Economic Impacts of Iran War
#21
proudly Boeing - what would they do for inter island flying ? You really need a 100 seat airplane for thin routes. Maybe bring in Horizon to do inter island ? Man I should be an airline executive
#22
Also a member on Alaska airline BOD is former Boeing ceo. They get sweet Boeing pricing . It will be 787s , 737s in less than 3 years. As far as Amazon contract who knows. How much do you really make doing Amazon ?
#24
Banned
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 9,524
Likes: 566
No they cannot. This is their big temper tantrum, they shot their wad. The US, GCC states, and the rest of the world will not allow them to just randomly interdict the global economy whenever they feel like it, indefinitely.
What are you gonna do about it? Bomb them? They absolutely will create turmoil. Everyone in the ME has stabbed Iran in the back. They’ll remember all of it and retaliate this for time to come.
While they have the capacity to create enough risk to spook maritime insurance brokers, that's not the same as having enough capacity to physically stop commerce. The rest of the world just has to decide they've had enough (or the Iranian people might).
Also while almost nobody in the US wants boots on ground, that is one way to secure the AG/SoH. I won't get into details but we don't need to seize the entire country.
Boots in Iran will fail, just like Vietnam and Afghanistan.
#26
On Reserve
Joined: Apr 2022
Posts: 151
Likes: 47
I did not close the other thread. The only time I get the "last word" is if I'm explaining why a thread got closed.
Again, do not discuss how/why we got here, or whether it was a good idea, this is not the place for that and only leads down one road. If you're going to protest the war or complain about moderation, better to just stay out of this thread.
Again, do not discuss how/why we got here, or whether it was a good idea, this is not the place for that and only leads down one road. If you're going to protest the war or complain about moderation, better to just stay out of this thread.
I agree with many that this is a long term war, excursion, diversion, special military action or whatever name that is reapplied daily like makeup. Iran is not getting bombed out of the ability to wreak havoc If it was the straits would be open today. The fact that we are two weeks in and they are not open says a lot. This has reinvigorated Iranian nationalism and they will not walk away quietly. The hornets nest has been kicked over.
#27
#28
Line Holder
Joined: Jul 2022
Posts: 1,619
Likes: 191
From: 787 FO
As if it's a secret, and therein lies the big problem. No wonder it got leaked from the top of the Pentagon that this would be a mess.
#29
Line Holder
Joined: Sep 2025
Posts: 323
Likes: 211
The first Gulf war caused panam and Eastern to fail I wouldn't be surprised if we lost a few airlines this time.
Not surprising, AA could barely hang on when all the conditions were perfect.
Spirit, JetBlue and AA probably don't survive this as they are now.
UBS thinks that only UA, DL, and WN can stay in the black at these gas prices.
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-G...rices.amp.html
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-G...rices.amp.html
Spirit, JetBlue and AA probably don't survive this as they are now.
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