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Notable developments in Russo-Ukraine War 2

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Old 02-21-2026 | 03:06 PM
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Originally Posted by CLazarus
Not going to go back and look for sources. But I've seen multiple reports that suggest Russia may be laying the groundwork for another call up of conscripts in the near future. That would be very significant, and I have no idea how it will play out. But it would underline the point that Russia is increasingly desperate and running out of money to incentivize suckers.

Oh, and Ukraine has taken advantage of the Starlink cutoff to reclaim a significant amount of territory. Not anything game changing really, but I'm sure they will extract a fearful price for it yet again when the Russians go back on the offensive. Some of the kill ratios I've seen reported lately are HIGHLY favorable to Ukraine, even if they were exaggerated by a factor of greater than 2.
There are multiple reliable reports of Ukraine retaking formerly Russian occupied territory due to the Starlink cutoff.

https://united24media.com/latest-new...sia-hard-15971

Basically, this rolled back about 77 square miles of Russian advance, much of which Russia captured back in toast summer in an area that was sparsely settled, with few cities, and relatively difficult to defend. It was mostly open territory except for Hulaipole but even it - a city with a prewar population of 19,000 but now down to about 12,000 was sparsely defended.

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/w...uliaipole.html

What is clear is that open country is now harder to defend by either side in the era of drone warfare - especially when one sides drones become suddenly inoperable.

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Old 02-22-2026 | 06:29 AM
  #82  
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Artillery platforms aren’t in constant use because they sound cool. Precise and devastating, they’re adaptable to several payload options, extended range and guidance kits. Drones are hot items of course. A predator wing or two wouldn’t hurt. There’s some 2000 Starlink sats zooming along in low orbit these days. Won’t take long before Ivan’s bootstrapped a means to restore service or disrupt the whole thing. Let’s see if faithful nato friends can recall Budapest ‘56 & Bratislava ‘68 long enough to do the right thing next week as the pipeline remains shut.

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Old 02-22-2026 | 07:58 AM
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A Ukrainian soldier’s story: years of war and fading hope

Kostiantyn Honcharov
4 hours ago4 hours agoFormer DW correspondent Kostiantyn Honcharov joined the Ukrainian army in 2022. He describes the grim front-line situation after four years of fighting.

https://www.dw.com/en/a-ukrainian-so...ing/a-76049822


an excerpt:

Problems facing Ukrainian forces

It's not just the fighting that is destroying people. The Ukrainian army has been dogged by problems that have accumulated over the years, and this is aside from discussions over the technological transformation of modern warfare. These persistent problems are beginning to break front-line fighters faster than the enemy.

Mass desertions in the Ukrainian army are not occurring because soldiers have suddenly become cowards or stopped being patriots. The reason is that fighters in front-line units are physically and mentally exhausted.
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Old 02-22-2026 | 08:16 AM
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Originally Posted by Excargodog

A Ukrainian soldier’s story: years of war and fading hope

Kostiantyn Honcharov
4 hours ago4 hours agoFormer DW correspondent Kostiantyn Honcharov joined the Ukrainian army in 2022. He describes the grim front-line situation after four years of fighting.

https://www.dw.com/en/a-ukrainian-so...ing/a-76049822


an excerpt:
Signals are far from encouraging. To the point Euro powerbrokers are likely bracing themselves for Kiev’s offensive collapse and how best to mitigate a fresh flood of refugees. Betting as well Ukraine’s occupation should at least create some leverage bargaining reconstruction business & discounted energy contracts with old partners at Russian consortium Gazprom.

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Old 02-22-2026 | 10:46 AM
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
There are multiple reliable reports of Ukraine retaking formerly Russian occupied territory
I remember a while back there were multiple reports of the "cities" that were taken back by Ukraine. When all there were were small villages. Good for morale and PR, tactically/strategically, meh......

Originally Posted by Excargodog
Problems facing Ukrainian forces

Originally Posted by Excargodog
It's not just the fighting that is destroying people. The Ukrainian army has been dogged by problems that have accumulated over the years, and this is aside from discussions over the technological transformation of modern warfare. These persistent problems are beginning to break front-line fighters faster than the enemy.

