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Old 01-11-2018, 12:04 PM
  #11  
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Originally Posted by ColdWhiskey View Post
Can'tStayAway has got it right. They have been promising explosive growth since 2015. It just hasn't happened yet. It keeps getting pushed back. Will it happen in 2019? Maybe, maybe not.

Yes, there are new deliveries. But an equal number of lease returns have been leaving. Each time that happens, the company pockets approximately $20 million (the difference between what the company buys the aircraft for and what it sells it to a leasing company for). It then leases the new aircraft with rates that have to reflect the higher price.

Franke and Biffle are promising big growth and fast upgrades at the same time they are dragging out a new contract absolutely as long as they can. Somehow the growth just keeps getting pushed back, and the contract never happens.

Come with your eyes wide open.
Even better, don’t come at all.
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Old 01-11-2018, 12:48 PM
  #12  
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Originally Posted by ColdWhiskey View Post
Can'tStayAway has got it right. They have been promising explosive growth since 2015. It just hasn't happened yet. It keeps getting pushed back. Will it happen in 2019? Maybe, maybe not.

Yes, there are new deliveries. But an equal number of lease returns have been leaving. Each time that happens, the company pockets approximately $20 million (the difference between what the company buys the aircraft for and what it sells it to a leasing company for). It then leases the new aircraft with rates that have to reflect the higher price.

Franke and Biffle are promising big growth and fast upgrades at the same time they are dragging out a new contract absolutely as long as they can. Somehow the growth just keeps getting pushed back, and the contract never happens.

Come with your eyes wide open.
I've posted the actual delivery and lease return schedule on this site. I've explained how to find it, so you can see the numbers for your self. It's really not that difficult, just basic addition and subtraction.

The growth that the company has been talking about has happened. The airline grows in more ways than fleet numbers. When you replace a 319 with a 150 seats with a 321 with 230 seats, that's significant growth. When you operate 4 additional block hours per day per airplane, that's significant. Just not from your perspective.

The fleet only grows a small amount in 2018, about 6, due to a significant number of lease returns. In 2019 the lease returns go way down and the deliveries stay strong. 2019 is a big growth year. I'll go get the numbers again if I have to.
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Old 01-11-2018, 01:37 PM
  #13  
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Block Hours Flown:

2013: 195,000
2014: 223,000
2015: 259,000
2016: 279,000
Consider that these numbers are being flown with larger airplanes.

Aircraft Delivery Schedule

2017: 17
2018: 16
2019: 18
2020: 18
2021: 13
134 more airplanes to follow, starting in 2021.

Aircraft lease returns:
2018: 13
2019: 2
2020: 3
2021: 1
2022: 4
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Old 01-11-2018, 02:27 PM
  #14  
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Originally Posted by Aero1900 View Post
Block Hours Flown:

2013: 195,000
2014: 223,000
2015: 259,000
2016: 279,000
Consider that these numbers are being flown with larger airplanes.

Aircraft Delivery Schedule

2017: 17
2018: 16
2019: 18
2020: 18
2021: 13
134 more airplanes to follow, starting in 2021.

Aircraft lease returns:
2018: 13
2019: 2
2020: 3
2021: 1
2022: 4
Wow....that’s GREAT! How do you and the rest of the folks in the Chief Pilots office plan to hire enough to staff that growth?
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Old 01-11-2018, 03:17 PM
  #15  
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The best way to summarize the future of growth and contract status is that they both will change “sometime” in the future. We have no real clue when. Indigo knows the timeline but they will never share any accurate info with their beloved employees. If present fleet and contract aren’t better than where you are at, you should stay there. Big mistake expecting rapid growth or a new contract anytime soon.
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Old 01-11-2018, 03:43 PM
  #16  
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Originally Posted by Patternholder View Post
Wow....that’s GREAT! How do you and the rest of the folks in the Chief Pilots office plan to hire enough to staff that growth?
I don't work in the CPO. However, I suspect the new contract will fix hiring issues. I understand your frustration, I am dying for a pay raise too. I'm just presenting information. I don't work in the CPO, I don't do interviews, I don't do career fairs. I work 70 to 75 hours and go home.
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Old 01-11-2018, 03:50 PM
  #17  
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Thanks Aero for taking the time again to post the numbers. I've seen your fleet growth numbers before but not the block hours expectations.

