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-   -   SKW getting 100 MRJs? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/major/68806-skw-getting-100-mrjs.html)

alfaromeo 07-12-2012 08:10 AM


Originally Posted by forgot to bid (Post 1228475)
ya'll get this?

IF YOU DON'T ALLOW MORE JUMBO RJ'S YOUR JOB IS IN JEOPARDY AND THE AIRLINE GOES THE WAY OF AMERICAN AND CONTINENTAL... wait continental?

Anyways, follow the logic. Just imagine how many more jobs we'd have if we let those 76 seaters become 82 seaters? Or let DCI have larger jets like the E190!!!!

I mean does anyone doubt that a regional could fly 717s cheaper than us since pilot costs are the only costs that matters when comparing us with DCI?

Which is ironic since you get chastised for thinking that 100 seaters are next...



But on that note, ACL or 'you guys', I never remember ACL saying we were going to sell 100 seaters out on this negotiation, do ya'll?

I'd think I'd seen that if it was posted 1,000 times.

Now, the winner would be the person who said we'd outsource 70 more 76-seaters but that's not what's important.

What is important now is we get some more large RJ outsourcing going so that we don't end up in chapter 11 and furlough!

Outsourcing equals more jobs so let's celebrate that we held the lie at 76 seats! no wait, that makes no sense. start again. RJs are good for Delta pilots!!!!


Wow, do you even read what you write, or do you have such an imagination that it doesn't matter. Do you even have a shred of integrity?

I did not say 76 seat jets create jobs, show me where I said that. You claim that 76 seat jets steal jobs. I ask you to prove it. I give you evidence that exactly the opposite has happened over the last 5 years and yet you try to twist my words around to say something I didn't say. You learned form Carl well.

It seems to me that you continue to stand behind a theory that has been proven wrong time after time. So I ask you to provide evidence that your theory is correct. In this negotiation, we worked to ensure that 100 seat aircraft came to mainline. In order to do that Delta needed to reduce DCI capacity. In order to do that, they needed 76 seat jets to entice the DCI carriers to break their contracts.

That was what this negotiation was about. You claim, falsely, that this will steal jobs and result in mainline shrinkage. Prove it. Show some empirical evidence that backs up your theory. You throw around phony numbers from phony spreadsheets and phony analysis and them claim you have some proof. I show you real world evidence that disproves your phony theories and then you try to twist my words into saying I support outsourcing.

That is not what I said. What I showed you was that outsourcing 76 seat aircraft has not shown to have any correlation with mainline growth or mainline jobs. In fact, the opposite has been shown to be true. They can be dependent events (adding 76 seaters causes mainline growth) or independent (adding 76 seaters have no effect one way or the other). You make the definitive claim that mainline growth is directly dependent (in a negative way) upon 76 seat jets and yet your theory has been shown to be false 100% of the time in the real world. Yet you stand behind it.

DALPA supported the merger in part because a larger airline will support upgauging markets and reducing the reliance on outsourcing. That theory has been shown to be true. DCI has lost over 200 aircraft since the merger and every statistic show that mainline is doing a larger share of the domestic flying since then. This agreement accelerates that trend. Instead of looking at real evidence, you stand behind your phony numbers and your discredited theories. These 76 seaters will simply be replacing flying that is done by 50 seaters and more work is being transferred to mainline. Looks like hiring will begin within 6 months or less.

But hey, the truth has never stopped you before, why start now? Maybe you are so angry that your phony theories have been shown to be wrong again you will just lash out. A little childish.

forgot to bid 07-12-2012 08:12 AM


Originally Posted by newKnow (Post 1228542)
How is it that you come on here to ask questions and defer to FTB and Acl on the specifics, AFTER THE TA PASSED? Aren't you supposed to do that before you vote? :confused:

Seriously. Before the vote, you basically called every no voter an idiot for not seeing the light and voting "yes" for what you called a no brainer/slam dunk, win-win for the pilots, TA. You were absolutely certain of it. Now a few weeks later you come on here with a bunch of "I don't think's," "I thought's," and "I defer to the smarty pants guys." Huh? :confused:

Shouldn't we be able to defer to you and ask you the questions now?

