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Airline Pilot Central Forums (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/)
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-   -   Economic Impacts of Iran War (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/major/152485-economic-impacts-iran-war.html)

FangsF15 05-04-2026 05:22 PM
Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4031909)
My response to the below, which was reasonable, was not posted
This post was automatically flagged for approval/moderation by the system. I don’t know why it was flagged. I deleted 4 duplicates of you replying with the same post. Again, no idea why you aren’t seeing your own posts. They were not flagged.

AAdvocate 05-04-2026 05:29 PM
Originally Posted by FangsF15 (Post 4031913)
This post was automatically flagged for approval/moderation by the system. I don’t know why it was flagged. I deleted 4 duplicates of you replying with the same post. Again, no idea why you aren’t seeing your own posts. They were not flagged.
That's a shame, it was some pretty primo stuff. Was going to change hearts and minds.

FangsF15 05-04-2026 05:49 PM
Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4031916)
That's a shame, it was some pretty primo stuff. Was going to change hearts and minds.
Post 1514. Don’t know what else to tell you.

Take the rest to PM please

AAdvocate 05-04-2026 06:05 PM
Originally Posted by FangsF15 (Post 4031924)
Post 1514. Don’t know what else to tell you.

Take the rest to PM please
My apologies, you are right

word302 05-04-2026 06:36 PM
Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4031916)
That's a shame, it was some pretty primo stuff. Was going to change hearts and minds.
Meh, looks like same BS you always post.

Buck Rogers 05-04-2026 06:48 PM
Originally Posted by Trip7 (Post 4031782)
We are going to find out who was naked very soon, especially in AI/Tech stocks
Ahh....the old rabbit and the hare saga. It was possible to do the AI thing just after "liberation day" on SOXL and sell last Friday with a 1440% gain. Then take some of that profit and buy 150 option contracts of JUL 17 on BNO and UCO(thanks for the tip Trip7) and take some profit off the table with a 85% gain in a week........thus killing two birds with one stone.

There can be 2 correct answers to investing.

If you doubt me .....do a search of SOXL on APC a little over a year ago and my shout out to you re oil about a week ago and you will see the advocacy.(I worry about demand destruction which I don't think has been adequately addressed thus taking 20% off today)

One should look for logical investing opportunities as opposed to reasons to quake in your boots thereby missing golden opportunities.

STIorSTD 05-04-2026 09:50 PM
Originally Posted by Trip7 (Post 4030460)
https://x.com/i/status/2050230304443408871



Side note....before the Great Financial Crisis the market hit all time highs despite flash red warning signs in Mortgage Backed Securities(MBS)and Bonds. Those that saw the writing on the wall and invested in credit default swaps(CDS)on those MBSs and Bonds were dismayed as the value of those CDSs continued to be marked despite fundamentals that clearly suggested the opposite.

IMO a similar situation is occuring now. So we'll just have to sit and wait as the market remains in Nirvana while inventories drain until the entire system breaks. Thats when will be a rush for exit liquidity thru a door that is entirely too small to handle the stampede
similar in what way? Private credit? AI?

RStrawberry 05-05-2026 05:03 AM
Originally Posted by STIorSTD (Post 4031996)
similar in what way? Private credit? AI?
They have no idea.

vaksedtothemax 05-05-2026 08:57 AM
Anyone see the famed economist GarySchilling predict a massive recession by the end of 2026?

he also said this last year

https://www.thinkadvisor.com/amp/202...market-likely/

Hope some of you listened and held cash in 2025. I didn’t listen unfortunately… the gains were quite concerning.

Trip7 05-05-2026 08:58 AM
Originally Posted by STIorSTD (Post 4031996)
similar in what way? Private credit? AI?
The market is not pricing in the largest energy crisis in the modern history of the human race. Ask AI bulls where the helium for Semiconductor production growth will come from.

Reality will settle in as inventories continue to rapidly decline in the next couple of months


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