10% reduction in Air Trafiic
11-06-2025 | 07:46 AM
#21
Perennial Reserve
Joined: Jan 2018
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This is very likely exactly what the legacies will do. Those without a regional feed will feel the impacts much more than the big 3.
IF things drag on into next week, you might start to see some 'equipment changes' at legacies, but probably not all that much.
I suspect this 'reduction' will prove to be a forcing function, and is the beginning of the end of this shutdown... I'd be surprised if it goes another week, and absolutely shocked if this goes 2 (right up to weekend-prior to Thanksgiving, with a surge in travel).
IF things drag on into next week, you might start to see some 'equipment changes' at legacies, but probably not all that much.
I suspect this 'reduction' will prove to be a forcing function, and is the beginning of the end of this shutdown... I'd be surprised if it goes another week, and absolutely shocked if this goes 2 (right up to weekend-prior to Thanksgiving, with a surge in travel).
^^^This^^^^
Although I don’t think it’s an across the board 10% shutdown. Just in about 30 of the major terminals. But I think we are seeing the end play out, and it may not even happen at all.
11-06-2025 | 07:48 AM
#22
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Nov 2016
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10% isn’t even a drop in the bucket for the large 3. What’ll likely happen is you’ll see the regionals take the brunt of the cancels and the mainline upgauge flights while taking a turn or two out from their inventory. For an airline like Southwest instead of running 37 LAS-PHX flights a day they’ll probably run 32 instead,etc.
11-06-2025 | 07:54 AM
#23
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Joined: Sep 2011
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I kinda wondered about that. The news source I read said the FAA asked each airline to cut 10% at 40 or so airports. Is the FAA gonna let the industry treat the regionals as though they are actually part of the legacies? As in cutting flights at Envoy, PSA, Peidmont, AE flights by Skywest etc, are the same as cutting flights at AA, for example? If I were Southwest, Jetblue, Spirit, etc, I'd be calling foul.
In this one instance, however, I might be willing to give an exception to a company in Bankruptcy proceedings, and let NK fly unmolested.
11-06-2025 | 08:07 AM
#24
Line Holder
Joined: Dec 2018
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May we live in interesting times.
11-06-2025 | 08:35 AM
#25
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Joined: Feb 2022
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From: Guppy
Another thing that could get interesting is whether or not affected crews will get pay protected for canceled trips (contract dependent obviously) but technically the airlines could claim force majeure if they wanted. Same goes for pax and ticket refunds.
11-06-2025 | 08:57 AM
#26
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I have zero concerns about this at DL
11-06-2025 | 09:36 AM
#28
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,799
Likes: 204
This is very likely exactly what the legacies will do. Those without a regional feed will feel the impacts much more than the big 3.
IF things drag on into next week, you might start to see some 'equipment changes' at legacies, but probably not all that much.
I suspect this 'reduction' will prove to be a forcing function, and is the beginning of the end of this shutdown... I'd be surprised if it goes another week, and absolutely shocked if this goes 2 (right up to weekend-prior to Thanksgiving, with a surge in travel).
IF things drag on into next week, you might start to see some 'equipment changes' at legacies, but probably not all that much.
I suspect this 'reduction' will prove to be a forcing function, and is the beginning of the end of this shutdown... I'd be surprised if it goes another week, and absolutely shocked if this goes 2 (right up to weekend-prior to Thanksgiving, with a surge in travel).
11-06-2025 | 10:00 AM
#29
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Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 933
Likes: 59
From: NBC
Well, since they’re the busiest airports they have more federal employees working there than BIS or OAJ.. Makes sense the busy places would be most affected by a federal shutdown.
11-06-2025 | 11:39 AM
#30
Moderator
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 8,099
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Okay, but RJ’s fly into all those hubs, no? I’d still expect RJ’s to take a disproportionate hit. That doesn’t even take into consideration the minimizing of impacted pax by cancelling an RJ over mainline.
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