Regionals
12-31-2018, 02:37 PM
#42
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Posts: 196
...
These numbers represent “zero” growth. Factor in another 2-4% for growth per year and the numbers start looking even better. Should be good times ahead for about 10 years or so, barring any sort of black swan type event.
Just my $.02 worth.
Just my $.02 worth.
12-31-2018, 03:53 PM
#43
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Joined APC: Mar 2011
Position: 737 FO
Posts: 2,485
Originally Posted by V12Merlin
These numbers represent “zero” growth. Factor in another 2-4% for growth per year and the numbers start looking even better. Should be good times ahead for about 10 years or so, barring any sort of black swan type event.
Just my $.02 worth.
Just my $.02 worth.
12-31-2018, 05:49 PM
#44
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Joined APC: Jan 2006
Position: Engines Turn Or People Swim
Posts: 39,322
Originally Posted by word302
They also don't account for any early retirement.
12-31-2018, 06:19 PM
#45
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Joined APC: Jul 2017
Posts: 1,729
Originally Posted by rickair7777
That's got to be worth at least a couple percent, especially with the high pay at some of the majors. Some dudes with millions in the bank are going to find it hard to come to work.
12-31-2018, 07:50 PM
#46
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Joined APC: Aug 2014
Posts: 444
One other factor to consider, is that the regional's will have senior and career regional pilots that will be retiring as well. Looking at the numbers the majors will require makes me think that the regional's will severely contract.
01-01-2019, 03:55 AM
#47
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Joined APC: Jul 2017
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Originally Posted by Irishblackbird
One other factor to consider, is that the regional's will have senior and career regional pilots that will be retiring as well. Looking at the numbers the majors will require makes me think that the regional's will severely contract.
01-01-2019, 05:27 AM
#48
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Joined APC: Nov 2016
Posts: 303
One other forgotten thing is the lost decade has made the average age for regional pilots older. Between Flows and DGIs and CPPs, and off the street hires, there will be some 45-55 year olds being hired at mainlines, that will then be retiring in 10-20 years.
So the graphs you see with retirements per year starting to go down in 10-15 years really won’t be. The peek retirements per year could last for longer than the data is showing if a few 100 older pilots are hired each year at each legacy over the next 1-5 years.
So the graphs you see with retirements per year starting to go down in 10-15 years really won’t be. The peek retirements per year could last for longer than the data is showing if a few 100 older pilots are hired each year at each legacy over the next 1-5 years.
01-01-2019, 06:38 AM
#49
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Joined APC: Apr 2015
Posts: 608
Originally Posted by PleaseComplete
stolen from another site, there is a BIG wave coming
Anyone know what JB, NK, G4, etc, etc numbers look like?
01-01-2019, 07:19 AM
#50
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Joined APC: Jan 2006
Position: Engines Turn Or People Swim
Posts: 39,322
Originally Posted by JayBee
Anyone know what JB, NK, G4, etc, etc numbers look like?
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