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Profane Kahuna 05-04-2026 12:41 PM


Originally Posted by MaxQ (Post 4031742)
Iran's HMFIC was killed on day one.
Soooo.....



So?

Also, do you honestly believe that was “day 1”?



.

Excargodog 05-04-2026 01:25 PM


Originally Posted by word302 (Post 4031743)
Of course it’s simplistic.

Do I blame the current administration for all of Spirit’s problems? No

Do I think fuel costs sealed their fate this week? Yes

Do I think Spirit management has been failing at their jobs for almost 1/2 a decade now? Also yes.

Do I think Spirit is the only carrier that won’t survive this? No.

Pretty simple.

So at $2.60 a gallon for Jet A, how many additional weeks do you believe they MIGHT have survived?

Assuming, of course, their competitors were also getting $2.60/gal fuel?

word302 05-04-2026 01:29 PM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4031805)
So at $2.60 a gallon for Jet A, how many additional weeks do you believe they MIGHT have survived?

So do you understand that when you're trying to come back from bankruptcy that a sudden more than doubling of your 2nd largest line item cost might throw a wrench in your plans? The answer to your question is one that none of us will likely ever know.

METO Guido 05-04-2026 03:30 PM


Originally Posted by MaxQ (Post 4031717)
You are correct Cargo.
But it was the immediate and proximate cause.

It doesn't have to be even "blaming the administration".
It was in response to Vax saying the predictions of furloughs hadn't come to pass. Well, they now have. It was the proverbial straw and it is pedantic spin to try and say that "well they don't count" because they were already sick.

I worked for one of the 3 majors that closed their doors in Nov. 1991.
It is quite likely that none of them would have been in business by the end of 1992.
But it is an empirical fact that the first gulf war was the reason that the shut down occurred in Nov '91.
It is disingenuous to say elsewise.

the longer this drags on, the more likely furloughs for the weakest to follow. Chitty business sometimes.
Fwiw, I wouldn’t want to work for beach boy Comey. Far too shiftless. But I respect and believe him. For everything, there really is a season:)


AAdvocate 05-04-2026 03:36 PM


Originally Posted by METO Guido (Post 4031854)
the longer this drags on, the more likely furloughs for the weakest to follow. Chitty business sometimes.
Fwiw, I wouldn’t want to work for beach boy Comey. Far too shiftless. But I respect and believe him. For everything, there really is a season:)

How do you get to keep responding to this yet our response get blocked? Mods, what's the deal?

METO Guido 05-04-2026 03:40 PM


Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4031860)
How do you get to keep responding to this yet our response get blocked? Mods, what's the deal?

tradecraft. Otherspeak, lingo, sign, blink. Use your imagination. Never give up on the co.

FangsF15 05-04-2026 03:42 PM


Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4031860)
How do you get to keep responding to this yet our response get blocked? Mods, what's the deal?

I see you have posted the same response like 5 or 6 times. I’m not sure why you can’t see your own posts.

FangsF15 05-04-2026 03:54 PM

No one is arguing that fuel prices was not the final nail in the Spirit coffin. Obviously that tipped them over the (tenuous and teetering) edge. If it wasn’t fuel prices, it would very likely have been something else in the near term.

But to pretend that Spirit is some kind of bellwether and confirmation of early predictions of “Black Swan!” and “industry furloughs are imminent!” is massively disingenuous. And, I would argue reveals some genuine bias and/or willful ignorance.


AAdvocate 05-04-2026 05:17 PM


Originally Posted by METO Guido (Post 4031863)
tradecraft. Otherspeak, lingo, sign, blink. Use your imagination. Never give up on the co.

I actually got you mixed up with MaxQ. Wasn't responding to any of your posts

AAdvocate 05-04-2026 05:18 PM


Originally Posted by FangsF15 (Post 4031866)
I see you have posted the same response like 5 or 6 times. I’m not sure why you can’t see your own posts.

My response to the below, which was reasonable, was not posted


Originally Posted by MaxQ (Post 4031717)
You are correct Cargo.
But it was the immediate and proximate cause.

It doesn't have to be even "blaming the administration".
It was in response to Vax saying the predictions of furloughs hadn't come to pass. Well, they now have. It was the proverbial straw and it is pedantic spin to try and say that "well they don't count" because they were already sick.

I worked for one of the 3 majors that closed their doors in Nov. 1991.
It is quite likely that none of them would have been in business by the end of 1992.
But it is an empirical fact that the first gulf war was the reason that the shut down occurred in Nov '91.
It is disingenuous to say elsewise.



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