AAG) has constantly *****ed about our payroll costs due to seniority, but yet they have resisted flowing more of our senior guys at every step along the way. A couple years ago the company yet again violated our CBA and took our airplanes off the Eagle certificate, and as result of negotiation we got a "protected pilot" agreement that gave flow to everyone on property as of Oct of '11. Of course, now they are giving away our airplanes left and right. Basically the moral of the story is that we've been jerked around so long by the promise of flowing to AA that it's almost a bad joke to us. I've been at Eagle/Envoy nine years, and I'm STILL almost three years away from flowing....assuming the hiring at AA doesn't stop for whatever reason. It looks great to new hires in company propaganda, but the unfortunate reality of broken promises is far more soul-crushing.

The reason we are shrinking is because AAG is giving away our airplanes. They are attempting to make life so miserable here that we shrink to a size they can more easily whipsaw us, and our "NO" votes never again endanger their operation. Whatever you do, don't go into this thinking that everything will be sunshine and lollypops. You'll be on reserve a long time, at a company that won't even in good faith negotiate with us to make our reserve rules compliant with 117. YMMV.

The flow didn't start for non numbered 824's until December 2013. So, you're saying you're projected to flow in under 5 years from when the flow started, correct?

You tell me how flowing 300 a year to AA from a smaller envoy with 1500 total, and 1200 active, with 300 that won't flow doesn't equal a flow of street hire to AA in under 5 years? With an upgrade in there in the middle to boot. Like it or not, their plan will probably work exactly as they say it will. Their real problem is getting through the next 15-18 months while we are still shrinking.

Ar Pilot 04-30-2015 08:49 AM


Originally Posted by Cujo665 (Post 1871415)
The flow didn't start for non numbered 824's until December 2013. So, you're saying you're projected to flow in under 5 years from when the flow started, correct?

You tell me how flowing 300 a year to AA from a smaller envoy with 1500 total, and 1200 active, with 300 that won't flow doesn't equal a flow of street hire to AA in under 5 years? With an upgrade in there in the middle to boot. Like it or not, their plan will probably work exactly as they say it will. Their real problem is getting through the next 15-18 months while we are still shrinking.

If only everyone could see ^this guy's^ posts before the first TA about how AA can't staff anything, F the company, no more concessions, etc.. Then after he realized guys that get paid astronomically more than him to run a business and negotiate outsmarted him, he finally falls in line. If only he would have realized it sooner.

Skyvector 04-30-2015 09:06 AM


Originally Posted by Ar Pilot (Post 1871420)
If only everyone could see ^this guy's^ posts before the first TA about how AA can't staff anything, F the company, no more concessions, etc.. Then after he realized guys that get paid astronomically more than him to run a business and negotiate outsmarted him, he finally falls in line. If only he would have realized it sooner.

The past is the past and there is nothing we can do to change it now.

The important thing is that Envoy is quickly becoming the place to be. Smart people would do well to get ahead of the curve. Unfortunately too many people act like sheep and simply scatter to whichever Regional is CURRENTLY the flavor of the month. That's being behind the curve.

Envoy will have a 5 year street hire to AA flow in 18 months. Anybody hired before 18 months from now will flow sooner with an upgrade to Captain at Envoy to boot.

Kicking out be bad apples from our negotiating committee was a huge first step. They were toxic and unfortunately the NC chair is sill there..Herb Mark.

But AA's plan is working and people can come to Envoy and flow to mainline without ever needing to interview again in their lives. Pilots at other Regionals will have to throw money at job fairs, interview prep companies, etc...

Cujo665 04-30-2015 09:10 AM


Originally Posted by Ar Pilot (Post 1871420)
If only everyone could see ^this guy's^ posts before the first TA about how AA can't staff anything, F the company, no more concessions, etc.. Then after he realized guys that get paid astronomically more than him to run a business and negotiate outsmarted him, he finally falls in line. If only he would have realized it sooner.

PSA is on the verge of doing street captains
TSA had to offer CQFO to get their flying covered.
The well is drying up in case you haven't noticed.

emb145 04-30-2015 09:10 AM


Originally Posted by Cujo665 (Post 1871415)
The flow didn't start for non numbered 824's until December 2013. So, you're saying you're projected to flow in under 5 years from when the flow started, correct?

You tell me how flowing 300 a year to AA from a smaller envoy with 1500 total, and 1200 active, with 300 that won't flow doesn't equal a flow of street hire to AA in under 5 years? With an upgrade in there in the middle to boot. Like it or not, their plan will probably work exactly as they say it will. Their real problem is getting through the next 15-18 months while we are still shrinking.

Why it won't work as advertised starts with the ownership of Envoy, AAG. Not much different than the previous parent, AMR, perhaps even more ruthless.