I hope for everyone's sake that contract negotiations don't drag on for years as they have thus far. I realize it's in Indigo's best interest to drag out the inevitable as it shows higher profit each quarter, which equals higher valuation for the company. It's strictly business.

When will it happen, who knows, that's anyone's guess.

Originally Posted by Aero1900 View Post
Block Hours Flown:

2013: 195,000
2014: 223,000
2015: 259,000
2016: 279,000
Consider that these numbers are being flown with larger airplanes.

Aircraft Delivery Schedule

2017: 17
2018: 16
2019: 18
2020: 18
2021: 13
134 more airplanes to follow, starting in 2021.

Aircraft lease returns:
2018: 13
2019: 2
2020: 3
2021: 1
2022: 4
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Old 01-11-2018, 04:55 PM
  #18  
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Originally Posted by Aero1900 View Post
I've posted the actual delivery and lease return schedule on this site. I've explained how to find it, so you can see the numbers for your self. It's really not that difficult, just basic addition and subtraction.

The growth that the company has been talking about has happened. The airline grows in more ways than fleet numbers. When you replace a 319 with a 150 seats with a 321 with 230 seats, that's significant growth. When you operate 4 additional block hours per day per airplane, that's significant. Just not from your perspective.

The fleet only grows a small amount in 2018, about 6, due to a significant number of lease returns. In 2019 the lease returns go way down and the deliveries stay strong. 2019 is a big growth year. I'll go get the numbers again if I have to.
No one gives a shiiit about that type of growth... some might argue that flying an extra 80 people around for free is the opposite of growth... we have more responsibility and no extra compensation... it’s growth for the company, sure but an extra 80 seats doesn’t put 10 people in an upgrade class... and yes they do utilize the airplanes more, but you may notice as that has happened our, schedules have gotten crappier and crappier... why are you talking about aircraft utilization and seat growth?? Who cares
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Old 01-11-2018, 05:13 PM
  #19  
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Originally Posted by NWSteeringArmer View Post
No one gives a shiiit about that type of growth... some might argue that flying an extra 80 people around for free is the opposite of growth... we have more responsibility and no extra compensation... it’s growth for the company, sure but an extra 80 seats doesn’t put 10 people in an upgrade class... and yes they do utilize the airplanes more, but you may notice as that has happened our, schedules have gotten crappier and crappier... why are you talking about aircraft utilization and seat growth?? Who cares
Absolutely. I agree. I was responding to someone above who make a comment about how the company has promised growth, and they hadn't seen it. I was simply explaining that the growth the company keeps talking about isn't the kind that effects us much. A while back Biffle said that Frontier was going to grow 20% in Denver. He grew that 20% by adding larger airplanes and more seats to the planes. Growth in the eyes of the accounting dept, not the quality of life of the pilots.

I agree 100% that we should be compensated for the additional passengers we are carrying. A Frontier A321 holds more people that a United 767 and 787.

Frontier is the 2nd most profitable airline in the country. As we replace old A319s with new A320NEOs, our profit margins will rise higher. I guarantee you the company will grow by leaps and bounds. Its a decade long process though.
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Old 01-11-2018, 05:33 PM
  #20  
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Originally Posted by Aero1900 View Post
Block Hours Flown:

2013: 195,000
2014: 223,000
2015: 259,000
2016: 279,000
Consider that these numbers are being flown with larger airplanes.

Aircraft Delivery Schedule

2017: 17
2018: 16
2019: 18
2020: 18
2021: 13
134 more airplanes to follow, starting in 2021.

Aircraft lease returns:
2018: 13
2019: 2
2020: 3
2021: 1
2022: 4
So what is your source of information?
Duct Mon is offline  
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