New K :confused:

interesting questions newk.

forgot to bid 07-12-2012 08:14 AM


Originally Posted by tsquare (Post 1228548)
nice rant. :rolleyes:

thanks.
hard to do on an iphone.

anyways, does beg the old question, where should we draw the line on the size of an outsourced jet? if the reason we outsource is becase they can do it cheaper and that's good for us, why be fools and stop it at 76 seaters?

Bill Lumberg 07-12-2012 08:22 AM


Originally Posted by forgot to bid (Post 1228557)
we do have 153 76-seaters now and 255 jumbo rjs. We have a total right now of 19 aircraft smaller than th 737-7/319.

which is interesting, because in 2000 how man jumbo RJs were there? backthen we had 172 jets smaller than the 737-7/319.

I mean at 14 pilots per plane, using the numbers that we're using on the 717, that's a net of 2,100+ jobs.

So the question is, how much sooner would ACL have been hired if we had not gotten jumbo RJs and kept a robust fleet of jets smaller than the 737-7/319?

Blame 9-11 and the resulting BK. Those were extreme events that changed this industry forever. We parked L1011s early at that time due to those events too, and I guess you will blame ALPA for that? ACL could have been an L10 FE I suppose too, but ALPA didn't do enough to stop them from leaving, after they became uneconomical themselves......

Getting rid of as many outsourced jets as possible should be the main goal. This contract is doing that, along with caps and favorable ratios.

Bill Lumberg 07-12-2012 08:28 AM


Originally Posted by alfaromeo (Post 1228561)
Wow, do you even read what you write, or do you have such an imagination that it doesn't matter. Do you even have a shred of integrity?

I did not say 76 seat jets create jobs, show me where I said that. You claim that 76 seat jets steal jobs. I ask you to prove it. I give you evidence that exactly the opposite has happened over the last 5 years and yet you try to twist my words around to say something I didn't say. You learned form Carl well.

It seems to me that you continue to stand behind a theory that has been proven wrong time after time. So I ask you to provide evidence that your theory is correct. In this negotiation, we worked to ensure that 100 seat aircraft came to mainline. In order to do that Delta needed to reduce DCI capacity. In order to do that, they needed 76 seat jets to entice the DCI carriers to break their contracts.

That was what this negotiation was about. You claim, falsely, that this will steal jobs and result in mainline shrinkage. Prove it. Show some empirical evidence that backs up your theory. You throw around phony numbers from phony spreadsheets and phony analysis and them claim you have some proof. I show you real world evidence that disproves your phony theories and then you try to twist my words into saying I support outsourcing.

That is not what I said. What I showed you was that outsourcing 76 seat aircraft has not shown to have any correlation with mainline growth or mainline jobs. In fact, the opposite has been shown to be true. They can be dependent events (adding 76 seaters causes mainline growth) or independent (adding 76 seaters have no effect one way or the other). You make the definitive claim that mainline growth is directly dependent (in a negative way) upon 76 seat jets and yet your theory has been shown to be false 100% of the time in the real world. Yet you stand behind it.

DALPA supported the merger in part because a larger airline will support upgauging markets and reducing the reliance on outsourcing. That theory has been shown to be true. DCI has lost over 200 aircraft since the merger and every statistic show that mainline is doing a larger share of the domestic flying since then. This agreement accelerates that trend. Instead of looking at real evidence, you stand behind your phony numbers and your discredited theories. These 76 seaters will simply be replacing flying that is done by 50 seaters and more work is being transferred to mainline. Looks like hiring will begin within 6 months or less.

But hey, the truth has never stopped you before, why start now? Maybe you are so angry that your phony theories have been shown to be wrong again you will just lash out. A little childish.

Another good post. This would make a great X-Files movie.

forgot to bid 07-12-2012 08:29 AM


Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg (Post 1228574)
Blame 9-11 and the resulting BK. Those were extreme events that changed this industry forever. We parked L1011s early at that time due to those events too, and I guess you will blame ALPA for that? ACL could have been an L10 FE I suppose too, but ALPA didn't do enough to stop them from leaving, after they became uneconomical themselves......

