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Here is the retirement schedule for AA:
Year Total 10/14/2006 - 12/31/2006 60 01/01/2007 - 12/31/2007 281 01/01/2008 - 12/31/2008 402 01/01/2009 - 12/31/2009 405 01/01/2010 - 12/31/2010 363 01/01/2011 - 12/31/2011 318 01/01/2012 - 12/31/2012 312 01/01/2013 - 12/31/2013 388 01/01/2014 - 12/31/2014 478 01/01/2015 - 12/31/2015 571 01/01/2016 - 12/31/2016 628 01/01/2017 - 12/31/2017 683 01/01/2018 - 12/31/2018 733 01/01/2019 - 12/31/2019 733 01/01/2020 - 12/31/2020 744 01/01/2021 - 12/31/2021 718 01/01/2022 - 12/31/2022 595 01/01/2023 - 12/31/2023 503 01/01/2024 - 12/31/2024 479 01/01/2025 - 12/31/2025 412 01/01/2026 - 12/31/2026 442 You can see that there is no 'Vietnam era' bulge...that's over and done with. The increase in the 2018 area is due to the increased hiring in the mid to late 80s and typify the hiring trends then of hiring ex-mil folks. |
Originally Posted by 1Seat 1Engine
(Post 69156)
I'm not an AA pilot (but I did sleep in an really nice hotel...). The word I heard from other guys is that AA is trying to hold back growth in order not to have to recall any TWA flight attendents. If they don't recall any TWA attendants by Sept 07 then they can just cut them loose. If they recall even 1 TWA flight attendant before that, they become liable for health care and retirement for the whole lot.
They have something like 150 AA FA's on furlough that get recalled before the TWA list. I've found it odd that AMR continues to reduce block hours while other carriers are increasing block hours. I can only imagine that it would be a significant cost item to recall TWA FAs. Also, have the number of hrs worked/mo increased for AMR FAs? |
Shackone, thanks for posting AMR retirement numbers. The 2007 number caught me by surprise; I was expecting it to be ~400.
As a comparison, here's UAL's retirement figures using the 7/1/2006 Seniority list: 2006 141 (7/1-12/31) 2007 263 2008 234 2009 231 2010 201 2011 167 2012 228 2013 245 2014 237 2015 270 2016 331 2017 307 2018 381 2019 355 2020 463 2021 506 2022 506 2023 575 2024 574 2025 538 2026 560 2027 408 2028 300 2029 226 2030 153
Originally Posted by shackone
(Post 69200)
Don't be too sure about the number of folks who will turn down the recall if you are using past experiences at other carriers. Being recalled to AA is not like being recalled to a less prosperous carrier or a carrier with less potential for the future.
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Originally Posted by Andy
(Post 69210)
Shackone, thanks for posting AMR retirement numbers.
Do furloughees gain seniority for pay purposes while on furlough? If not, I think that many of the furloughees that have gone to other carriers will not return. I thnk that most that have gone to UPS & FedEx will stay there. Likewise, many will be just about to hold Captain at LUV when they are recalled. So far, AA pilots still have A/B plan + 401k, retirement is intact. But, it could still be frozen or affected in some other way down the road. As far as TWA F/As, that is NOT driving the company at present, but they would save money if very senior ex-TWA F/As came back via recall and either took retirement with health and passes or worked at max longevity, which they all had. They'll have to recall F/As on day soon, and some former TWA F/As will get called, IMHO. |
Originally Posted by Sanchez
(Post 69139)
Then educate us almighty one...and what's with the attitude? Are you just ****ed because I support keeping age 60? Answer the question, or should I ask an actual "active" AA pilot? How many retire in the next 10 years?
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Originally Posted by Andy
(Post 69205)
I've heard about TWA FA recall rights before. Can anyone discuss this in further detail? (Number of furloughed FAs, Recall rights, estimated cost to the company).
I've found it odd that AMR continues to reduce block hours while other carriers are increasing block hours. I can only imagine that it would be a significant cost item to recall TWA FAs. Also, have the number of hrs worked/mo increased for AMR FAs? Yes, it is definitely odd, if not downright maddening, that AA has been reducing its schedule over the last two years while everyone else has been picking it up. We've been told it's because AA wants to build up a big cash position to order new aircraft, buy another airline's assets, or pay down our huge debt ($18B or so...) Also, Wall Street loves shrinkage. The more jets we park, the more our stock goes up, the bigger the management $$$ bonuses. AA has been trying to hold off on recalls for two years now, while furloughing "off the top." Since they were in shrinkage mode, they would just announce 25 jets being parked per six months to correspond to the retirements. Now, however, it appears that they've shrunk down to where they want to be. Hence, the recalls - they don't want to park any more jets, I guess. Like you pointed out, 10 recalls/month won't cover attrition. I suspect that number will go up. But it's a start. And it also covers their a$$ in case something major happens, like age 65, contract concessions that require fewer pilots, etc. In which case, 10/month would be for growth! (hopefully not.) The TWA/AA furloughed f/a situation is very unfortunate, as thousands of our coworkers on the street are slowly losing their recall rights. The most senior group will lose their recall rights in summer 2008. At that point, AA hopes to have a new contract in place, at which point they will launch a massive expansion, announce new aircraft orders, and recall lilke there's no tomorrow, if not outright hiring off the street. This of course is conditional on the economy and the potential for more terrorist attacks, war with N Korea or Iran (hopefully not!) and oil prices. What can I tell you - it's a start, and some dearly awaited good news, for our furloughees, and for yours truly (2nd from the bottom system-wide.) The bypass rate will intially go higher as we recall more and more. Those that will come back almost definitely are our flowbacks at AE. The rest, who knows. Most of my furloughed friends have found good employment at CAL, Fedex, UPS, Netjets, Jetblue, etc. Most of them will bypass, I know that. It's gonna be interesting. I'm just glad AA finally jumped on the recall bandwagon. Stay tuned! 73 |
Pass
Good Post - nice to see some people have facts to share.
I agree, expect for those poor souls slugging it out at American Evil, nobody who has moved on to good airlines like JetBlue will go for the first call. To be the most junior, LGA based, S80 guy- again. |
Well the thing to think about also is that some of those pilots are probably working at other airlines and have no desire to go back so the recall will probably be for every 5 called one comes back.
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Well the thing to think about also is that some of those pilots are probably working at other airlines and have no desire to go back so the recall will probably be for every 5 called one comes back.
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does anyone have the CAL retirement numbers?
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