Fact. Guys flowing now were hired in 1999. 16 years to get through. Recognizing the fact that 9/11 and the two recessions put the brakes on some of those guys moving, AMR still metered the flow in the past when the staffing model showed the pilot corps to be above what they needed. Today, the 20 per month is contractual, supposed to go to 30 in September right? Do you trust AAG not to meter or even stop the flow when they discover they need more guys?

Consider the discussions going on in the PSA thread. Apparently they are not well positioned for the airplanes they have now. Short Captains, they are having trouble getting the upgrades they need and are faced with many FO's without the required 121 mins to accept an upgrade. They have yet to take delivery of a single Envoy airframe. Maybe they will get their problems worked out but it will be interesting to watch.

AAG seems to be shooting itself in the foot in seemingly encouraging 700 guys to leave to get to the magic 1500. While many of these will be flow throughs, many more will be guys on the bottom of the list. With the well pretty much dry and with Envoy running 2 classes per month of no more than three to five guys, it is likely another disaster scenario. Sure, PSA is still getting large class numbers, but don't forget that many of these are ship jumpers from Envoy, Expressjet and Republic.

The regional tsunami as described on here by another poster has now sucked the tide far out to sea as it builds its massive momentum. Regional execs are still partying on the beach trying their best to rub elbows with their legacy counterparts. Party on guys, there will be no sympathy from me as the tsunami washes over you on the beach in the next year to two.

With these possible disaster scenarios mentioned above brewing, I can see AAG fully stopping the flow at some point. Hey, it's an emergency right? We've got 108 airplanes (or whatever the final number is at Envoy) to staff and "we ain't got nobody to fly em."

I myself was fortunate enough to be able to get hired elsewhere (a move up, not another regional) and move on from Envoy. It's not easy and I recognize that many others out there are trying just as hard and have yet to get the call. But it's a proven fact that at least 30 to 35 are moving on each month from that outfit in one fashion or another.

The flow is a nice backup plan I suppose, but I sure wasn't counting on it and did everything I could to leave the organization.

Hopefully you are right and the flow works as advertised, I just wouldn't count on it.

Cujo665 04-30-2015 09:20 AM


Originally Posted by emb145 (Post 1871439)
Why it won't work as advertised starts with the ownership of Envoy, AAG. Not much different than the previous parent, AMR, perhaps even more ruthless.

Fact. Guys flowing now were hired in 1999. 16 years to get through. Recognizing the fact that 9/11 and the two recessions put the brakes on some of those guys moving, AMR still metered the flow in the past when the staffing model showed the pilot corps to be above what they needed. Today, the 20 per month is contractual, supposed to go to 30 in September right? Do you trust AAG not to meter or even stop the flow when they discover they need more guys?

Consider the discussions going on in the PSA thread. Apparently they are not well positioned for the airplanes they have now. Short Captains, they are having trouble getting the upgrades they need and are faced with many FO's without the required 121 mins to accept an upgrade. They have yet to take delivery of a single Envoy airframe. Maybe they will get their problems worked out but it will be interesting to watch.

AAG seems to be shooting itself in the foot in seemingly encouraging 700 guys to leave to get to the magic 1500. While many of these will be flow throughs, many more will be guys on the bottom of the list. With the well pretty much dry and with Envoy running 2 classes per month of no more than three to five guys, it is likely another disaster scenario. Sure, PSA is still getting large class numbers, but don't forget that many of these are ship jumpers from Envoy, Expressjet and Republic.

The regional tsunami as described on here by another poster is now sucked the tide far out to sea as it builds its massive momentum. Regional execs are still partying on the beach trying their best to rub elbows with their legacy counterparts. Party on guys, there will be no sympathy from me as the tsunami washes over you on the beach in the next year to two.

With these possible disaster scenarios mentioned above brewing, I can see AAG fully stopping the flow at some point. Hey, it's an emergency right? We've got 108 airplanes (or whatever the final number is at Envoy) to staff and "we ain't got nobody to fly em."

I myself was fortunate enough to be able to get hired elsewhere (a move up, not another regional) and move on from Envoy. It's not easy and I recognize that many others out there are trying just as hard and have yet to get the call. But it's a proven fact that at least 30 to 35 are moving on each month from that outfit in one fashion or another.

The flow is a nice backup plan I suppose, but I sure wasn't counting on it and did everything I could to leave the organization.

Hopefully you are right and the flow works as advertised, I just wouldn't count on it.

There was no hiring after 9-11. This is now all retirement driven. Kinda a whole different landscape. You can have a sour attitude about the past, but even another 9-11 doesn't stop the retirements.
Since the flow restarted it had worked exactly as designed.
Always present both sides and let the pilots decide themselves.

snippercr 04-30-2015 09:45 AM


Originally Posted by Cujo665 (Post 1871438)
PSA is on the verge of doing street captains
TSA had to offer CQFO to get their flying covered.
The well is drying up in case you haven't noticed.