Getting rid of as many outsourced jets as possible should be the main goal. This contract is doing that, along with caps and favorable ratios.

The L1011 wouldn't have been replaced by a jumbo RJ.

How many DC-9s by the way did NWA have on 31DEC08, i.e. after the merger? As in, how many survived 9/11?

^^^ easy question, look at Delta 2008 10-k, you don't have to have a copy of the contract or access to deltanet to do it. :D

Doug Masters 07-12-2012 08:30 AM


Originally Posted by tsquare (Post 1228559)
non sequitor to the subject, but they are under control.. and better with this agreement than had we stayed where we were I might add.

So answer the original question.

Damn T, I had to google that one...pretty good for a UT guy:D. As far as SWA hiring I have no idea what their plans or retirement numbers are. I was merely comparing 6th year DAL W2 to a 6th year SWA W2. DALPA told me I wasn't supposed to do that, yet they wanna compare us to AA and CAL wrt scope, pay etc... Grand scheme of things it doesn't matter. I voted no, you voted yes and yet we could still drink beer and talk football all night I'm sure.

johnso29 07-12-2012 08:32 AM


Originally Posted by gloopy (Post 1227863)
Wiki lists the max GW for the various models as between 81.2 and 94.3. For seating the lower end is 78 seats and up well into the 90's and beyond. I'm thinking they will be able to weasel in under our limits though. If not, the company will squeal how they can't make them abide by a contract they (SKYW) never agreed to and it would cost trillions of dollars and liquidate DAL if we enforced it so we'd grant relief anyway.

I'd LOVE to see the FFD welfare plug pulled on that operation and force them to compete (and lose badly) on real airline flying rather than leaching off of the scope clauses of other pilot groups and other brands.


Originally Posted by What (Post 1227876)
You might want to recheck how the CRJ 900's and E-175 are operated for US Aiways, my understating is that these airplanes are operated at 79 and 80 seats respectively!

The scope in Delta pilot's contract is based on the certificated MGTOW, not the actual MGTOW. Therefore, they may not simply adjust the seats to meet the weight requirement.

johnso29 07-12-2012 08:37 AM


Originally Posted by NoHandHold (Post 1227963)
You guys...Lol.

Who says that they are gonna be flown for Delta??? :confused:

If they are...it will be under Alaska, under Delta code shared flights.

Look for them to be flown for everybody else BUT Delta.

Can't happen. Not allowed by Delta pilot scope.

newKnow 07-12-2012 08:39 AM


Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg (Post 1228558)
Again, I state it that way to show it is my opinion. "I think" means my opinion. I do know the new contract, but not the section numbers etc by heart like ACL and the others. Try not to be confused. If you still are, go to section 143GB.143 and look it up yourself. I never proclaimed to be a contract expert, but I knew a good contract when I saw one. It passed.

You never claimed to be a contract expert and you state it that way to show it is your opinion, but yet days before the vote ended you post this:


Originally Posted by Bill Lumberg (Post 1218416)
You bet, a NO vote will show us quickly it was a wrong choice. You still have time to change your vote ACL, and I bet you will. THINK ABOUT IT. 200 RJs leaving leaves a gap, and that gap will be filled by larger RJs, and then 717s will top those 76 seaters, and we will own mid range regional routes again. Where do you think 88 717s will go? IMAGINE it.

I should try not to be confused?

As far as how to project what is opinion and what is fact, it seems like you might be the confused one, Bill. You use "will" when you should use "I think," or "may/might" and vice-versa. Or, at least I think you do. ;)

If I am confused, it is not about where anything is in the new contract. My confusion, if any, has to do with you and your posts.
Before the TA passed: Brash certainty to the point where you insult the intelligence of anyone who disagrees with you.
After the TA passed: Deferential questioning with slight praise of the same people you insulted.

(That type of reversal will get a :confused: from me every time.)

New K


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