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wiggy 10-25-2008 06:21 PM

Yes - on the surface that does look extreme. But the proposed 10 year fence that goes along with that means that none of those 1470 positions given to NWA will be useable by any NWA pilot at the expense of any DAL pilot. Why? Because every one of those 1470 NWA pilots will be gone by then...me included.
Pure, unadulterated bullsh!t, Carl, and you know it...those 1470 NW pilots include up to your 31 DEC 1985 hires. DAL has 210 pilots hired 1981 and prior, that leaves #211 and all subsequent hired in Sept. 1985 or later. Under your proposal, in 10 years, a conservative estimate would have 500 to 800 NW pilots,(and ONLY NW pilots) at the top of the list, when the fences come down. Sound fair to you? (NW hired approx. 800 between 1981 and Sept. 1985.)

Cogf16 10-25-2008 06:21 PM


Originally Posted by Carl Spackler (Post 485654)
I think you're right about that Wasatch. That's the weakness in our SLI proposal in my opinion. There should be a similar fence at the bottom as you suggest. The fact that there is not, makes the NWA proposal extreme for the DAL guys at the bottom. The DAL proposal however, is extreme from top to bottom.

Carl

Fences again!!! Carl, can you guys live with relative position, you know, if you are 20% at NWA you would be 20% +/- maybe 1 % at the new Delta? The devil is in the details with several variables
-NWA's more near term retirements
-NWA's near term aircraft retirements (freighters and possibly more 9's)
-Delta's fleet growth 777LR and 737-700's
-Delta's more "mid" term retirements
-Delta's higher % of widebody/intl aircraft
These things would have to be taken into account but they seem to maybe somewhat offset each other. I will tell you most Delta guys think that relative position is a pretty big win for NWA. Can't you see the fairness possible in this simple concept?

Cog

Carl Spackler 10-25-2008 06:32 PM


Originally Posted by Denny Crane (Post 485633)
Carl,

I'm kinda new to forums in general and do not know how to cut and paste quotes so please bear with me.

As far as all your guys retiring in the next 10 years, I just perused your seniority list and saw numerous '85 hires with dates of birth of 1956 or later, many in 1960. You are assuming that all these guys are going to retire at age 60 or before and I think that is an invalid assumption, especially base on today's economic environment and even with out it.

During the testimony, NWA did a presentation of the top thousand guys in the DAL proposal - Delta guys in blue font, and Northwest guys in red font. They used age 62 as the average age that a guy will be gone either by choice or medically. Then they moved the chart forward in one year increments. As every year went by, the top thousand guys changed from a mix of blue and red colors, to a sea of blue colors only at the 10 year point. In my opinion, that is a devastating blow to the concept of fair and equitable. There was an opportunity to mitigate that with a fence, but DAL did not do that. The 5 year fence proposal does nothing but make the inequities far worse and in perpetuity.


Originally Posted by Denny Crane (Post 485633)
A 10 year fence allows your SL pilots to take advantage of your retirement, as it should, but what about the HUGE number of DAL pilots that start retiring about 2019? You (NW pilots) get the advantage of that as well.

How could we take advantage of it if the vast majority of us are gone?


Originally Posted by Denny Crane (Post 485633)
The Dal pilot list mitigates it just the same as the NW list does, only with a shorter 5 year fence during which most of your senior guys who would retire at 60 will be gone. (Thats up for debate as many have pointed out the high price of healthcare these days!!) I think, due to your hard frozen pension plan, most of your 1985 hires will more than likely stay longer than 60 because they do not have 25 years and, as stated before, high health care costs.

Actually, due to our pension, we will lose money if we stay past 60. Everyone will have 25 years in because the rules allow for you to continue accruing time toward 25 years. Also, the higher health care costs only apply if we retire before age 60.


Originally Posted by Denny Crane (Post 485633)
The argument about the 402 pilots at the bottom has been gone over and over. We will have to agree to disagree on that one. But putting approx. 28 percent of your pilot group in the top 15 to 16 percent of the combined list is incomprehensible to me.

The bottom 402 being NWA is incomprehensible. Again 28% of our guys being in the top 16% is meaningless because we'll be gone by the time we could ever exercise that seniority at the expense of any Delta pilot.


Originally Posted by Denny Crane (Post 485633)
I sure hope we, both merger committees, can work this out, but I have my doubts. One group has to come off their respective stance and I just dont see that happening.

I'm guessing you mean NWA pilots. I have my doubts too. Because the NWA pilots see virtually no down side in taking this to arbitration. Negotiations aimed at taking the extreme DAL proposal and changing it along the margins will still make it very extreme. Thus arbitration carries little risk to NWA guys. But if you think that DAL might come off their respective stance and negotiate a change to the NWA Date of Hire proposal, maybe there would be an incentive to avoid arbitration.


Originally Posted by Denny Crane (Post 485633)
Good luck to us all!!!!

I'd love to stay and chat but I have some beer to drink!!! "D Maybe I'll get back on in a little while after I'm all loosened up!!! :D

Denny

Hope the beer was really cold! :D

Carl

Carl Spackler 10-25-2008 06:36 PM


Originally Posted by wiggy (Post 485664)
Yes - on the surface that does look extreme. But the proposed 10 year fence that goes along with that means that none of those 1470 positions given to NWA will be useable by any NWA pilot at the expense of any DAL pilot. Why? Because every one of those 1470 NWA pilots will be gone by then...me included.
Pure, unadulterated bullsh!t, Carl, and you know it...those 1470 NW pilots include up to your 31 DEC 1985 hires. DAL has 210 pilots hired 1981 and prior, that leaves #211 and all subsequent hired in Sept. 1985 or later. Under your proposal, in 10 years, a conservative estimate would have 500 to 800 NW pilots,(and ONLY NW pilots) at the top of the list, when the fences come down. Sound fair to you? (NW hired approx. 800 between 1981 and Sept. 1985.)