PSA street hiring captains is only going to hurt our cause more. I know there are a lot of people here who are avoid PSA on principle but if they start hiring street captains, that is only going to speed up the churn of our guys there. That then gives AAG even cheaper feed. Have 18 year CAs flying 50 seaters or 1st year CAs flying 76 seaters? Also, we still have yet to hear the details of the post-SOC flow through that PSA will get.

In order to go from 2200 (fact, recently seniority list) total pilots to 1500 total pilots, we have to lose 700. 20/month to flow and lets assume a modest 20 to elsewhere is 40/month. The numbers going elsewhere may be higher but we are actually hiring people and that number is, bizarrely, going up from 2-3 people/class to 6-7/class. Again, what is the retention of those guys? Losing 40/month means we will get to 1500 pilots in about 18 months.

However, this assumes the flow continues to work, we do not lose anymore aircraft (20 more to PDT anyone?), AA keeps hiring (SLI? PBS? D/I integration?), and that once we reach 1500 pilots, we can suddenly start hiring to have attrition = hiring. In order to market "5 years new hire to AA" you have to actually have it happen. It's like saying "Upgrade time at ZYX airline is __ years" - that is just what the most junior guy took.

As you said, the next 18 months are going to be painful. The pain stopping after 18 months requires a lot of uncertain things to happen that this company just does not have a good track record of following. IF, however, we do not lose any more airplanes, the flow has 18 months of working solid so they can say "Hey look, past 2 years each month we have consistently flown 20-30 guys over to AA", and maybe we can not only NOT lose anymore aircraft but gain some (175 options, some of our 145s back), then yes we can attract people, stay "right sized" and all get out of this disease. Slurpee machines wouldnt hurt either.

Cujo665 04-30-2015 09:52 AM


Originally Posted by snippercr (Post 1871460)
PSA street hiring captains is only going to hurt our cause more. I know there are a lot of people here who are avoid PSA on principle but if they start hiring street captains, that is only going to speed up the churn of our guys there. That then gives AAG even cheaper feed. Have 18 year CAs flying 50 seaters or 1st year CAs flying 76 seaters? Also, we still have yet to hear the details of the post-SOC flow through that PSA will get.

In order to go from 2200 (fact, recently seniority list) total pilots to 1500 total pilots, we have to lose 700. 20/month to flow and lets assume a modest 20 to elsewhere is 40/month. The numbers going elsewhere may be higher but we are actually hiring people and that number is, bizarrely, going up from 2-3 people/class to 6-7/class. Again, what is the retention of those guys? Losing 40/month means we will get to 1500 pilots in about 18 months.

However, this assumes the flow continues to work, we do not lose anymore aircraft (20 more to PDT anyone?), AA keeps hiring (SLI? PBS? D/I integration?), and that once we reach 1500 pilots, we can suddenly start hiring to have attrition = hiring. In order to market "5 years new hire to AA" you have to actually have it happen. It's like saying "Upgrade time at ZYX airline is __ years" - that is just what the most junior guy took.

As you said, the next 18 months are going to be painful. The pain stopping after 18 months requires a lot of uncertain things to happen that this company just does not have a good track record of following. IF, however, we do not lose any more airplanes, the flow has 18 months of working solid so they can say "Hey look, past 2 years each month we have consistently flown 20-30 guys over to AA", and maybe we can not only NOT lose anymore aircraft but gain some (175 options, some of our 145s back), then yes we can attract people, stay "right sized" and all get out of this disease. Slurpee machines wouldnt hurt either.

They already have that track record of meeting or beating the required flow.
Currently they are taking flows only and have dumped street hires into the pool awaiting classes.
Last year we sent over 50% and this year with the moratorium on street hires we'll send a higher percentage.

since the flow restarted with the first 35 numbered guys followed by the 244 and then the 824 it has been working exactly as designed, has it not?

I can gripe about a lot of things they do; this isn't one of them.

TrinityDawn 05-01-2015 09:12 PM


Originally Posted by Cujo665 (Post 1871415)
You tell me how flowing 300 a year to AA from a smaller envoy with 1500 total, and 1200 active, with 300 that won't flow doesn't equal a flow of street hire to AA in under 5 years? With an upgrade in there in the middle to boot. Like it or not, their plan will probably work exactly as they say it will. Their real problem is getting through the next 15-18 months while we are still shrinking.

Go back and read what I wrote. I did not say it wasn't possible, and I'm certainly not going to carry RJ's water for him. My point was that making a career decision on a flow-through needs to be based on all the information, which includes a historical background of the good, bad, and the ugly. The guy asked the question, he deserves that much. The promise of flow-through has been the carrot dangling from the stick used to whip us. Believing that flowing to AA by such a program is a sure thing would be foolish. Even with all the retirements, we could have another financial collapse, or more likely AAG could decide that in order to preserve their regional feed they must stop the flow, as snippercr said. What are we going to do, GRIEVE IT? Yea, great, more years of our life lost waiting for an arbitrator to eventually screw us again.

If the guy still comes to Envoy and flows it 5 years, good for him. But he needs to understand that may not happen too.


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