The Dream Job

Closed Thread Subscribe

Page 1 of 4

Thread Tools

Search this Thread

07-02-2013 | 06:49 PM

skillett

Thread Starter

Banned

Joined: Dec 2010

Posts: 630

Likes: 0

From: South Paw

The Dream Job

Great youtube video on the impending pilot shortage.

The Great Airline Pilot Shortage Myth (Part I) - YouTube

07-02-2013 | 09:18 PM

TBucket

Gets Weekends Off

Joined: Apr 2008

Posts: 1,109

Likes: 0

Let me sum up this thread's future:

1. one guy says "It's not true, it's all bs, here are some numbers"

2. another guy says "It's gonna happen, here are some numbers"

3. some guy insults gojets

4. thread gets locked.

07-02-2013 | 10:32 PM

Sounder

Line Holder

Joined: Aug 2011

Posts: 49

Likes: 0

From: The Arrr Jay

Quote:

Originally Posted by TBucket

Don't forget...

5. Unnecessary gif

07-03-2013 | 12:12 AM

Da40Pilot

Gets Weekends Off

Joined: Jun 2013

Posts: 806

Likes: 0

Quote:

Originally Posted by skillett

Great youtube video on the impending pilot shortage.

The Great Airline Pilot Shortage Myth (Part I) - YouTube

Anybody who thinks they know (and are certain) on how to predict the future is a bull****ter to me, BUT, If the pilot shortage is a myth, then wait 10 years and compare how many people are still getting their ATP's in 2023 compared to today. If the past 10 years is an indicator of the next 10 years, you'll most likely have a pilot shortage. At some point, more people will look elsewhere for jobs and stop getting new licenses and applying for jobs simply because they can't live on less than McDonalds wages as inflation increases also (F/O salaries haven't changed in half a decade). There's your simple pilot shortage come true right there.

07-03-2013 | 02:04 AM

skillett

Thread Starter

Banned

Joined: Dec 2010

Posts: 630

Likes: 0

From: South Paw

I know im posting against my own thread. Besides regional whipsawing and economic downturns, i do believe numbers dont lie. There will be alot of mainline hiring in the coming decade. Regionals will see a shortage.

07-03-2013 | 02:39 AM

saab2000

Line Holder

Joined: Sep 2006

Posts: 1,755

Likes: 6

Quote:

Originally Posted by skillett

Regionals are already seeing a shortage. They are having trouble filling classes.

07-03-2013 | 03:08 AM

AxialFlow

Gets Weekends Off

Joined: Jul 2009

Posts: 519

Likes: 0

Quote:

Originally Posted by saab2000

Regionals are already seeing a shortage. They are having trouble filling classes.

This is where the "shortage" will be. The majors will NEVER see a shortage. How does mainline remedy such a problem to ensure a full stock of cheap labor willing to work for peanuts? They're going to have to create more attractive flow programs than those currently offered at the likes of Pinnacle, Compass, or Eagle, et al.

07-03-2013 | 03:49 AM

RhinoPherret

Gets Weekends Off

Joined: Aug 2012

Posts: 1,026

Likes: 0

Dang! The title of this thread had me all ramped up about being a strip club manager.

What are the odds of there being a shortage of strip club managers in the coming years?

Inquiring minds want to know.

07-03-2013 | 04:49 AM

supersix-4

Gets Weekends Off

Joined: Aug 2005

Posts: 546

Likes: 0

From: Reserve on tha Beach

^^ My buddy does this in MIA. $600 clear per night..

07-03-2013 | 06:36 AM

#10

minimwage4

2 days off

Joined: Jun 2009

Posts: 1,853

Likes: 0

From: Embraer Systems Analyst

I don't think there will be a shortage but there's going to be a steady hiring indefinitely when age 65 is up. I don't know how accurate those retirement numbers are but they are massive compared to what we've seen in the past. I'm just wondering what's going to happen when regional management tell the mainline partners, we can't find anymore pilots! The 1500 hour mins have been unofficially in effect for regional applicants and people have shown up but that won't last much longer unless there's an incentive.