B2
#1
Gets Weekends Off
Thread Starter
Joined APC: Jun 2008
Posts: 3,716
#4
I'm curious about whether or not China will get involved militarily if the NorKs attack the US/SK. Got to be a tough spot for them.
Also, to what scale would a NK attack have to be before it was sufficient for the US to declare war?
Shelling an uninhabited island in the sea would probably not do it, but thats all I believe the NorKs would have the nuts to do.
Also, to what scale would a NK attack have to be before it was sufficient for the US to declare war?
Shelling an uninhabited island in the sea would probably not do it, but thats all I believe the NorKs would have the nuts to do.
#5
The only reason the Chinese like the current regime is because they maintain control over their starving masses, and they are better than a re-unified Korea that would probably be a staunch US ally.
Also, technically, if the attack was on the ROKs (vice US forces), the ROKs would be the ones to declare war (almost certainly after consulting with the US) and then we would be treaty-bound to go along with them.
If nK attacks US forces or cities, I don't think the administration could wiggle out of it...whether the retaliation would be limited or full-scale remains to be seen.
Complicated situation. And in all seriousness I have doubts about the rationality of whoever is pulling the strings over there. Most of their posturing is probably intended for internal consumption (put fear in the populace and rally them around the government). But somebody over there may believe that the ultimate decision maker on our side (obama) is weaker than he really is. nK got away with sinking the ship because it was (literally) an under the table kick in the nads, so nobody knew who, what, how right away and we could grind our teeth and keep a straight face.
I doubt the nK leaders want a real war (they may or may not be well enough informed by their military to understand that they would lose). But with all this posturing and chest beating, it would be easy for a low-level nK commander to end up believing his own government's BS and inadvertently start a war. Or the nK government could miscalculate and push us too far...ex. threaten to nuke Honolulu if we don't pull all forces out of the peninsula by a certain date.
#6
I'm curious about whether or not China will get involved militarily if the NorKs attack the US/SK. Got to be a tough spot for them.
Also, to what scale would a NK attack have to be before it was sufficient for the US to declare war?
Shelling an uninhabited island in the sea would probably not do it, but thats all I believe the NorKs would have the nuts to do.
Also, to what scale would a NK attack have to be before it was sufficient for the US to declare war?
Shelling an uninhabited island in the sea would probably not do it, but thats all I believe the NorKs would have the nuts to do.
Management 101 - make them feel like it was their idea
#7
Satpak77
I wouldn't be so confident on where China stands. Wars are fought over national honor and national political interests, not business interests. China, if NK were at war, might be neutral, might be on NK's side, but they won't be on ours. They have a lot of political capital tied up in the NK regime, it won't be tossed aside lightly unless doing do is in their political interest.
GF
I wouldn't be so confident on where China stands. Wars are fought over national honor and national political interests, not business interests. China, if NK were at war, might be neutral, might be on NK's side, but they won't be on ours. They have a lot of political capital tied up in the NK regime, it won't be tossed aside lightly unless doing do is in their political interest.
GF
#10
Good question, but I'm pretty sure no one knows the true answer. The military probably does have an idea of their relative strength compared to the US/ROK, that might cool things down. As long as every provocation is meet with the "West" backing down, we risk the time we don't and the power in NK decides their bluff has been called. Do they fight to save their face or lose face. The Koreans, in general, are a strong bastion of "face".
GF
GF