2024: the "Frontier will buy Spirit" theory
#1
Gets Weekends Off
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Joined APC: Mar 2021
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2024: the "Frontier will buy Spirit" theory
The ruling basically is the court saying we (the government) should not faciliate anything that hampers competition. Now, if the "free market" (Spirit fails and shuts down, due to no merger), and thus consumers are left with fewer choices to travel, so be it. The blood is not on the government's hands.
Regarding the "Frontier will buy Spirit theory" - that was proposed in July 2022, when Frontier stock price was $12. Frontier was going to use Frontier shares to buy Spirit. Imagine $12 each tokens to play games at Chuck E. Cheese. Now those tokens are worth $5 each. Can Barry pull it off, even if he wants to ?
"Spirit is on sale now" (Stock price down 60%). While true, the better decision will be Barry lets them bleed out, then magically appear with a Barry Biffle first aid kit. What is Spirit going to say? No?
So expect a lot of "we are not interested anymore" / "2024 we are looking at other focus areas" when Barry is asked. Make no mistake, I am sure Barry is considering buying/merging/etc with Spirit.
My opinion is Spirit, now with no dance partner, is at risk of bankruptcy and insolvency and possibly closing its doors altogether, sans another rescue attempt (which we know the DOJ is against anyway).
Alaska/Hawaiian - they will closely monitor the developments in this case and carefully craft their case, which will be successful. JetBlue and Spirit was the classroom for the Alaska/HA merger.
So the question for Frontier, which nobody knows the answer to, is: what is next?
Stay tuned
Regarding the "Frontier will buy Spirit theory" - that was proposed in July 2022, when Frontier stock price was $12. Frontier was going to use Frontier shares to buy Spirit. Imagine $12 each tokens to play games at Chuck E. Cheese. Now those tokens are worth $5 each. Can Barry pull it off, even if he wants to ?
"Spirit is on sale now" (Stock price down 60%). While true, the better decision will be Barry lets them bleed out, then magically appear with a Barry Biffle first aid kit. What is Spirit going to say? No?
So expect a lot of "we are not interested anymore" / "2024 we are looking at other focus areas" when Barry is asked. Make no mistake, I am sure Barry is considering buying/merging/etc with Spirit.
My opinion is Spirit, now with no dance partner, is at risk of bankruptcy and insolvency and possibly closing its doors altogether, sans another rescue attempt (which we know the DOJ is against anyway).
Alaska/Hawaiian - they will closely monitor the developments in this case and carefully craft their case, which will be successful. JetBlue and Spirit was the classroom for the Alaska/HA merger.
So the question for Frontier, which nobody knows the answer to, is: what is next?
Stay tuned
#4
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#5
Almost there
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#6
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Was meant tongue in cheek... Carry on...
The judge denied the merger based on the Clayton Act which is designed to promote business competition and prevent the formation of monopolies. If they didn't let B6 merge with them why would they let us eliminate an airline that fights us for the most rock bottom pricing. We won't be allowed to buy them either.
The judge denied the merger based on the Clayton Act which is designed to promote business competition and prevent the formation of monopolies. If they didn't let B6 merge with them why would they let us eliminate an airline that fights us for the most rock bottom pricing. We won't be allowed to buy them either.
#7
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The judge denied the merger based on the Clayton Act which is designed to promote business competition and prevent the formation of monopolies. If they didn't let B6 merge with them why would they let us eliminate an airline that fights us for the most rock bottom pricing. We won't be allowed to buy them either.
#8
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Joined APC: Jan 2023
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Was meant tongue in cheek... Carry on...
The judge denied the merger based on the Clayton Act which is designed to promote business competition and prevent the formation of monopolies. If they didn't let B6 merge with them why would they let us eliminate an airline that fights us for the most rock bottom pricing. We won't be allowed to buy them either.
The judge denied the merger based on the Clayton Act which is designed to promote business competition and prevent the formation of monopolies. If they didn't let B6 merge with them why would they let us eliminate an airline that fights us for the most rock bottom pricing. We won't be allowed to buy them either.
#9
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Joined APC: Mar 2022
Posts: 432
lmaooo. He didn't allow the merger because he felt it was going to cause in increase in fares. B6 buying NK is a completely different animal than F9 buying them..not even close. So, whatever you are trying to imply with the Clayton Act is incorrect and taken out of context.
#10
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Joined APC: Jan 2023
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