The facts don't support you Wiggy. Pure and simple. The testimony showed this clearly.

Carl

wiggy 10-25-2008 06:38 PM


Originally Posted by Carl Spackler (Post 485654)
I think you're right about that Wasatch. That's the weakness in our SLI proposal in my opinion. There should be a similar fence at the bottom as you suggest. The fact that there is not, makes the NWA proposal extreme for the DAL guys at the bottom. The DAL proposal however, is extreme from top to bottom.

Carl

Oh, I assure you, Carl, the NWA proposal is extreme for the DAL guys at the top and in the middle....

Carl Spackler 10-25-2008 06:48 PM


Originally Posted by Cogf16 (Post 485665)
Fences again!!!

Yes fences. You know, like the 5 year fences proposed by DALPA


Originally Posted by Cogf16 (Post 485665)
Carl, can you guys live with relative position, you know, if you are 20% at NWA you would be 20% +/- maybe 1 % at the new Delta?

I think that would probably sell. But not minus 7 to 9% as happens in parts of the DAL proposal.


Originally Posted by Cogf16 (Post 485665)
The devil is in the details with several variables
-NWA's more near term retirements

True


Originally Posted by Cogf16 (Post 485665)
-NWA's near term aircraft retirements (freighters and possibly more 9's)

Pure speculation on your part and many other DAL guys.


Originally Posted by Cogf16 (Post 485665)
-Delta's fleet growth 777LR and 737-700's

Pure speculation...especially in this economy.


Originally Posted by Cogf16 (Post 485665)
-Delta's more "mid" term retirements

True


Originally Posted by Cogf16 (Post 485665)
-Delta's higher % of widebody/intl aircraft

True


Originally Posted by Cogf16 (Post 485665)
These things would have to be taken into account but they seem to maybe somewhat offset each other.

They might offset if they were all true.


Originally Posted by Cogf16 (Post 485665)
I will tell you most Delta guys think that relative position is a pretty big win for NWA. Can't you see the fairness possible in this simple concept?

Cog

I actually do if that is what DALPA proposed. Instead it is relative position minus 2% for me and minus 9% for NWA guys near the bottom. It's not plus anything for any NWA guy.

Carl

Denny Crane 10-25-2008 06:56 PM

Carl,

First of all the important stuff!! I'm currently at my favorite hangout and the beer is just fine, as usual!!!!! :D

I guess we will disagree on what we consider a "vast majority." My understanding of a hard frozen pension plan is that no one can accrue further benefits and to qualify for the benefits earned, you need to get the full 25 years of service. Hence the 1985 hires will not have a full 25 years of accrued benefit and are more likely to stay until 65 to get more DC and healthcare benefits via medicare.

I disagree with your premise that your top 28 percent of guys will be gone within 10 years for the above stated reasons.

As far as either side coming off its position, take that statement for what I said. I wasn't suggesting anything. I just don't think either side is going to come off their basic premise and that is going to force an arbitrated list. As you stated with the NW pilots seeing no down side, so do the DL pilots see no down side. I can take your same arguments and give them back to you from my side.

Well my battery is about to run out cause I'm long winded and so, again, I'll say good luck to us all!!! :D

Denny

wiggy 10-25-2008 06:57 PM


Originally Posted by Carl Spackler (Post 485672)
The facts don't support you Wiggy. Pure and simple. The testimony showed this clearly.

Carl

So Carl, you're claiming as a fact every NW pilot hired prior to 31 Dec. 1985 will be retired in 10 years? --because the blue and red charts and "clear" testimony and the magic # 62.4 says so? I wouldn't call those "facts" Carl, I would call those "speculations".

Carl Spackler 10-25-2008 07:03 PM


Originally Posted by Denny Crane (Post 485681)
Carl,

First of all the important stuff!! I'm currently at my favorite hangout and the beer is just fine, as usual!!!!! :D

I guess we will disagree on what we consider a "vast majority." My understanding of a hard frozen pension plan is that no one can accrue further benefits and to qualify for the benefits earned, you need to get the full 25 years of service. Hence the 1985 hires will not have a full 25 years of accrued benefit and are more likely to stay until 65 to get more DC and healthcare benefits via medicare.

I disagree with your premise that your top 28 percent of guys will be gone within 10 years for the above stated reasons.

As far as either side coming off its position, take that statement for what I said. I wasn't suggesting anything. I just don't think either side is going to come off their basic premise and that is going to force an arbitrated list. As you stated with the NW pilots seeing no down side, so do the DL pilots see no down side. I can take your same arguments and give them back to you from my side.

Well my battery is about to run out cause I'm long winded and so, again, I'll say good luck to us all!!! :D

Denny

The pension is exactly what I have stated to you Denny. in 2010, all 1985 guys will have 25 years in because they continue to accrue years toward their 25 even though the benefit is frozen. That was one good caveat we got just prior to bankruptcy.

Good luck to us all and to you Mr. Crane!

Carl

Carl Spackler 10-25-2008 07:06 PM


Originally Posted by wiggy (Post 485682)
So Carl, you're claiming as a fact every NW pilot hired prior to 31 Dec. 1985 will be retired in 10 years? --because the blue and red charts and "clear" testimony and the magic # 62.4 says so? I wouldn't call those "facts" Carl, I would call those "speculations".

I figured you would Wiggy.

Carl


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