Mass desertions in the Ukrainian army are not occurring because soldiers have suddenly become cowards or stopped being patriots. The reason is that fighters in front-line units are physically and mentally exhausted.


Apples to oranges, but semi applicable;


In WW2, on the Eastern front, German troops were just dropping dead randomly. To the point it was drawing attention, so a team of pathologists was sent to try and investigate. It was physical fatigue/stress/exhaustion. Their hearts were found to be about 2/3 the size of what they should have been, as well as mis-colored.

Granted, what we know now, it could be partially attributed to stimulants, as well the malnutrition and the physical aspect, etc.

But any way you slice it, 4 years of constant combat is going to take a toll......
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Old 02-22-2026 | 12:55 PM
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Originally Posted by John Carr
But any way you slice it, 4 years of constant combat is going to take a toll......
Depressing. Grim harbinger of things to come.


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Old 02-22-2026 | 03:14 PM
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Originally Posted by John Carr

Granted, what we know now, it could be partially attributed to stimulants, as well the malnutrition and the physical aspect, etc.



Don’t assume it’s not happening:

https://www.lvivherald.com/post/amph...ers-in-ukraine


Nor should we be ‘holier-than-thou” about such use:

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/7661838/

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Old 02-22-2026 | 04:03 PM
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Originally Posted by METO Guido
Depressing. Grim harbinger of things to come.
Indeed. Would be interesting to see how many Ukrainian soldiers are STILL left that have been fighting for fours years straight now.

Nevermind that the average age of a Ukrainian soldier had INCREASED by as much at 10 years according to some.

Originally Posted by Excargodog
Don’t assume it’s not happening
Never did.

Originally Posted by Excargodog
Nor should we be ‘holier-than-thou” about such use
Never was. It’s not like “go pills” were ever a secret.

It’s been a “thing” among warriors forever.

DARPA, and I’m sure others were doing studies on things like quercetin before anybody knew what the hell it was.

My dad spent most of his time in Vietnam pre 1965. Unconventional gun, unconventional uniform, and, for U.S. troops (seemingly), unconventional methods of staying awake/alert when out in the jungle for days/weeks at a time.

Supplied by Uncle Sam hizself……

Last edited by John Carr; 02-22-2026 at 04:46 PM.
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Old 02-22-2026 | 05:09 PM
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Originally Posted by John Carr
Indeed. Would be interesting to see how many Ukrainian soldiers are STILL left that have been fighting for fours years straight now.

Nevermind that the average age of a Ukrainian soldier had INCREASED by as much at 10 years according to some.



Never did.



Never was. It’s not like “go pills” were ever a secret.

It’s been a “thing” among warriors forever.
true, but only one in 16 US citizens has military experience.

This article is about 8-9 months old but it’s increasingly relevant.

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/articl...05/16/7455980/

The population pyramid of Ukraine (well, it’s SUPPOSED to be a pyramid, Ukraine’s is looking nore like a tree) is telling. While the article talks about the paucity of young males, the long term problem is the dearth of young females.

Ukraine population has been dropping since 1991 and there are now so few females of childbearing age or younger that further population decline and aging of the population is inevitable. Even if the fertility rate went up to 2.1-2.2 babies per woman, that would simply maintain a much reduced birth rate and a much smaller next generation with fewer young people of what most of us would consider military age. Nor is Russia in a much better situation except that they are starting from a baseline 4.5 times that of Ukraine.

Neither of these countries actually need more territory. Ukraine is 153 out of 245. countries in the world in population density. Russia is even worse at 228 out of 245. Yet both are sacrificing hundreds of thousands to this war.

if this goes on another few years both sides will have to field mobility scooters for their ancient troops.


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Old 02-22-2026 | 05:59 PM
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
true, but only one in 16 US citizens has military experience
Not sure what that has to do with the discussion (shrug).
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